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Korea District Heating Corp (071320) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Korea District Heating Corp KRW 234,600, price KRW 78,200, upside +200.0%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Utilities · KR · ISIN KR7071320006

KD Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Korea District Heating Corp

071320 · KO

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value 234,600 KRW · Strongly undervalued (+200%)
!Quality 53/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +13.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·7.87% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (9/11)
!Moderate moat 55/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

104,728 KRW 19,881 KRW Fair Value 234,600 KRW Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 19,881 KRW – 104,728 KRW · fair‑value band 115,227 KRW – 383,957 KRW · the 78,200 KRW price screens below the 234,600 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Korea District Heating Corp. engages in the district cooling and heating businesses in South Korea. It is also involved in the community energy system and electricity businesses. The company operates combined heat and power plants.

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Korea District Heating Corp. engages in the district cooling and heating businesses in South Korea. It is also involved in the community energy system and electricity businesses. The company operates combined heat and power plants. In addition, it engages in the supply of new and renewable energy, such as photovoltaic, wind power, waste energy, woodchip, hydrogen energy and fuel cell, and others. It also offers public development assistance projects and loan program projects in various developing countries. The company was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Seongnam-si, South Korea.

Stock analysis

Korea District Heating Corp (071320) currently trades at 78,200 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 234,600 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 437,358 KRW per share, and 24 of the 24 models we run sit above the 78,200 KRW price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 125,440 KRW, and 0 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 115,227 KRW (bear) to 383,957 KRW (bull), the price of 78,200 KRW sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Korea District Heating Corp reported revenue of 4.0T KRW in FY2025 versus 2.5T KRW in FY2021, a compound +12.0%/yr. Reported net income was 339B KRW in FY2025, compounding +99.3%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap 905B KRW (≈ $665M) · P/S ratio 0.19 · Dividend yield 7.9% · Net margin 8.5% · Return on equity 13.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.9% · Operating margin 22.3% · Revenue (TTM) 3.9T KRW.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at 200%, 071320 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 115,227 KRW Fair Value 234,600 KRW Bull 383,957 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 132,342 KRW 337,590 KRW 628,572 KRW 76
Growth DCF 131,132 KRW 320,500 KRW 577,101 KRW 74
Owner Earnings 157,307 KRW 375,997 KRW 686,035 KRW 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 132,342 KRW 337,590 KRW 628,572 KRW 76
Owner Earnings 157,307 KRW 375,997 KRW 686,035 KRW 72
5Y Revenue Exit 143,522 KRW 397,783 KRW 729,885 KRW 68
5Y EBITDA Exit 217,716 KRW 542,534 KRW 933,085 KRW 71
5Y P/E Exit 115,581 KRW 343,271 KRW 589,383 KRW 67
10Y Revenue Exit 122,857 KRW 344,237 KRW 656,927 KRW 62
10Y EBITDA Exit 178,014 KRW 438,199 KRW 804,297 KRW 64
10Y P/E Exit 117,451 KRW 308,851 KRW 555,028 KRW 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 199,022 KRW 752,641 KRW 1,018,641 KRW 64
Lynch FV 182,339 KRW 260,485 KRW 338,630 KRW 61
PEG = 1.0 182,339 KRW 260,485 KRW 338,630 KRW 57
EPV 80,523 KRW 125,440 KRW 162,870 KRW 72
Multiples
P/E Multiple 395,117 KRW 526,823 KRW 658,529 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 373,166 KRW 497,555 KRW 621,944 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 268,329 KRW 357,772 KRW 447,215 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 265,803 KRW 437,358 KRW 608,912 KRW 64
EV/EBITDA 332,407 KRW 526,163 KRW 719,920 KRW 66
EV/Revenue 167,445 KRW 345,862 KRW 524,279 KRW 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 99,381 KRW 133,171 KRW 198,762 KRW 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 131,132 KRW 320,500 KRW 577,101 KRW 74
Rev-Margin DCF 143,522 KRW 395,520 KRW 701,181 KRW 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income 185,532 KRW 225,373 KRW 468,621 KRW 71
ROIC Compounder 80,523 KRW 125,440 KRW 162,870 KRW 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 305,052 KRW 435,788 KRW 566,524 KRW 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 37
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in KRW (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+73.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+65.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.9%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 13%
2025 sits 66% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (South Korea: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.9% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 207 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside +200% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −9% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.26× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.2× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 14
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)53 · sector 14
HEALTH (low debt)37 · sector 68
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 47

