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Autodesk Inc. (0HJF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Autodesk Inc. $216, price $212, upside +1.8%, quality 77 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · GB · Home US

AI Some data Sep 24, 2026

Autodesk Inc.

0HJF · LSE

Quality WatchlistQuality growthA strong company, but the current price is close to Fair Value.

·Fair value $215.56 · Fairly valued (+1.8%)
✓Quality 77/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +13.7 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 19.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (8/9)
✓Wide moat 83/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$342.33 $165.08 Fair Value $215.56 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $165.08 – $342.33 · fair‑value band $161.66 – $269.44 · the $211.66 price screens below the $215.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Autodesk, Inc. engages in the provision of 3D design, engineering, and entertainment technology solutions worldwide.

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Autodesk, Inc. engages in the provision of 3D design, engineering, and entertainment technology solutions worldwide. The company offers AutoCAD Civil 3D, a surveying, design, analysis, and documentation solution; Autodesk Build, a toolset for managing, sharing, and accessing project documents for streamlined workflows between the office, trailer, and jobsite; Revit, a software built for building information modeling to help professionals design, build, and maintain energy-efficient buildings; Autodesk BIM Collaborate Pro, cloud-based design collaboration and design management software; BuildingConnected, a SaaS preconstruction solution; and Tandem, a cloud-based platform that transforms the built asset lifecycle. It also provides AutoCAD software, a customizable and extensible CAD application for professional design, drafting, detailing, and visualization; AutoCAD LT, a drafting and detailing software; Fusion, a 3D CAD, computer-aided manufacturing, and computer-aided engineering tool; Inventor, a software solution that offers a set of tools for 3D mechanical design, simulation, analysis, tooling, visualization, and documentation; product design and manufacturing collection tools; and Vault, a data management software for managing data in one central location, accelerate design processes, and streamline internal/external collaboration. The company offers Flow Production Tracking, a cloud-based production management software; Maya software that offers 3D modeling, animation, effects, rendering, and compositing solutions for film and video artists, game developers, and design visualization professionals; Media and Entertainment Collection that offers end-to-end creative tools for entertainment creation; and 3ds Max software, which provides 3D modeling, animation, and rendering solutions. It sells its products and services through a network of resellers and distributors. Autodesk, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Stock analysis

Autodesk Inc. (0HJF) currently trades at $211.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $215.56, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 1.8%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $155.66 per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the $211.66 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $40.52, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $161.66 (bear) to $269.44 (bull), the price of $211.66 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Autodesk Inc. reported revenue of $7.2B in FY2026 versus $4.4B in FY2022, a compound +13.1%/yr. Reported net income was $1.1B in FY2026, compounding +22.6%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $45.5B · P/E ratio 0.9 · P/S ratio 0.15 · EPS (TTM) $2.21 · Net margin 15.6% · Return on equity 50.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.3% · Operating margin 29.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at 2%, 0HJF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $161.66 Fair Value $215.56 Bull $269.44
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.48 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $135.76 $233.94 $395.79 78
Growth DCF $134.80 $224.60 $367.40 77
Owner Earnings $73.38 $125.49 $211.40 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $135.76 $233.94 $395.79 78
Owner Earnings $73.38 $125.49 $211.40 74
5Y Revenue Exit $74.54 $110.56 $156.41 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $101.35 $165.22 $243.19 74
5Y P/E Exit $96.66 $155.66 $221.31 70
10Y Revenue Exit $93.58 $134.12 $190.73 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $112.22 $173.03 $260.99 68
10Y P/E Exit $109.19 $166.22 $243.28 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $34.90 $155.86 $213.56 64
Lynch FV $40.52 $57.89 $75.26 61
PEG = 1.0 $40.52 $57.89 $75.26 57
EPV $57.38 $66.00 $73.43 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $80.83 $107.78 $134.72 63
P/S Multiple $49.35 $65.81 $82.26 58
P/B Multiple $46.92 $62.57 $78.21 55
EV/EBIT $107.23 $142.05 $176.86 66
EV/EBITDA $91.34 $120.86 $150.37 67
EV/Revenue $44.25 $62.02 $79.79 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.95 $9.32 $13.90 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $134.80 $224.60 $367.40 77
Rev-Margin DCF $74.54 $111.40 $158.76 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $29.03 $40.52 $82.96 66
ROIC Compounder $61.75 $76.33 $92.63 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $66.16 $94.52 $122.87 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 77/100

Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 72
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 39
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.3% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+18.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+18.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.18.5% vs 31.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 25%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+16.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +14.2% a year for the price and +7.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)+13.8%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+10.5%
Projected 2029 (sales)+9.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+8.4%
Projected 2031 (sales)+7.3%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Application Software” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5298 stocks

Beats the sector median on 8/9 measures
Overall it ranks above its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +1.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 50.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 19.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 29.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 18.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.54× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Industrials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.9× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)36 · sector 17
FUTURE (revenue growth)92 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)73 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 37

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Autodesk Inc. · Fair Value
$215.56 +2%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Autodesk Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0HJF

Frequently asked questions

Is Autodesk Inc. (0HJF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $215.56 versus a price of $211.66, about +2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 0HJF?
Our model-based fair value for Autodesk Inc. is $215.56 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $211.66.
What is the quality score of 0HJF?
Autodesk Inc. has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Autodesk Inc. (0HJF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $215.56 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $161.66, optimistic scenario $269.44. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Autodesk Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $215.56, about +2% upside versus a price of $211.66 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $161.66, optimistic scenario $269.44. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Autodesk Inc. (0HJF)?
Autodesk Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Autodesk Inc. (0HJF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Autodesk Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +16.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0HJF use?
Our models discount Autodesk Inc. at 11.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (unknown), damped by beta 1.32, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Autodesk Inc. that is +16.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Autodesk Inc. (0HJF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Autodesk Inc. grew +13.7 % a year. The price currently implies +16.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Autodesk Inc. (0HJF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Autodesk Inc. (+16.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Autodesk Inc. (0HJF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.00 %: that much free cash flow Autodesk Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Autodesk Inc. (0HJF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Autodesk Inc. it is $215.56 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $211.66. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Autodesk Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0HJF trades below its calculated fair value: price $211.66, fair value $215.56, a gap of about +2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0HJF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($211.66); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($215.56). For Autodesk Inc. the two are $3.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Autodesk Inc. worth?
The market values Autodesk Inc. at about $45.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $211.66; our models calculate a fair value of $215.56 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0HJF?
Our models span a range for Autodesk Inc.: cautious scenario $161.66, base $215.56, optimistic $269.44 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $211.66). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0HJF?
Autodesk Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $215.56 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Autodesk Inc. (0HJF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Autodesk Inc. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 50.4%, debt of 0.54 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 77/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0HJF from its 52-week high?
Autodesk Inc. trades at $211.66, about 35% below its 52-week high of $325.15 and 13% above the low of $187.18 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $215.56 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Autodesk Inc.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SCANPGEOM, ERPSOFT, FIRSTFIN, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Autodesk Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $211.66, calculated fair value $215.56 (+2%), Quality Score 77/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0HJF calculated?
We run Autodesk Inc. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $215.56, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Autodesk Inc. currently trades 2 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Autodesk Inc. (0HJF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $211.66. Our model-based fair value is $215.56, about +2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Autodesk Inc. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of Autodesk Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Autodesk Inc. (0HJF)?
The market capitalisation of Autodesk Inc. is $45.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Autodesk Inc. (0HJF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Autodesk Inc. is 0.15 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Autodesk Inc. (0HJF)?
Earnings per share at Autodesk Inc. are $2.21 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Autodesk Inc. (0HJF)?
The net margin of Autodesk Inc. is 15.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Autodesk Inc. (0HJF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Autodesk Inc. is 50.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Autodesk Inc. (0HJF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Autodesk Inc. is 11.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Autodesk Inc. (0HJF)?
The operating margin of Autodesk Inc. is 29.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Autodesk Inc. (0HJF)?
Revenue at Autodesk Inc. is growing +18.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Autodesk Inc. (0HJF)?
Earnings per share at Autodesk Inc. are growing +231% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Autodesk Inc. (0HJF) carry?
The net debt of Autodesk Inc. is $684M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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