Teekay Tankers Ltd. (0EAQ) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Teekay Tankers Ltd. $12.30, price $103, upside -88.1%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $7.28 – $103.00 · fair‑value band $8.39 – $17.44 · the $102.98 price screens above the $12.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Teekay Tankers Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine transportation services to oil industries in Bermuda and internationally. The company operates in two segments: Tankers and Marine Servies.
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Teekay Tankers Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine transportation services to oil industries in Bermuda and internationally. The company operates in two segments: Tankers and Marine Servies. It offers voyage and time charter services; offshore ship-to-ship transfer of commodities primarily crude oil and refined oil products; and tanker commercial and technical management services. In addition, the company is involved in the vessels management, procurement, and equipment rental businesses. It serves energy and utility companies, oil traders, oil consumers and petroleum product producers, government agencies, and various other entities that depend upon marine transportation. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.
Stock analysis
Teekay Tankers Ltd. (0EAQ) currently trades at $102.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.30, 88.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $23.65 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $102.98 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $3.54, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $8.39 (bear) to $17.44 (bull), the price of $102.98 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Teekay Tankers Ltd. reported revenue of $952M in FY2025 versus $542M in FY2021, a compound +15.1%/yr. Reported net income was $351M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $3.6B · EPS (TTM) $−6.93 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 36.9% · Return on equity 21.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.6% · Operating margin 43.7% · Revenue (TTM) $1.0B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 117% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −88%, 0EAQ screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $8.39Fair Value $12.30Bull $17.44
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−22.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.4% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+40.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+39.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.39.7% vs 6.8%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24% → 23%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+22.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−21.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +19.6% a year for the price and −23.1% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Marine Transportation” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5298 stocks
Beats the sector median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside−88.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)21.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets8.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)42.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)43.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth23.5% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrials median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.75× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)3.56× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF31.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA8.1× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 17
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 36
PAST (return on equity)85· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)94· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)19· sector 37
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Teekay Tankers Ltd. (0EAQ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.30 versus a price of $102.98, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0EAQ?
Our model-based fair value for Teekay Tankers Ltd. is $12.30 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $102.98.
What is the quality score of 0EAQ?
Teekay Tankers Ltd. has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Teekay Tankers Ltd. (0EAQ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $12.30 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $8.39, optimistic scenario $17.44. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Teekay Tankers Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $12.30, about −88% upside versus a price of $102.98 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $8.39, optimistic scenario $17.44. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Teekay Tankers Ltd. (0EAQ)?
Teekay Tankers Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Teekay Tankers Ltd. pay a dividend?
Teekay Tankers Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.97% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Teekay Tankers Ltd. (0EAQ)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Teekay Tankers Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +22.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0EAQ use?
Our models discount Teekay Tankers Ltd. at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (unknown), country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Teekay Tankers Ltd. that is +22.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Teekay Tankers Ltd. (0EAQ) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Teekay Tankers Ltd. grew +1.4 % a year. The price currently implies +22.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Teekay Tankers Ltd. (0EAQ) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Teekay Tankers Ltd. (+22.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Teekay Tankers Ltd. (0EAQ)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.38 %: that much free cash flow Teekay Tankers Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Teekay Tankers Ltd. (0EAQ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Teekay Tankers Ltd. it is $12.30 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $102.98. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Teekay Tankers Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0EAQ trades above its calculated fair value: price $102.98, fair value $12.30, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0EAQ?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($102.98); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($12.30). For Teekay Tankers Ltd. the two are $90.68 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Teekay Tankers Ltd. worth?
The market values Teekay Tankers Ltd. at about $3.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $102.98; our models calculate a fair value of $12.30 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0EAQ?
Our models span a range for Teekay Tankers Ltd.: cautious scenario $8.39, base $12.30, optimistic $17.44 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $102.98). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Teekay Tankers Ltd. (0EAQ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Teekay Tankers Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 21.4%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0EAQ from its 52-week high?
Teekay Tankers Ltd. trades at $102.98, at its 52-week high of $103.00 and 117% above the low of $47.41 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $12.30 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Teekay Tankers Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value CARGOTRANS, SHAHISHIP, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Teekay Tankers Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $102.98, calculated fair value $12.30 (−88%), Quality Score 54/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0EAQ calculated?
We run Teekay Tankers Ltd. through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $12.30, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Teekay Tankers Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Teekay Tankers Ltd. (0EAQ)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $102.98. Our model-based fair value is $12.30, about −88% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Teekay Tankers Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($17.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($8.39 to $17.44) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Teekay Tankers Ltd. (0EAQ) come from?
Earnings per share at Teekay Tankers Ltd. grew +7.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.2 %, EBIT margin +1.2 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Teekay Tankers Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Teekay Tankers Ltd. (0EAQ)?
The market capitalisation of Teekay Tankers Ltd. is $3.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Teekay Tankers Ltd. (0EAQ)?
Earnings per share at Teekay Tankers Ltd. are $−6.93. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Teekay Tankers Ltd. (0EAQ)?
The dividend yield of Teekay Tankers Ltd. is 1.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Teekay Tankers Ltd. (0EAQ)?
The net margin of Teekay Tankers Ltd. is 36.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Teekay Tankers Ltd. (0EAQ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Teekay Tankers Ltd. is 21.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Teekay Tankers Ltd. (0EAQ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Teekay Tankers Ltd. is 12.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Teekay Tankers Ltd. (0EAQ)?
The operating margin of Teekay Tankers Ltd. is 43.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Teekay Tankers Ltd. (0EAQ)?
Revenue at Teekay Tankers Ltd. is growing +23.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Teekay Tankers Ltd. (0EAQ)?
Earnings per share at Teekay Tankers Ltd. are growing +101% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Teekay Tankers Ltd. (0EAQ) hold?
Teekay Tankers Ltd. holds more cash than debt, $776M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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