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥28.08 ¥30.89 +10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 135.75 kr 31.40 −77%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.62 ¥4.45 −54%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,301 ₹169.61 −87%
BEP BEP $29.08 $70.40 +142%
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €23.56 €14.06 −40%
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥14.30 ¥17.08 +19%
China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co 600905 ¥3.64 ¥2.40 −34%
EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR €13.22 €3.67 −72%
Public Power Corporation PPC €23.72 €7.44 −69%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Korea District Heating Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/071320

Frequently asked questions

Is Korea District Heating Corp (071320) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 234,600 KRW versus a price of 78,200 KRW, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 071320?
Our model-based fair value for Korea District Heating Corp is 234,600 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 78,200 KRW.
What is the quality score of 071320?
Korea District Heating Corp has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Korea District Heating Corp (071320)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 234,600 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 115,227 KRW, optimistic scenario 383,957 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Korea District Heating Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 234,600 KRW, about +200% upside versus a price of 78,200 KRW (undervalued). Cautious scenario 115,227 KRW, optimistic scenario 383,957 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Korea District Heating Corp (071320)?
Korea District Heating Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.9T KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Korea District Heating Corp pay a dividend?
Korea District Heating Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.87% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Korea District Heating Corp (071320)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Korea District Heating Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +6.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 071320 use?
Our models discount Korea District Heating Corp at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.63, country premium for South Korea. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Korea District Heating Corp that is +6.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Korea District Heating Corp (071320) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Korea District Heating Corp grew +13.8 % a year. The price currently implies +6.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Korea District Heating Corp (071320) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Korea District Heating Corp (+6.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Korea District Heating Corp (071320)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 37.93 %: that much free cash flow Korea District Heating Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Korea District Heating Corp (071320)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Korea District Heating Corp it is 234,600 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 78,200 KRW. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Korea District Heating Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 071320 trades below its calculated fair value: price 78,200 KRW, fair value 234,600 KRW, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 071320?
No. The price is what the market pays today (78,200 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (234,600 KRW). For Korea District Heating Corp the two are 156,400 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Korea District Heating Corp worth?
The market values Korea District Heating Corp at about 905B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 78,200 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 234,600 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 071320?
Our models span a range for Korea District Heating Corp: cautious scenario 115,227 KRW, base 234,600 KRW, optimistic 383,957 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 78,200 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Korea District Heating Corp (071320)?
Balance-sheet figures for Korea District Heating Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 13.1%, debt of 1.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 071320 from its 52-week high?
Korea District Heating Corp trades at 78,200 KRW, about 25% below its 52-week high of 104,728 KRW and 23% above the low of 63,500 KRW (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 234,600 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Korea District Heating Corp?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Adani Green Energy Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Korea District Heating Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 78,200 KRW, calculated fair value 234,600 KRW (+200%), Quality Score 53/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 071320 calculated?
We run Korea District Heating Corp through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 234,600 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Korea District Heating Corp currently trades 200 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Korea District Heating Corp (071320)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 78,200 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 234,600 KRW, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Korea District Heating Corp right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (115,227 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (115,227 KRW to 383,957 KRW). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Korea District Heating Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Korea District Heating Corp (071320)?
The market capitalisation of Korea District Heating Corp is 905B KRW (≈ $665M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Korea District Heating Corp (071320)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Korea District Heating Corp is 0.19 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Korea District Heating Corp (071320)?
The dividend yield of Korea District Heating Corp is 7.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Korea District Heating Corp (071320)?
The net margin of Korea District Heating Corp is 8.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Korea District Heating Corp (071320)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Korea District Heating Corp is 13.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Korea District Heating Corp (071320)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Korea District Heating Corp is 1.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Korea District Heating Corp (071320)?
The operating margin of Korea District Heating Corp is 22.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Korea District Heating Corp (071320)?
Revenue at Korea District Heating Corp is growing −9.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Korea District Heating Corp (071320)?
Earnings per share at Korea District Heating Corp are growing −6.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Korea District Heating Corp (071320) carry?
The net debt of Korea District Heating Corp is 4.2T KRW (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 12.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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