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Capital Industrial Financial Services Group (0730) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$494M

CI Capital Industrial Financial Services Group 0730 · HK
PriceHK$0.1200
Fair ValueHK$0.1800
Upside+50.0%
Quality58/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
2.40% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 52/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.1200 – HK$0.1800 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +7.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 50% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.2674 HK$0.0798 Fair Value HK$0.1800 Jan 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0798 – HK$0.2674 · fair‑value band HK$0.1200 – HK$0.1800 · the HK$0.1200 price screens below the HK$0.1800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Capital Industrial Financial Services Group (0730) currently trades at HK$0.1200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1800, implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Capital Industrial Financial Services Group generated revenue of HK$180M at a net margin of 16.3%. Revenue grew 88.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$283M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1200 (bear case) to HK$0.1800 (bull case); at HK$0.1200, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 50%, 0730 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$0.2400 HK$0.2300 HK$0.1600 76
Gordon GGM HK$0.0200 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0600 70
P/E Multiple HK$0.0700 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1200 63
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$0.1700 HK$0.2800 HK$0.4800 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.0500 HK$0.3500 HK$0.4900 54
Lynch FV HK$0.1800 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3400 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.0200 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0600 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0200 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.0700 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1200 63
P/B Multiple HK$0.0900 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1600 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1800 HK$0.2400 HK$0.3700 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.2400 HK$0.2300 HK$0.1600 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.2800) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0400). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$180M
Revenue growth (YoY) +88.8%
Net margin 16.3%
Return on equity 2.2%
Free cash flow −HK$6.4M FY2025
P/E ratio 12.0
More key figures
Operating margin 30.3%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100
Dividend yield 2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -11.3%
Net cash HK$283M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 37
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Capital Industrial Financial Services Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides financial services in Mainland China and Hong Kong. The company operates through three segments: Sale and Leaseback Arrangements Services, Property Leasing Services, and Supply Chain Management and Financial Technology Business.

Full company description

Capital Industrial Financial Services Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides financial services in Mainland China and Hong Kong. The company operates through three segments: Sale and Leaseback Arrangements Services, Property Leasing Services, and Supply Chain Management and Financial Technology Business. The Sale and Leaseback Arrangements Services segment engages in the collateral financing business. The Property Leasing Services segment engages in rental of properties. The Supply Chain Management ang Financial Technology Business segment offers supply chain management and technology services, as well as trading of goods. It also offers property investment, administrative and management, and corporate financial advisory services. The company was formerly known as Shougang Concord Grand (Group) Limited and changed its name to Capital Industrial Financial Services Group Limited in April 2022. Capital Industrial Financial Services Group Limited was incorporated in 1991 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Capital Industrial Financial Services Group reported revenue of HK$179M in FY2025 versus HK$1.9B in FY2021, a compound −44.6%/yr. Reported net income was HK$29.3M in FY2025, compounding +1.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$179M
Latest YoY
−6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−22.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.2%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.4%
Revenue −44.6%/yr
FY21 HK$1.9B
FY22 HK$380M
FY23 HK$219M
FY24 HK$192M
FY25 HK$179M
Net income +1.8%/yr
FY21 HK$27.3M
FY22 HK$14.5M
FY23 HK$32.1M
FY24 HK$28.7M
FY25 HK$29.3M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Capital Industrial Financial Services Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0730

Peer Group

Credit Services · 333 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +50% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 30% · Below median
Revenue growth 89% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.34× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.74× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 3.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 35
FUTURE 100 · sector 39
PAST 9 · sector 32
HEALTH 99 · sector 58
DIVIDEND 48 · sector 58

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $359.42 $198.27 -45%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $561.44 $221.87 -60%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,094 ₹397.61 -64%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,117 ₹553.83 -50%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,918 ₹796.52 -58%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹367.05 ₹149.40 -59%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹376.50 ₹615.85 +64%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹2,876 ₹3,429 +19%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.35 ₹69.72 -21%
REC Limited RECLTD ₹346.00 ₹692.00 +100%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Capital Industrial Financial Services Group (0730) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1800 versus a price of HK$0.1200, about +50% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0730?
Our model-based fair value for Capital Industrial Financial Services Group is HK$0.1800 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1200.
What is the quality score of 0730?
Capital Industrial Financial Services Group has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Capital Industrial Financial Services Group (0730)?
Capital Industrial Financial Services Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$180M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0730?
The net profit margin of Capital Industrial Financial Services Group is about 16.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Capital Industrial Financial Services Group pay a dividend?
Capital Industrial Financial Services Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.40% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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