Henkel AG (0IZ8) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Henkel AG €49.79, price €66.75, upside -25.4%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €50.40 – €74.73 · fair‑value band €32.15 – €66.61 · the €66.75 price screens above the €49.79 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Henkel AG & Co. KGaA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the adhesive technologies and consumer brands businesses in Europe, India, the Middle East, Africa, North America, Latin America, the Asia Pacific.
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Henkel AG & Co. KGaA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the adhesive technologies and consumer brands businesses in Europe, India, the Middle East, Africa, North America, Latin America, the Asia Pacific. It offers adhesives, sealants, and functional coatings for various business areas, including packaging and consumer goods; mobility and electronics; and craftsmen, construction, and professional industries. The company also provides hair styling, hair colorants, and hair care products; and body care products, as well as distributes its products through brick-and-mortar stores, hair salons, and digital channels. In addition, it offers laundry and home care products, such as heavy-duty and specialty detergents, fabric softeners and laundry additives, and other fabric cleaning and fabric care products; dishwashing products; and hard surface and toilet cleaners. Further, the company provides household cleaners products. The company was founded in 1876 and is headquartered in Düsseldorf, Germany.
Stock analysis
Henkel AG (0IZ8) currently trades at €66.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €49.79, 25.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €54.00 per share, and 2 of the 23 models we run sit above the €66.75 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €17.39, and 21 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €32.15 (bear) to €66.61 (bull), the price of €66.75 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Henkel AG reported revenue of €19.3B in FY2020 versus €18.7B in FY2016, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was €1.4B in FY2020, compounding −9.0%/yr from FY2016.
Key figures
Market cap €30.7B · P/S ratio 1.50 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 7.3% · Return on equity 9.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.4% · Operating margin 12.0% · Revenue (TTM) €20.5B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −25%, 0IZ8 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €32.15Fair Value €49.79Bull €66.61
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.35/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.3%
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
14.8% (2016) → 10.5% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Household & Personal Products · 240 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Below median
Fair Value upside−29.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9.7% · Above median
Return on assets5.1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)9.9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)12.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−6.3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.09× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Henkel AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0IZ8
Frequently asked questions
Is Henkel AG (0IZ8) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €49.79 versus a price of €66.75, about −25% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0IZ8?
Our model-based fair value for Henkel AG is €49.79 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €66.75.
What is the quality score of 0IZ8?
Henkel AG has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Henkel AG (0IZ8)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €49.79 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario €32.15, optimistic scenario €66.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Henkel AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €49.79, about −25% upside versus a price of €66.75 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €32.15, optimistic scenario €66.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Henkel AG (0IZ8)?
Henkel AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €20.5B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Henkel AG pay a dividend?
Henkel AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.10% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Henkel AG (0IZ8)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Henkel AG it is €49.79 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of €66.75. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Henkel AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 0IZ8 trades above its calculated fair value: price €66.75, fair value €49.79, a gap of about −25% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0IZ8?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€66.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€49.79). For Henkel AG the two are €16.96 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Henkel AG worth?
The market values Henkel AG at about €30.7B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is €66.75; our models calculate a fair value of €49.79 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0IZ8?
Our models span a range for Henkel AG: cautious scenario €32.15, base €49.79, optimistic €66.61 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price €66.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Henkel AG (0IZ8)?
Balance-sheet figures for Henkel AG (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 9.7%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0IZ8 from its 52-week high?
Henkel AG trades at €66.75, about 11% below its 52-week high of €74.73 and 16% above the low of €57.40 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €49.79 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Henkel AG?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Colgate-Palmolive Company, Hindustan Unilever Limited, Kenvue Inc, The Estée Lauder Companies Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Henkel AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price €66.75, calculated fair value €49.79 (−25%), Quality Score 55/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0IZ8 calculated?
We run Henkel AG through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €49.79, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Henkel AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Henkel AG (0IZ8)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €66.75. Our model-based fair value is €49.79, about −25% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Henkel AG right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (€32.15 to €66.61) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Henkel AG
How large is the market capitalisation of Henkel AG (0IZ8)?
The market capitalisation of Henkel AG is €30.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Henkel AG (0IZ8)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Henkel AG is 1.50 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Henkel AG (0IZ8)?
The dividend yield of Henkel AG is 3.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Henkel AG (0IZ8)?
The net margin of Henkel AG is 7.3% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Henkel AG (0IZ8)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Henkel AG is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Henkel AG (0IZ8)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Henkel AG is 9.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Henkel AG (0IZ8)?
The operating margin of Henkel AG is 12.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Henkel AG (0IZ8)?
Revenue at Henkel AG is growing −6.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Henkel AG (0IZ8)?
Earnings per share at Henkel AG are growing −3.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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