SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd stock HK$10.49, price HK$4.72, upside +122.2%, quality 70 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$2.91 – HK$5.27 · fair‑value band HK$7.86 – HK$13.11 · the HK$4.72 price screens below the HK$10.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides telecommunication services in Hong Kong. The company offers voice, multimedia, mobile, and fixed fiber broadband services for the consumer and corporate markets.
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It also engages in the sale of handsets and accessories; and provision of customer support, telemarketing, and wireless fixed services. The company offers its products and services under the SmarTone, SmarTone Solutions, and Birdie brands.
The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong. SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited.
Stock analysis
SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315) currently trades at HK$4.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$10.49, implying the stock looks roughly 55% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$17.92 per share, and 20 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$4.72 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$1.22, and 4 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$7.86 (bear) to HK$13.11 (bull), the price of HK$4.72 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$6.6B in FY2026 versus HK$7.0B in FY2022, a compound −1.3%/yr. Reported net income was HK$525M in FY2026, compounding +5.5%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap HK$5.2B (≈ $663M) Small · P/E ratio 10.0 · P/S ratio 0.80 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.2000 · Dividend yield 6.8% · Net margin 7.9% · Return on equity 9.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 51% fair-value upside, at 122%, 0315 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$7.86Fair Value HK$10.49BullHK$13.11
Price HK$4.72 · Upside +122.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −9.7% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+11.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4.5% vs −4.4%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 11%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 10.5%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−37.9%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −39.2% a year for the price.
Compare SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 234 stocks
Beats the industry median on 14/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+122.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)9.7% · Above median
Return on assets4.6% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)8.0% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)11.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)10.2% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)6.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
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Is SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$10.49 versus a price of HK$4.72, about +122% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0315?
Our model-based fair value for SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd is HK$10.49 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$4.72.
What is the quality score of 0315?
SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$10.49 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$7.86, optimistic scenario HK$13.11. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$10.49, about +122% upside versus a price of HK$4.72 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$7.86, optimistic scenario HK$13.11. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315)?
SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$6.6B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 6.78% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315) and when is the ex-dividend date?
SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd pays a dividend of HK$0.32 per share a year, a dividend yield of 6.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Nov 3, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2002. The payout ratio is 160% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 4.96 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -37.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.4 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0315 use?
Our models discount SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.22, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd that is -37.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd grew -0.4 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -37.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (-37.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 33.62 %: that much free cash flow SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd it is HK$10.49 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of HK$4.72. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, 0315 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$4.72, fair value HK$10.49, a gap of about +122% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0315?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$4.72); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$10.49). For SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd the two are HK$5.77 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd at about HK$5.2B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is HK$4.72; our models calculate a fair value of HK$10.49 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0315?
Our models span a range for SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$7.86, base HK$10.49, optimistic HK$13.11 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price HK$4.72). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0315?
SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.0 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$10.49 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings: 11.9. Other multiples: PEG 69.8, P/B 1.0, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 1.5.
What is the PEG ratio of 0315?
The PEG ratio of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd is 69.76 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315)?
Balance-sheet figures for SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 9.7%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0315 from its 52-week high?
SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd trades at HK$4.72, about 10% below its 52-week high of HK$5.27 and 3% above the low of HK$4.57 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$10.49 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, Verizon Communications Inc, T-Mobile US, Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price HK$4.72, calculated fair value HK$10.49 (+122%), Quality Score 70/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0315 calculated?
We run SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd through 24 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$10.49 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd currently trades 55% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was HK$4.72. Our model-based fair value is HK$10.49, about +122% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$7.86). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (70/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315) come from?
Earnings per share at SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd grew −5.6 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −9.6 %, EBIT margin +5.5 %, tax rate −1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315)?
The market capitalisation of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd is HK$5.2B (≈ $663M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd is 0.80 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315)?
Earnings per share at SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd are HK$0.2000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315)?
The dividend yield of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd is 6.8% (payout 160%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315)?
The net margin of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd is 7.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd is 6.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315)?
The operating margin of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd is 11.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315)?
Revenue at SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd is growing +10.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315)?
Earnings per share at SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd are growing +10.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd (0315) hold?
SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$1.8B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Nov 6, 2026