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Muhak Co. Ltd (033920) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · KR · Market cap 200B KRW

MC Muhak Co. Ltd 033920 · KO
Price7,700 KRW
Fair Value21,086 KRW
Upside+173.9%
Quality53/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 19.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
9.57% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/9)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: Medium Range 19,338 KRW – 29,290 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 21,627 KRW to 21,086 KRW (−2.5%) since Jul 22, 2026. Share price +5.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 174% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (19,338 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

10,070 KRW 3,623 KRW Fair Value 21,086 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 3,623 KRW – 10,070 KRW · fair‑value band 19,338 KRW – 29,290 KRW · the 7,700 KRW price screens below the 21,086 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Muhak Co. Ltd (033920) currently trades at 7,700 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 21,086 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 173.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Muhak Co. Ltd generated revenue of 142B KRW at a net margin of 19.4%. Revenue declined 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.7%. Net debt stands at 9.4B KRW. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 19,338 KRW (bear case) to 29,290 KRW (bull case); at 7,700 KRW, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 174%, 033920 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 19,032 KRW 20,617 KRW 26,344 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 16,099 KRW 16,692 KRW 17,219 KRW 72
Growth-Adj P/E 20,405 KRW 29,151 KRW 37,896 KRW 68
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 33,899 KRW 42,862 KRW 60,112 KRW 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 12,476 KRW 15,249 KRW 17,155 KRW 54
EPV 16,099 KRW 16,692 KRW 17,219 KRW 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 28,897 KRW 38,530 KRW 48,162 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 6,293 KRW 8,391 KRW 10,488 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 23,393 KRW 31,191 KRW 38,989 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 17,499 KRW 19,085 KRW 20,671 KRW 53
EV/EBITDA 22,109 KRW 25,231 KRW 28,354 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 16,137 KRW 17,592 KRW 19,048 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 11,182 KRW 14,985 KRW 22,365 KRW 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 19,032 KRW 20,617 KRW 26,344 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 16,099 KRW 16,692 KRW 17,219 KRW 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 20,405 KRW 29,151 KRW 37,896 KRW 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (42,862 KRW) versus Asset-Based (14,985 KRW). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 142B KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.6%
Net margin 19.4%
Return on equity 4.7%
Free cash flow −3.4B KRW FY2025
Operating margin 1.9%
More key figures
Dividend yield 9.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -15.0%
Net debt 9.4B KRW FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 29
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Muhak Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells liquors in South Korea. It offers diluted shochu products, fruit liquors, and liqueurs. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Changwon-si, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Muhak Co. Ltd reported revenue of 144B KRW in FY2025 versus 127B KRW in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was 50.3B KRW in FY2025.

Growth Quality 17/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
144B KRW
Latest YoY
−5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.4%
Revenue +3.2%/yr
FY21 127B KRW
FY22 153B KRW
FY23 147B KRW
FY24 152B KRW
FY25 144B KRW
Net income
FY21 −16.0B KRW
FY22 −13.2B KRW
FY23 65.4B KRW
FY24 48.4B KRW
FY25 50.3B KRW

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Muhak Co. Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/033920

Peer Group

Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 97 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside +174% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth -5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 9.0% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 18
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST19 · sector 17
HEALTH99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND100 · sector 63

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 ¥1,343 ¥1,238 -8%
Diageo plc DEO $93.96 $73.29 -22%
Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 ¥71.89 ¥48.44 -33%
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 ¥122.32 ¥185.80 +52%
Pernod Ricard SA RI €68.18 €76.13 +12%
Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 ¥84.50 ¥149.17 +77%
Brown-Forman Corporation BFA $28.40 $27.69 -3%
United Spirits Limited UNITDSPR ₹1,515 ₹381.12 -75%
Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 0.4700 SGD 0.7000 SGD +49%
Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 ¥41.62 ¥27.82 -33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Muhak Co. Ltd (033920) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 21,086 KRW versus a price of 7,700 KRW, about +174% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 033920?
Our model-based fair value for Muhak Co. Ltd is 21,086 KRW (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 7,700 KRW.
What is the quality score of 033920?
Muhak Co. Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Muhak Co. Ltd (033920)?
Muhak Co. Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 142B KRW (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 033920?
The net profit margin of Muhak Co. Ltd is about 19.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 19.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Muhak Co. Ltd pay a dividend?
Muhak Co. Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.93% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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