Carpenter Tan Holdings (0837) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$1.5B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$12.52 to HK$12.53 (+0.1%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −2.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 108% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (73/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$8.15). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$8.15 to HK$16.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$2.63 – HK$8.44 · fair‑value band HK$8.15 – HK$16.20 · the HK$6.02 price screens below the HK$12.53 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Carpenter Tan Holdings (0837) currently trades at HK$6.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$12.53, implying the stock looks roughly 108.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Carpenter Tan Holdings generated revenue of HK$558M at a net margin of 30.6%. Revenue grew 11.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$59.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$8.15 (bear case) to HK$16.20 (bull case); at HK$6.02, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -38% fair-value upside, at 108%, 0837 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$13.93) versus Asset-Based (HK$2.61). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Carpenter Tan Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, designs, manufactures, and distributes wooden handicrafts and accessories under the Carpenter Tan brand.
Full company description
Carpenter Tan Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, designs, manufactures, and distributes wooden handicrafts and accessories under the Carpenter Tan brand. The company offers wooden or horn combs, such as colored drawing combs, grass-and-tree dyed wooden combs, and carved combs; pocket-size wooden mirrors that includes colored drawing mirrors and carved mirrors; other wooden accessories and adornments comprising bead bracelets, pendants, barrettes, hair bobs, and massage tools; and box sets that combine its products in themes for gift purpose. It is involved in the operation of retail shops in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China, as well as franchise and distribution network primarily in the People's Republic of China; distribution of wooden handicrafts and accessories through internet; and property investment activities. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Carpenter Tan Holdings reported revenue of HK$558M in FY2025 versus HK$331M in FY2021, a compound +14.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$171M in FY2025, compounding +12.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +7.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch 0837: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Household & Personal Products · 252 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Procter & Gamble Company PG | $144.26 | $108.16 | -25% |
| Unilever PLC ULN | 1,080 MXN | 973.58 MXN | -10% |
| Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR | ₹2,063 | ₹789.46 | -62% |
| Essity AB ESSITYA | kr 276.50 | kr 250.02 | -10% |
| Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP | ₹936.90 | ₹367.64 | -61% |
| Marico Limited MARICO | ₹855.00 | ₹233.05 | -73% |
| APR Co 278470 | 397,000 KRW | 137,521 KRW | -65% |
| Dabur India Limited DABUR | ₹411.25 | ₹175.59 | -57% |
| PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR | 1,760 IDR | 1,928 IDR | +10% |
| Amorepacific Corporation 090430 | 135,700 KRW | 84,785 KRW | -38% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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