NWS Holdings Ltd (0659) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of NWS Holdings Ltd HK$8.50, price HK$8.58, upside -0.8%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$3.03 – HK$9.25 · fair‑value band HK$5.95 – HK$11.05 · the HK$8.58 price screens above the HK$8.50 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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CTF Services Limited is a conglomerate company with a diversified portfolio of businesses in toll roads, insurance, logistics, construction, and facilities management primarily in Hong Kong and the Mainland.
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CTF Services Limited is a conglomerate company with a diversified portfolio of businesses in toll roads, insurance, logistics, construction, and facilities management primarily in Hong Kong and the Mainland. It engages in the operation of toll roads; investment and management of various logistics projects; and management and operation of venues for exhibitions, conventions, meetings, entertainment events, banquets and catering events, etc., as well as a hospital and sports park. The company also offers general contracting, construction management, and civil engineering and foundation works services for the residential, commercial, governmental, and institutional sectors; and diversified insurance and financial planning products and services, including life insurance, medical insurance, critical illness insurance, personal accident insurance, saving insurance plans, annuities, and investment-linked assurance schemes for individuals and institutions, as well as employee benefit solutions. In addition, it engages in the piling and ground investigation activities; and Electrical and mechanical engineering activities. Further, the company provides property investment, agency, and management and consultancy services; financial, bond issuing, and catering services; and carpark, commercial complex, and hotel management services. The company was formerly known as Pacific Ports Co Limited and changed its name to NWS Holdings Limited in January 2003. CTF Services Limited was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Cheung Sha Wan, Hong Kong. CTF Services Limited is a subsidiary of Century Acquisition Limited.
Stock analysis
NWS Holdings Ltd (0659) currently trades at HK$8.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$8.50, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.8%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$21.73 per share, and 23 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$8.58 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$5.83, and 3 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: HK$5.95 (bear) to HK$11.05 (bull), the price of HK$8.58 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
NWS Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$27.1B in FY2026 versus HK$31.1B in FY2022, a compound −3.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$2.6B in FY2026, compounding +4.3%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap HK$39.3B (≈ $5.0B) · P/E ratio 16.2 · P/S ratio 1.53 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.2200 · Dividend yield 7.3% · Net margin 9.5% · Return on equity 6.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −1%, 0659 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$5.95Fair Value HK$8.50Bull HK$11.05
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.8% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+52.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+45.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.45.3% vs −8.0%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 23%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−4.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −6.3% a year for the price and −0.1% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 800 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside−0.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6.3% · Below median
Return on assets0.7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)9.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)8.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth17.2% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)7.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.88× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
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Is NWS Holdings Ltd (0659) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$8.50 versus a price of HK$8.58, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 0659?
Our model-based fair value for NWS Holdings Ltd is HK$8.50 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$8.58.
What is the quality score of 0659?
NWS Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NWS Holdings Ltd (0659)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$8.50 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$5.95, optimistic scenario HK$11.05. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NWS Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$8.50, about −1% upside versus a price of HK$8.58 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario HK$5.95, optimistic scenario HK$11.05. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NWS Holdings Ltd (0659)?
NWS Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$27.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does NWS Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
NWS Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.35% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into NWS Holdings Ltd (0659)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, NWS Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -4.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.8 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0659 use?
Our models discount NWS Holdings Ltd at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.46, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For NWS Holdings Ltd that is -4.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has NWS Holdings Ltd (0659) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at NWS Holdings Ltd grew -0.8 % a year. The price currently implies -4.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of NWS Holdings Ltd (0659) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into NWS Holdings Ltd (-4.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of NWS Holdings Ltd (0659)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.66 %: that much free cash flow NWS Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of NWS Holdings Ltd (0659)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NWS Holdings Ltd it is HK$8.50 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$8.58. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is NWS Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0659 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$8.58, fair value HK$8.50, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0659?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$8.58); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$8.50). For NWS Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0720 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NWS Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values NWS Holdings Ltd at about HK$39.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$8.58; our models calculate a fair value of HK$8.50 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0659?
Our models span a range for NWS Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$5.95, base HK$8.50, optimistic HK$11.05 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$8.58). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0659?
NWS Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.2 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$8.50 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 1.0, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 14.3.
What is the PEG ratio of 0659?
The PEG ratio of NWS Holdings Ltd is 0.66 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of NWS Holdings Ltd (0659)?
Balance-sheet figures for NWS Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 6.3%, debt of 0.88 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0659 from its 52-week high?
NWS Holdings Ltd trades at HK$8.58, about 7% below its 52-week high of HK$9.25 and 21% above the low of HK$7.07 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$8.50 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NWS Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NWS Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$8.58, calculated fair value HK$8.50 (−1%), Quality Score 49/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0659 calculated?
We run NWS Holdings Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$8.50, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. NWS Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NWS Holdings Ltd (0659)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$8.58. Our model-based fair value is HK$8.50, about −1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NWS Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (HK$5.95 to HK$11.05) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of NWS Holdings Ltd (0659) come from?
Earnings per share at NWS Holdings Ltd grew −8.7 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −2.4 %, EBIT margin +7.9 %, tax rate −1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −12.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of NWS Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of NWS Holdings Ltd (0659)?
The market capitalisation of NWS Holdings Ltd is HK$39.3B (≈ $5.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NWS Holdings Ltd (0659)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NWS Holdings Ltd is 1.53 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of NWS Holdings Ltd (0659)?
Earnings per share at NWS Holdings Ltd are HK$0.2200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of NWS Holdings Ltd (0659)?
The dividend yield of NWS Holdings Ltd is 7.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of NWS Holdings Ltd (0659)?
The net margin of NWS Holdings Ltd is 9.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NWS Holdings Ltd (0659)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NWS Holdings Ltd is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NWS Holdings Ltd (0659)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NWS Holdings Ltd is 2.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NWS Holdings Ltd (0659)?
The operating margin of NWS Holdings Ltd is 8.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NWS Holdings Ltd (0659)?
Revenue at NWS Holdings Ltd is growing +17.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg 0.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at NWS Holdings Ltd (0659)?
Earnings per share at NWS Holdings Ltd are growing +1.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does NWS Holdings Ltd (0659) carry?
The net debt of NWS Holdings Ltd is HK$16.7B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 3.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Sep 27, 2026