EN DE

Speedy Global Holdings (0540) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$119M

SG Speedy Global Holdings 0540 · HK
PriceHK$0.2040
Fair ValueHK$0.2800
Upside+37.3%
Quality60/100
Watch Speedy Global Holdings for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free
Weak Growth
Thin margins · 2.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.2100 – HK$0.3500 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +2.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 37% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2100). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Share this valuation: 𝕏 WhatsApp

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.3800 HK$0.0440 Fair Value HK$0.2800 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0440 – HK$0.3800 · fair‑value band HK$0.2100 – HK$0.3500 · the HK$0.2040 price screens below the HK$0.2800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Speedy Global Holdings (0540) currently trades at HK$0.2040, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2800, implying the stock looks roughly 37.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Speedy Global Holdings generated revenue of HK$371M at a net margin of 2.1%. Revenue declined 43.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$52.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2100 (bear case) to HK$0.3500 (bull case); at HK$0.2040, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 27% fair-value upside, at 37%, 0540 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.5700 HK$0.6900 HK$0.8600 80
Residual Income HK$0.1200 HK$0.1200 HK$0.1200 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.3900 HK$0.4700 HK$0.5700 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.5600 HK$0.6800 HK$0.8800 38
Owner Earnings HK$0.2000 HK$0.2200 HK$0.2700 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3900 HK$0.4600 HK$0.5500 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.3900 HK$0.4600 HK$0.5400 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.4100 HK$0.4900 HK$0.6000 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.4700 HK$0.5200 HK$0.5700 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.4700 HK$0.5200 HK$0.5600 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.4800 HK$0.5400 HK$0.5900 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.0900 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1200 54
EPV HK$0.1800 HK$0.1900 HK$0.2000 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.2100 HK$0.2800 HK$0.3500 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.1600 HK$0.2200 HK$0.2700 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.1600 HK$0.2200 HK$0.2700 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.3200 HK$0.3900 HK$0.4600 53
EV/EBITDA HK$0.2500 HK$0.3100 HK$0.3600 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.2400 HK$0.3100 HK$0.3700 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1600 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.5700 HK$0.6900 HK$0.8600 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.3900 HK$0.4700 HK$0.5700 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.1200 HK$0.1200 HK$0.1200 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.1800 HK$0.1900 HK$0.2100 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.1500 HK$0.2100 HK$0.2700 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.4900) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Notify me when 0540 reaches fair value

Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$371M
Revenue growth (YoY) -43.7%
Net margin 2.1%
Return on equity 8.5%
Free cash flow HK$38.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 19.9 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 3.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -56.9%
Net cash HK$52.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Speedy Global Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of apparel supply chain services in China, Europe, North America, and internationally.

Full company description

Speedy Global Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of apparel supply chain services in China, Europe, North America, and internationally. The company offers apparel supply chain services, including product design and development, fashion trend ascertaining and sampling, raw material sourcing, production order and merchandise sourcing management, quality control, packaging, inventory management, and logistics management. It also provides end-to-end solutions for the production of a range of men's and women's woven wear, cut-and-sewn knitwear, and sweater knitwear products to owners or agents of various apparel brands. Speedy Global Holdings Limited was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Dongguan, China. Speedy Global Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Sky Halo Holdings Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Speedy Global Holdings reported revenue of HK$371M in FY2025 versus HK$750M in FY2021, a compound −16.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$7.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$371M
Latest YoY
−43.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−12.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.6%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.9%
Revenue −16.2%/yr
FY21 HK$750M
FY22 HK$562M
FY23 HK$462M
FY24 HK$661M
FY25 HK$371M
Net income
FY21 −HK$31.3M
FY22 −HK$34.5M
FY23 −HK$5.0M
FY24 HK$16.9M
FY25 HK$7.6M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −7.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share −8.4 pp

of which total revenue −8.4 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin −0.6 pp
Tax rate +0.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

Watch 0540: get an alert when its fair value changes →

Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
Share or link this analysis
𝕏 Post WhatsApp LinkedIn Reddit
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Speedy Global Holdings · Fair Value
HK$0.2800 +37%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Speedy Global Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0540

Peer Group

Apparel Manufacturing · 213 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside +37% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth -44% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.27× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.32× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 83 · sector 32
FUTURE 0 · sector 5
PAST 34 · sector 21
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB HMB kr 174.25 kr 165.47 -5%
LPP SA LPP 22,220 PLN 17,754 PLN -20%
Bosideng International Holdings 3998 HK$4.65 HK$5.92 +27%
Youngor Fashion Co 600177 ¥7.78 ¥5.59 -28%
Page Industries Limited PAGEIND ₹38,295 ₹12,395 -68%
Hla Group 600398 ¥6.07 ¥9.92 +63%
Youngone Corporation 111770 85,200 KRW 188,736 KRW +122%
F&F Co 383220 68,800 KRW 179,500 KRW +161%
Youngone Holdings 009970 188,300 KRW 697,038 KRW +270%
Wiselink Co 8932 105.00 TWD 37.95 TWD -64%

Compare Speedy Global Holdings with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Frequently asked questions

Is Speedy Global Holdings (0540) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2800 versus a price of HK$0.2040, about +37% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0540?
Our model-based fair value for Speedy Global Holdings is HK$0.2800 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.2040.
What is the quality score of 0540?
Speedy Global Holdings has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Speedy Global Holdings (0540)?
Speedy Global Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$371M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0540?
The net profit margin of Speedy Global Holdings is about 2.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

14 days Pro free · no card

Track Speedy Global Holdings and try Pro for 14 days

One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.