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Shriram Finance Limited (SHRIRAMFIN) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · IN · Market cap ₹2.4T

SF Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN · NSE
Price₹1,141
Fair Value₹553.83
Upside-51.5%
Quality65/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 48.3% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
1.05% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Wide moat 65/100
Evidence: High Range ₹369.42 – ₹1,852 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price +7.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 51% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (₹369.42 to ₹1,852). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹1,141 ₹174.51 Fair Value ₹553.83 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹174.51 – ₹1,141 · fair‑value band ₹369.42 – ₹1,852 · the ₹1,141 price screens above the ₹553.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Shriram Finance Limited (SHRIRAMFIN) currently trades at ₹1,141, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹553.83, implying the stock looks roughly 51.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shriram Finance Limited generated revenue of ₹207B at a net margin of 48.4%. Revenue grew 16.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.4%. Net debt stands at ₹1.7T. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹369.42 (bear case) to ₹1,852 (bull case); at ₹1,141, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 103% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at -51%, SHRIRAMFIN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹736.31 ₹2,083 ₹4,724 80
Residual Income ₹296.01 ₹402.97 ₹1,441 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹117.89 ₹573.24 ₹1,238 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹787.25 ₹1,783 ₹4,630 38
Owner Earnings ₹219.52 ₹1,157 ₹3,175 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹117.89 ₹529.02 ₹1,236 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹414.71 ₹1,181 ₹2,449 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹299.28 ₹1,008 ₹1,889 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹293.51 ₹860.23 ₹1,542 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹520.85 ₹1,420 ₹2,984 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹438.29 ₹1,202 ₹2,441 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹289.70 ₹1,948 ₹2,729 54
Lynch FV ₹570.49 ₹814.99 ₹1,059 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹570.49 ₹814.99 ₹1,059 46
EPV ₹142.64 ₹257.72 ₹360.00 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹59.89 ₹130.76 ₹220.01 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹59.89 ₹107.11 ₹136.27 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹639.04 ₹852.05 ₹1,065 63
P/S Multiple ₹384.03 ₹512.05 ₹640.06 58
P/B Multiple ₹543.18 ₹724.24 ₹905.30 55
EV/EBIT ₹559.98 ₹916.45 ₹1,273 53
EV/EBITDA ₹291.88 ₹558.99 ₹826.09 54
EV/Revenue ₹2.61 ₹156.22 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹140.08 ₹187.70 ₹280.15 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹736.31 ₹2,083 ₹4,724 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹117.89 ₹573.24 ₹1,238 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹296.01 ₹402.97 ₹1,441 76
ROIC Compounder ₹142.64 ₹257.72 ₹494.75 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹774.84 ₹1,107 ₹1,439 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹1,157) versus Dividend Discount (₹107.11). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹207B
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.7%
Net margin 48.4%
Return on equity 16.4%
Free cash flow ₹187B FY2026
P/E ratio 17.3
More key figures
Operating margin 70.2%
EPS (TTM) ₹53.27
Dividend yield 1.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +40.9%
Net debt ₹1.7T FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 76
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shriram Finance Limited, a non-banking finance company, provides financing services in India. It offers fixed and recurring deposits; commercial vehicle loans for commercial goods vehicles, passenger commercial vehicles, tractors and farm equipment, and construction equipment; two-wheeler, gold, used car loan, and personal loans; and green finance services.

Full company description

Shriram Finance Limited, a non-banking finance company, provides financing services in India. It offers fixed and recurring deposits; commercial vehicle loans for commercial goods vehicles, passenger commercial vehicles, tractors and farm equipment, and construction equipment; two-wheeler, gold, used car loan, and personal loans; and green finance services. The company also provides business loans, such as MSME loans; working capital loans, including tyre, tax, fuel, toll financing, repair/top-up loans, fuel finance, and challan discounting; motor insurance, including four-wheeler, two-wheeler, passenger and goods carrying vehicle insurance products; non motor insurance products, such as personal accident, shri criti care, and home insurance; and life insurance products comprising savings, retirement, child, protection plans, as well as recharges, including mobile recharge, mobile postpaid, landline postpaid, DTH, and FASTag recharge services. In addition, it offers utilities and bills payment services, such as electricity, LPG gas, gas, broadband postpaid, water, and cable tv; financial services and taxes comprising credit card, loan repayment, insurance, municipal services, and recurring deposit; and other services, such as hospital and pathology, housing society, clubs and associations, and education fees. It serves first time buyers, small road transport operators, individuals, micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs), salaried professionals, and self-employed individuals. The company was formerly known as Shriram Transport Finance Company Limited and changed its name to Shriram Finance Limited in November 2022. Shriram Finance Limited was incorporated in 1979 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Shriram Finance Limited reported revenue of ₹482B in FY2026 versus ₹193B in FY2022, a compound +25.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹100B in FY2026, compounding +38.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹482B
Latest YoY
+18.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+17.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+23.6%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y)
+26.8%
Revenue +25.7%/yr
FY22 ₹193B
FY23 ₹299B
FY24 ₹339B
FY25 ₹406B
FY26 ₹482B
Net income +38.5%/yr
FY22 ₹27.2B
FY23 ₹60.1B
FY24 ₹73.7B
FY25 ₹95.5B
FY26 ₹100B

SHRIRAMFIN screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shriram Finance Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SHRIRAMFIN

Peer Group

Credit Services · 333 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −52% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 48% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 70% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 25% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.94× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.66× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 11.64× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 25.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 35
FUTURE 100 · sector 39
PAST 66 · sector 31
HEALTH 3 · sector 59
DIVIDEND 21 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,808 ₹796.52 -56%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%
REC Limited RECLTD ₹352.45 ₹704.90 +100%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shriram Finance Limited (SHRIRAMFIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹553.83 versus a price of ₹1,141, about −51% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SHRIRAMFIN?
Our model-based fair value for Shriram Finance Limited is ₹553.83 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹1,141.
What is the quality score of SHRIRAMFIN?
Shriram Finance Limited has a Quality Score of 65/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shriram Finance Limited (SHRIRAMFIN)?
Shriram Finance Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹207B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SHRIRAMFIN?
The net profit margin of Shriram Finance Limited is about 48.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 48.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shriram Finance Limited pay a dividend?
Shriram Finance Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.18% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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