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Billions Co (044480) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · KR · Market cap 20.3B KRW

BC Billions Co 044480 · KQ
Price890.00 KRW
Fair Value266.44 KRW
Upside-70.1%
Quality48/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -28.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 11/100
Evidence: Medium Range 189.73 KRW – 343.15 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −11.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 70% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (343.15 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (189.73 KRW to 343.15 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

19,235 KRW 789.00 KRW Fair Value 266.44 KRW Jan 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 789.00 KRW – 19,235 KRW · fair‑value band 189.73 KRW – 343.15 KRW · the 890.00 KRW price screens above the 266.44 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Billions Co (044480) currently trades at 890.00 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 266.44 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 70.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Billions Co generated revenue of 25.3B KRW at a net margin of -28.2%. Revenue declined 51.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -31.9%. Net debt stands at 969M KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 189.73 KRW (bear case) to 343.15 KRW (bull case); at 890.00 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 75% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -70%, 044480 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 706.42 KRW 792.82 KRW 919.04 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 677.41 KRW 758.74 KRW 854.81 KRW 74
Gordon GGM 7.77 KRW 16.15 KRW 25.61 KRW 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 704.37 KRW 803.71 KRW 959.36 KRW 38
5Y Revenue Exit 677.41 KRW 758.50 KRW 862.39 KRW 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 731.84 KRW 862.35 KRW 1,017 KRW 41
10Y Revenue Exit 681.50 KRW 758.63 KRW 863.64 KRW 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 720.48 KRW 831.51 KRW 983.70 KRW 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 7.77 KRW 16.15 KRW 25.61 KRW 70
DDM Multi-Stage 7.77 KRW 13.40 KRW 16.94 KRW 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 770.08 KRW 846.79 KRW 923.50 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 668.48 KRW 723.56 KRW 778.64 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 511.31 KRW 685.16 KRW 1,023 KRW 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 706.42 KRW 792.82 KRW 919.04 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 677.41 KRW 758.74 KRW 854.81 KRW 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models (803.71 KRW) versus Dividend Discount (13.40 KRW). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 25.3B KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) -51.4%
Net margin -28.2%
Return on equity -31.9%
Free cash flow 339M KRW FY2025
Operating margin -19.4%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -35.0%
Net debt 969M KRW FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 21
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Billions Co.,Ltd. plans, develops, and delivers various contents in Korea. It engages in the drama and movie production and management for various genres, such as comedy, melodrama, and sitcom; artist management; organization of concerts; and distribution and marketing of music and albums. The company was formerly known as BLADE Entertainment CO.,LTD.

Full company description

Billions Co.,Ltd. plans, develops, and delivers various contents in Korea. It engages in the drama and movie production and management for various genres, such as comedy, melodrama, and sitcom; artist management; organization of concerts; and distribution and marketing of music and albums. The company was formerly known as BLADE Entertainment CO.,LTD. and changed its name to Billions Co.,Ltd. in June 2024. Billions Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1973 and is based in Seoul, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Billions Co reported revenue of 25.3B KRW in FY2025 versus 25.8B KRW in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was −7.1B KRW in FY2025.

Growth Quality 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
25.3B KRW
Latest YoY
−39.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−29.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.2%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.2%
Revenue −0.4%/yr
FY21 25.8B KRW
FY22 70.6B KRW
FY23 29.0B KRW
FY24 41.7B KRW
FY25 25.3B KRW
Net income
FY21 −29.5B KRW
FY22 −18.9B KRW
FY23 −13.8B KRW
FY24 −2.0B KRW
FY25 −7.1B KRW

044480 screens 70% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Billions Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/044480

Peer Group

Entertainment · 265 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −70% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -28% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -19% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -51% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 6
FUTURE 0 · sector 10
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 99 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc ZNFL C$6.77 C$2.96 -56%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $96.30 $89.55 -7%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $26.87 $9.13 -66%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $178.44 $46.89 -74%
Universal Music Group UMG €18.91 €14.78 -22%
TKO Group TKO $184.40 $22.16 -88%
Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO 55.00 MXN 60.49 MXN +10%
Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 ¥11.77 ¥10.97 -7%
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN 456.00 IDR 221.09 IDR -52%
Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS ₹298.25 ₹63.45 -79%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Billions Co (044480) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 266.44 KRW versus a price of 890.00 KRW, about −70% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 044480?
Our model-based fair value for Billions Co is 266.44 KRW (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 890.00 KRW.
What is the quality score of 044480?
Billions Co has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Billions Co (044480)?
Billions Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 25.3B KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 044480?
The net profit margin of Billions Co is about -28.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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