Church & Dwight Co (CHD) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $23.2B
Church & Dwight Co
CHD · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +4.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 37% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($81.63). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range ($44.70 to $81.63) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $67.58 – $111.38 · fair‑value band $44.70 – $81.63 · the $103.36 price screens above the $65.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Church & Dwight Co (CHD) currently trades at $103.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $65.12, implying the stock looks roughly 37.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Church & Dwight Co generated revenue of $6.2B at a net margin of 11.8%. Revenue grew 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.8%. Net debt stands at $1.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $44.70 (bear case) to $81.63 (bull case); at $103.36, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -37%, CHD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($64.21) versus Asset-Based ($11.32). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Church & Dwight Co., Inc. develops, manufactures, and markets household, personal care, and specialty products. It operates in three segments: Consumer Domestic, Consumer International, and Specialty Products Division.
Full company description
Church & Dwight Co., Inc. develops, manufactures, and markets household, personal care, and specialty products. It operates in three segments: Consumer Domestic, Consumer International, and Specialty Products Division. The company offers baking soda, cat litters, laundry detergents, carpet deodorizers, and other baking soda-based products under the ARM & HAMMER brand; stain removers, cleaning solutions, laundry detergents, and bleach alternatives under the OXICLEAN brand; dry shampoos under the BATISTE brand; water flossers under the WATERPIK brand; oral care products under the THERABREATH brand; acne treatment products under the HERO brand; hand sanitizers under the TOUCHLAND brand; and condoms, lubricants, and vibrators under the TROJAN brand. It also provides home pregnancy and ovulation test kits under the FIRST RESPONSE brand; depilatories under the NAIR; oral analgesics under the ORAJEL brand; laundry detergents under the XTRA brand; and cold shortening and relief products under the ZICAM brand. In addition, the company's specialty products include animal and food productivity products, such as ARM & HAMMER baking soda as a feed additive to help dairy cow; BIO-CHLOR and FERMENTEN used to reduce health issues associated with calving, as well as needed protein; CELMANAX refined functional carbohydrate, a yeast-based prebiotic; and CERTILLUS a probiotics products used in the poultry, dairy, beef, and swine industries. Additionally, it offers sodium bicarbonate; and cleaning and deodorizing products. The company sells its consumer products through supermarkets, mass merchandisers, wholesale clubs, drugstores, convenience stores, home stores, dollar and other discount stores, pet and other specialty stores, websites and other e-commerce channels; and specialty products to industrial customers and livestock producers through distributors. Church & Dwight Co., Inc. was founded in 1846 and is headquartered in Ewing, New Jersey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Church & Dwight Co reported revenue of $6.2B in FY2025 versus $5.2B in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was $737M in FY2025, compounding −2.9%/yr from FY2021.
CHD screens 37% overvalued. Compare with The Procter & Gamble Company →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Church & Dwight's Strong Q2 Organic Sales Growth Reinforces Brand Momentum, Morgan Stanley Says
- Church & Dwight Co Inc (CHD) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Organic Sales Surge 5. ...
- Church & Dwight Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
- CHD Q2 Earnings Match Estimates, Sales Beat on Strong Organic Growth
Peer Group
Household & Personal Products · 244 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Procter & Gamble Company PG | $146.80 | $108.16 | -26% |
| Unilever PLC ULN | 1,080 MXN | 1,273 MXN | +18% |
| Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR | ₹2,144 | ₹1,000 | -53% |
| Essity AB ESSITYA | kr 279.00 | kr 250.02 | -10% |
| Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP | ₹1,088 | ₹367.64 | -66% |
| Marico Limited MARICO | ₹846.75 | ₹233.05 | -72% |
| APR Co 278470 | 375,000 KRW | 151,222 KRW | -60% |
| Dabur India Limited DABUR | ₹429.45 | ₹181.60 | -58% |
| Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V., KIMBERA | 38.07 MXN | 50.09 MXN | +32% |
| PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR | 1,730 IDR | 1,934 IDR | +12% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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