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Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company (CHOLAFIN) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · IN · Market cap ₹1.5T

CI Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN · NSE
Price₹1,940
Fair Value₹796.52
Upside-58.9%
Quality62/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 39.7% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
0.11% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Wide moat 76/100
Evidence: High Range ₹564.64 – ₹3,186 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ₹797.99 to ₹796.52 (−0.2%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +4.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 59% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (₹564.64 to ₹3,186). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹1,940 ₹470.77 Fair Value ₹796.52 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹470.77 – ₹1,940 · fair‑value band ₹564.64 – ₹3,186 · the ₹1,940 price screens above the ₹796.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company (CHOLAFIN) currently trades at ₹1,940, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹796.52, implying the stock looks roughly 58.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company generated revenue of ₹132B at a net margin of 39.8%. Revenue grew 24.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.3%. Net debt stands at ₹2.0T. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹564.64 (bear case) to ₹3,186 (bull case); at ₹1,940, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at -59%, CHOLAFIN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹1,716 ₹4,449 ₹10,209 80
Residual Income ₹430.78 ₹605.07 ₹2,925 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹125.02 ₹1,130 ₹2,835 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹1,894 ₹3,794 ₹10,006 38
Owner Earnings ₹1,190 ₹4,204 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹125.02 ₹830.61 ₹2,255 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹536.60 ₹1,674 ₹3,859 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹297.82 ₹1,658 ₹3,416 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹599.16 ₹2,044 ₹2,888 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹934.40 ₹2,929 ₹6,417 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹757.37 ₹2,415 ₹5,115 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹416.64 ₹2,906 ₹4,078 54
Lynch FV ₹1,032 ₹1,474 ₹1,916 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹1,032 ₹1,474 ₹1,916 46
EPV ₹160.72 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹19.09 ₹41.68 ₹70.14 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹19.09 ₹34.15 ₹43.44 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹919.06 ₹1,225 ₹1,532 63
P/S Multiple ₹692.44 ₹923.25 ₹1,154 58
P/B Multiple ₹781.20 ₹1,042 ₹1,302 55
EV/EBIT ₹453.54 ₹1,007 ₹1,561 53
EV/EBITDA ₹24.48 ₹435.22 ₹845.97 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹178.33 ₹238.96 ₹356.65 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹1,716 ₹4,449 ₹10,209 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹125.02 ₹1,130 ₹2,835 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹430.78 ₹605.07 ₹2,925 76
ROIC Compounder ₹160.72 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹1,313 ₹1,876 ₹2,439 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹1,876) versus Dividend Discount (₹34.15). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹132B
Revenue growth (YoY) +24.8%
Net margin 39.7%
Return on equity 19.3%
Free cash flow ₹148B FY2026
P/E ratio 29.2
More key figures
Operating margin 55.3%
EPS (TTM) ₹61.82
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +29.0%
Net debt ₹2.0T FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 20
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 83
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company Limited, operates as a non-banking finance company in India. The company operates through Vehicle Finance, Loan Against Property, Home Loans, and Other Loans segments. It offers loans for commercial vehicles, passenger vehicles, two- and three- wheelers, and tractors, as well as construction equipment.

Full company description

Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company Limited, operates as a non-banking finance company in India. The company operates through Vehicle Finance, Loan Against Property, Home Loans, and Other Loans segments. It offers loans for commercial vehicles, passenger vehicles, two- and three- wheelers, and tractors, as well as construction equipment. The company also provides secured loans against property, and home and SME loans, as well as consumer and small enterprise loans, including personal loans, professional loans, and business loans to salaried, self-employed professional and non-professional customers, and micro and small businesses. In addition, it offers gold loans, consumer durable loans, corporate insurance agencies, stockbroking and depository participants, offline payment aggregator, home extension, balance transfer of existing loans, supply chain finance, and secured term loans. Further, the company provides dealer portal services under the Gaadi Bazaar brand, which act as a hub for dealers in listing vehicles, generating leads, and applying for loans and trade advances. Additionally, it operates Payswiff, an omnichannel payment transaction solution that lets business owners accept payments from their customers in-store, at-home deliveries, online and on-the-go using mPOS, and POS solutions. The company was incorporated in 1978 and is headquartered in Chennai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company reported revenue of ₹315B in FY2026 versus ₹101B in FY2022, a compound +32.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹52.3B in FY2026, compounding +24.9%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹315B
Latest YoY
+21.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+34.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+26.9%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+26.4%
Revenue +32.8%/yr
FY22 ₹101B
FY23 ₹129B
FY24 ₹192B
FY25 ₹259B
FY26 ₹315B
Net income +24.9%/yr
FY22 ₹21.5B
FY23 ₹26.6B
FY24 ₹34.2B
FY25 ₹42.6B
FY26 ₹52.3B

CHOLAFIN screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHOLAFIN

Peer Group

Credit Services · 333 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −59% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 40% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 55% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 25% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 3.87× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 5.07× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 11.72× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 35.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 35
FUTURE 100 · sector 39
PAST 77 · sector 31
HEALTH 0 · sector 59
DIVIDEND 2 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,024 ₹553.83 -46%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%
REC Limited RECLTD ₹352.45 ₹704.90 +100%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company (CHOLAFIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹796.52 versus a price of ₹1,940, about −59% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CHOLAFIN?
Our model-based fair value for Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company is ₹796.52 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹1,940.
What is the quality score of CHOLAFIN?
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company has a Quality Score of 62/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company (CHOLAFIN)?
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹132B (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CHOLAFIN?
The net profit margin of Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company is about 39.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 39.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company pay a dividend?
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.13% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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