Chinney Alliance Group (0385) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$164M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.2121 to HK$0.2123 (+0.1%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price −5.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 13% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from HK$0.1884 (bear) to HK$0.2650 (bull), base HK$0.2123. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 45/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2440 – HK$0.9997 · fair‑value band HK$0.1884 – HK$0.2650 · the HK$0.2450 price screens above the HK$0.2123 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Chinney Alliance Group (0385) currently trades at HK$0.2450, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2123, implying the stock looks roughly 13.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Chinney Alliance Group generated revenue of HK$6.5B at a net margin of -0.1%. Revenue declined 24.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$26.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1884 (bear case) to HK$0.2650 (bull case); at HK$0.2450, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -13%, 0385 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$4.18) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.2800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Chinney Alliance Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides building related contracting services for public and private sectors in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and Macau.
Full company description
Chinney Alliance Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides building related contracting services for public and private sectors in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and Macau. The company operates in six segments: Plastic and Chemical Products; Building Related Contracting Services; Foundation Piling and Ground Investigation; Building Construction; Aviation; and Others. It offers building related contracting services, including engineering contracting services in the air-conditioning industry and maintenance services; foundation piling, and drilling and site investigation services; and superstructure construction work services, as well as imports, markets, and distributes plastic and chemical products. The company is also involved in the distribution and installation of aviation systems and other hi-tech products, as well as mechanical, electrical, and building supplies; property holding and development business; trading of electrical, air-conditioning, and other building supply products; contracting of building aluminum works; treasury functions; and installation and maintenance of air-conditioning, waste water treatment, heat ventilation, electrical generators, mechanical, water pumps, and fire prevention and fighting systems. In addition, it trades in building decoration materials, generators, and electrical and mechanical engineering materials and equipment. Further, the company is involved in basement construction works; agency trading of industrial products; equipment and machinery leasing; construction material testing; design, installation, repair, and maintenance of electrical and mechanical systems; trading of electrical installation products; and provision of multi-discipline building services. Chinney Alliance Group Limited was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Chinney Alliance Group reported revenue of HK$6.5B in FY2025 versus HK$6.8B in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$3.0M in FY2025.
of which total revenue +5.6 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
0385 screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 838 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹4,020 | ₹1,994 | -50% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 357,500 KRW | 261,411 KRW | -27% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 113,700 KRW | 61,453 KRW | -46% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 49,300 KRW | 43,624 KRW | -12% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹230.00 | ₹48.92 | -79% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 18,400 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -65% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 99,800 KRW | 19,346 KRW | -81% |
| GS Engineering & Construction Corporation 006360 | 35,200 KRW | 23,135 KRW | -34% |
| DL E&C Co 375500 | 73,500 KRW | 148,433 KRW | +102% |
| KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering Co 051600 | 45,400 KRW | 43,924 KRW | -3% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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