Shirble Department Store Holdings (0312) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$137M
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from HK$0.1128 to HK$0.1100 (−2.4%) since Jul 1, 2026. Share price −10.9% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 124% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0872). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0200 – HK$0.5700 · fair‑value band HK$0.0872 – HK$0.1556 · the HK$0.0490 price screens below the HK$0.1100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Shirble Department Store Holdings (0312) currently trades at HK$0.0490, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1100, implying the stock looks roughly 124.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Shirble Department Store Holdings generated revenue of HK$222M at a net margin of -43.4%. Revenue declined 5.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.7%. Net debt stands at HK$658M. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0872 (bear case) to HK$0.1556 (bull case); at HK$0.0490, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 50% fair-value upside, at 124%, 0312 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.2700) versus Growth DCF (HK$0.0700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in department store operations, property development, and community shopping mallsin the People's Republic of China. The company operates in two segments: Department Store Business and Others.
Full company description
Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in department store operations, property development, and community shopping mallsin the People's Republic of China. The company operates in two segments: Department Store Business and Others. It provides property development, consulting, trading, decoration design, consulting services, construction and management, and software development services. It also operates community shopping malls. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China. Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) Limited operates as a subsidiary of Shirble Department Store Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shirble Department Store Holdings reported revenue of HK$186M in FY2025 versus HK$230M in FY2021, a compound −5.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$93.9M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Department Stores · 127 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 5,875 CLP | 8,880 CLP | +51% |
| El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. LIVEPOLC1 | 99.62 MXN | 263.70 MXN | +165% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.70 MYR | 1.45 MYR | -61% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 2,040 CLP | 2,516 CLP | +23% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹113.94 | ₹37.39 | -67% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 610,000 KRW | 200,259 KRW | -67% |
| Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB | 30.04 MXN | 59.59 MXN | +98% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 155,300 KRW | 81,725 KRW | -47% |
| Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 | R$14.10 | R$33.36 | +137% |
| La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC | 34.37 MXN | 51.49 MXN | +50% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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