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ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (ASELS) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TR · Market cap 1.6T TRY

AE ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS · IS
Price337.50 TRY
Fair Value130.70 TRY
Upside-61.3%
Quality50/100
Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 17.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.12% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 64/100
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Evidence: High Range 61.82 TRY – 164.14 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated today

Share price −2.2% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (164.14 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (61.82 TRY to 164.14 TRY). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

434.00 TRY 169.78 TRY Fair Value 130.70 TRY Aug 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 169.78 TRY – 434.00 TRY · fair‑value band 61.82 TRY – 164.14 TRY · the 337.50 TRY price screens above the 130.70 TRY fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (ASELS) currently trades at 337.50 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 130.70 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 61.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi generated revenue of 185B TRY at a net margin of 17.6%. Revenue grew 15.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.8%. Net debt stands at 14.0B TRY. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 61.82 TRY (bear case) to 164.14 TRY (bull case); at 337.50 TRY, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 102% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at -61%, ASELS screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 185B TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.0%
Net margin 17.6%
Return on equity 14.8%
Free cash flow 10.7B TRY FY2025
P/E ratio 49.8
More key figures
Operating margin 20.5%
EPS (TTM) 7.12 TRY
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +86.1%
Net debt 14.0B TRY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100
Profitability 44
Quality Growth 43
Cashflow 51
Fin. Strength 70
Investment 0
Low Volatility 52
Momentum 59
52W Momentum 80
Net Issuance 40

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi engages in research, development, engineering, production, testing, assembly, integration, sale, support, consultancy, and trading of software, equipment, systems, tools, materials, and platforms in turkey.

Full company description

ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi engages in research, development, engineering, production, testing, assembly, integration, sale, support, consultancy, and trading of software, equipment, systems, tools, materials, and platforms in turkey. It operates in six divisions: Communication and Information Technologies; Microelectronics, Guidance & Electro-Optics; Avionics and Guidance Systems Vice Presidency; Integrated Defence Systems Technologies; Radar and Electronic Warfare Systems; and Transportation, Security, Energy, Automation and Healthcare Systems. The company offers military communication and information, mission critical communication, avionics and navigation, electro-optic, guidance and seeker, land and weapon, naval and underwater, air and missile, transportation and energy, and security and health systems; satellite and space technologies; radar technologies; electronic warfare system technologies; and command, control, communication and computer systems. It also provides geographic information system; business development and repair services; and consultancy services, as well as operates in the fields of augmented reality, artificial intelligence, simulation software, research, development, and design and engineering. In addition, the company is involved in serial production, maintenance and repair activities of visible precision optical and electro optical devices; designing of electronic industry and integrated circuit; marketing and business development business; research, designing, development, and engineering activities of weapons and weapons systems; after-sales services of electronic components within the field of military power electronics; and commercial and industrial activities related to electromechanical industrial products and slip ring. The company was incorporated in 1975 and is headquartered in Ankara, Turkey. ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is a subsidiary of Turkish Armed Forces Foundation.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi reported revenue of 180B TRL in FY2025 versus 20.1B TRL in FY2021, a compound +73.0%/yr. Reported net income was 29.9B TRL in FY2025, compounding +43.2%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +73.0%/yr
FY21 20.1B TRL
FY22 35.3B TRL
FY23 106B TRL
FY24 157B TRL
FY25 180B TRL
Net income +43.2%/yr
FY21 7.1B TRL
FY22 11.9B TRL
FY23 10.5B TRL
FY24 20.0B TRL
FY25 29.9B TRL

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASELS

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 / 0
FUTURE 75 / 47
PAST 59 / 33
HEALTH 99 / 93
DIVIDEND 2 / 15

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $327.65 $154.19 -53%
RTX Corporation 5UR €159.35 €92.94 -42%
Airbus SE 1AIR €206.30 €92.85 -55%
The Boeing Company BA C$37.56 C$10.09 -73%
Safran SA SAFRY $93.44 $57.63 -38%
Rolls-Royce Holdings RRU €14.22 €11.22 -21%
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT 8,857 MXN 6,834 MXN -23%
General Dynamics Corporation GDBR34 R$1,729 R$1,543 -11%
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOCG34 R$560.31 R$294.87 -47%
TransDigm Group T1DG34 R$133.56 R$10.95 -92%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (ASELS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 130.70 TRY versus a price of 337.50 TRY, about −61% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ASELS?
Our model-based fair value for ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is 130.70 TRY (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 337.50 TRY.
What is the quality score of ASELS?
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi has a Quality Score of 50/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (ASELS)?
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 185B TRY (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ASELS?
The net profit margin of ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is about 17.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi pay a dividend?
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.12% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 31, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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