China State Construction Development Holdings (0830) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$1.5B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +1.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 86% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (33/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.03). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.4958 – HK$2.54 · fair‑value band HK$1.03 – HK$1.72 · the HK$0.6600 price screens below the HK$1.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
China State Construction Development Holdings (0830) currently trades at HK$0.6600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.23, implying the stock looks roughly 86.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, China State Construction Development Holdings generated revenue of HK$6.0B at a net margin of 4.0%. Revenue declined 22.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.6%. Net debt stands at HK$756M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$1.03 (bear case) to HK$1.72 (bull case); at HK$0.6600, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 86%, 0830 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$2.31) versus Economic Profit (HK$0.5600). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China State Construction Development Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the general contracting business in Hong Kong and internationally. The company operates through Facade and General Contracting Works, and Operating Management segments.
Full company description
China State Construction Development Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the general contracting business in Hong Kong and internationally. The company operates through Facade and General Contracting Works, and Operating Management segments. It is involved in the design, engineering, manufacture, and installation of curtain wall systems, aluminium windows, and other related products. The company also provides urban planning management and consultation, engineering consultancy services, senior housing services, and funding to infrastructure projects, as well as engages in thermoelectricity business; company secretarial, consultancy and construction, construction maintenance, project consultancy, engineering consultancy, business development, and management services. In addition, it is involved in the building construction and project management activities; property holding business; generation and supply of heat and electricity; and trading of coal. The company was formerly known as Far East Global Group Limited and changed its name to China State Construction Development Holdings Limited in March 2019. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Chai Wan, Hong Kong. China State Construction Development Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Add Treasure Holdings Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China State Construction Development Holdings reported revenue of HK$6.0B in FY2025 versus HK$6.3B in FY2021, a compound −1.3%/yr. Reported net income was HK$237M in FY2025, compounding −5.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 838 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹4,020 | ₹1,994 | -50% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 357,500 KRW | 261,411 KRW | -27% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 113,700 KRW | 61,453 KRW | -46% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 49,300 KRW | 43,624 KRW | -12% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹230.00 | ₹48.92 | -79% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 18,400 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -65% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 99,800 KRW | 19,346 KRW | -81% |
| GS Engineering & Construction Corporation 006360 | 35,200 KRW | 23,135 KRW | -34% |
| DL E&C Co 375500 | 73,500 KRW | 148,433 KRW | +102% |
| KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering Co 051600 | 45,400 KRW | 43,924 KRW | -3% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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