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Orange Belgium S.A. (0FBS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Orange Belgium S.A. €21.56, price €22.15, upside -2.7%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Communication Services · GB · Home Belgium

OB Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Orange Belgium S.A.

0FBS · LSE

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value €21.56 · Fairly valued (−2.7%)
✓Quality 67/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y +1.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 17 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€23.09 €12.44 Fair Value €21.56 Nov 2020 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €12.44 – €23.09 · fair‑value band €16.29 – €26.83 · the €22.15 price screens above the €21.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Orange Belgium S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunication services in Belgium and Luxembourg. It offers mobile telecommunications, internet, and television services to residential clients, as well as mobile and fixed line services to businesses and corporates. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Brussels, Belgium.

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Orange Belgium S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunication services in Belgium and Luxembourg. It offers mobile telecommunications, internet, and television services to residential clients, as well as mobile and fixed line services to businesses and corporates. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Brussels, Belgium. Orange Belgium S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Atlas Services Belgium S.A.

Stock analysis

Orange Belgium S.A. (0FBS) currently trades at €22.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €21.56, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 2.7%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €53.60 per share, and 11 of the 23 models we run sit above the €22.15 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €5.00, and 12 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €16.29 (bear) to €26.83 (bull), the price of €22.15 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Orange Belgium S.A. reported revenue of €1.3B in FY2020 versus €1.2B in FY2016, a compound +1.4%/yr. Reported net income was €54.0M in FY2020, compounding −8.4%/yr from FY2016.

Key figures

Market cap €1.2B · P/S ratio 0.59 · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin 4.1% · Return on equity 4.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3% · Operating margin 10.2% · Revenue (TTM) €2.0B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at −3%, 0FBS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €16.29 Fair Value €21.56 Bull €26.83
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €62.05 €79.12 €109.86 78
Growth DCF €63.82 €80.12 €107.03 76
EPV €7.48 €8.44 €9.23 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €62.05 €79.12 €109.86 78
5Y Revenue Exit €33.45 €39.46 €48.47 71
5Y EBITDA Exit €58.11 €81.52 €113.37 72
5Y P/E Exit €35.44 €42.87 €52.33 69
10Y Revenue Exit €45.35 €51.60 €57.67 65
10Y EBITDA Exit €59.40 €76.36 €94.68 67
10Y P/E Exit €46.74 €53.60 €59.88 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €7.00 €10.44 €12.37 65
EPV €7.48 €8.44 €9.23 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €4.45 €5.00 €5.63 67
DDM Multi-Stage €4.45 €5.50 €6.73 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple €17.00 €22.66 €28.33 63
P/S Multiple €13.13 €17.51 €21.89 58
P/B Multiple €13.13 €17.51 €21.89 55
EV/EBIT €16.37 €21.66 €26.95 66
EV/EBITDA €63.95 €85.11 €106.27 67
EV/Revenue €12.53 €17.69 €22.85 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €5.86 €7.85 €11.72 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €63.82 €80.12 €107.03 76
Rev-Margin DCF €33.45 €41.05 €51.62 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income €9.54 €10.20 €11.24 73
ROIC Compounder €7.48 €8.44 €9.23 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €11.98 €17.12 €22.25 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.6% (2016) → 5.3% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 237 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −2.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4.2% · Below median
Return on assets 2.5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 10.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −1.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.13× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.67× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.2× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)30 · sector 42
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)17 · sector 34
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 87
DIVIDEND (yield)52 · sector 71

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 80941 HK$67.30 HK$114.85 +71%
Verizon Communications Inc VZ $45.87 $70.27 +53%
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $162.98 $272.88 +67%
AT&T Inc T $24.48 $51.11 +109%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,741 ₹1,883 +8%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.16 ¥8.36 +36%
Saudi Telecom Company 7010 43.22 SAR 41.80 SAR −3%
Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z74 4.28 SGD 2.16 SGD −50%
Swisscom AG SCMN CHF 639.00 CHF 505.18 −21%
Telstra Group TLS A$4.83 A$4.43 −8%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orange Belgium S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0FBS

Frequently asked questions

Is Orange Belgium S.A. (0FBS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €21.56 versus a price of €22.15, about −3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 0FBS?
Our model-based fair value for Orange Belgium S.A. is €21.56 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €22.15.
What is the quality score of 0FBS?
Orange Belgium S.A. has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Orange Belgium S.A. (0FBS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €21.56 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario €16.29, optimistic scenario €26.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Orange Belgium S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €21.56, about −3% upside versus a price of €22.15 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €16.29, optimistic scenario €26.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Orange Belgium S.A. (0FBS)?
Orange Belgium S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €2.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Orange Belgium S.A. pay a dividend?
Orange Belgium S.A. currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.59% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Orange Belgium S.A. (0FBS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Orange Belgium S.A. it is €21.56 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €22.15. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Orange Belgium S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0FBS trades above its calculated fair value: price €22.15, fair value €21.56, a gap of about −3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0FBS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€22.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€21.56). For Orange Belgium S.A. the two are €0.5900 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Orange Belgium S.A. worth?
The market values Orange Belgium S.A. at about €1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €22.15; our models calculate a fair value of €21.56 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0FBS?
Our models span a range for Orange Belgium S.A.: cautious scenario €16.29, base €21.56, optimistic €26.83 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €22.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Orange Belgium S.A. (0FBS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Orange Belgium S.A. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.2%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0FBS from its 52-week high?
Orange Belgium S.A. trades at €22.15, at its 52-week high of €22.25 and 17% above the low of €18.95 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €21.56 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Orange Belgium S.A.?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, Verizon Communications Inc, T-Mobile US, Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Orange Belgium S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €22.15, calculated fair value €21.56 (−3%), Quality Score 67/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0FBS calculated?
We run Orange Belgium S.A. through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €21.56, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Orange Belgium S.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Orange Belgium S.A. (0FBS)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €22.15. Our model-based fair value is €21.56, about −3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Orange Belgium S.A. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Orange Belgium S.A.

How large is the market capitalisation of Orange Belgium S.A. (0FBS)?
The market capitalisation of Orange Belgium S.A. is €1.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Orange Belgium S.A. (0FBS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Orange Belgium S.A. is 0.59 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Orange Belgium S.A. (0FBS)?
The dividend yield of Orange Belgium S.A. is 2.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Orange Belgium S.A. (0FBS)?
The net margin of Orange Belgium S.A. is 4.1% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Orange Belgium S.A. (0FBS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Orange Belgium S.A. is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Orange Belgium S.A. (0FBS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Orange Belgium S.A. is 3.3% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Orange Belgium S.A. (0FBS)?
The operating margin of Orange Belgium S.A. is 10.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Orange Belgium S.A. (0FBS)?
Revenue at Orange Belgium S.A. is growing −1.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Orange Belgium S.A. (0FBS)?
Earnings per share at Orange Belgium S.A. are growing +11.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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