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Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Ralph Lauren Corporation $164, price $361, upside -54.5%, quality 77 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Ralph Lauren Corporation
0KTS · LSEQuality Too ExpensiveExcellent quality, but the valuation looks stretched.
!Fair value $164.06 · Strongly overvalued (−54.5%)
✓Quality 77/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +13.0 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 11.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓1.0% dividend yield · Well covered
✓Wide moat 68/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $54.48 – $417.20 · fair‑value band $110.81 – $230.34 · the $360.63 price screens above the $164.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Ralph Lauren Corporation designs, markets, and distributes lifestyle products in North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally.
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Ralph Lauren Corporation designs, markets, and distributes lifestyle products in North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers apparel, including a range of men's, women's, and children's clothing; footwear and accessories, which comprise casual shoes, dress shoes, boots, sneakers, sandals, eyewear, watches, fashion and fine jewelry, scarves, hats, gloves, and umbrellas, as well as leather goods comprising handbags, luggage, small leather goods, and belts; home products, such as bed and bath lines, furniture, fabric and wall coverings, lighting, dining, floor coverings, decorative accessories, and giftware; and fragrances. The company sells apparel and accessories under the Ralph Lauren Collection, Ralph Lauren Purple Label, Polo Ralph Lauren, Double RL, Lauren Ralph Lauren, RLX Ralph Lauren, Polo Ralph Lauren Children, and Chaps brands; women's fragrances under the Ralph Lauren Collection, Woman by Ralph Lauren, Romance Collection, and Ralph Collection brand names; and men's fragrances under the Ralph's Club, Purple Label, Polo Blue, Polo Red, Polo Green, Polo Black, Polo 67, Safari, Polo Sport, and Big Pony Men's brand names. Its restaurant collection includes The Polo Bar in New York City; RL Restaurant in Chicago; Ralph's in Paris; The Bar at Ralph Lauren located in Milan; Ralph's Bar located in Chengdu, China; and Ralph's Coffee concept. The company sells its products to department stores, specialty stores, and golf and pro shops, as well as directly to consumers through its retail stores, concession-based shop-within-shops, and its digital commerce sites. It operates retail stores and concession-based shop-within-shops; and operates Ralph Lauren stores and shops through licensing partners. Ralph Lauren Corporation was founded in 1967 and is based in New York, New York.
Stock analysis
Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS) currently trades at $360.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $164.06, 54.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $210.76 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the $360.63 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $23.67, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $110.81 (bear) to $230.34 (bull), the price of $360.63 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Ralph Lauren Corporation reported revenue of $8.1B in FY2026 versus $6.2B in FY2022, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was $941M in FY2026, compounding +11.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $22.5B · P/E ratio 0.5 · P/S ratio 0.05 · EPS (TTM) $8.07 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 11.6% · Return on equity 34.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −55%, 0KTS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $110.81
Fair Value $164.06
Bull $230.34
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.25 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$104.97
$148.26
$208.01
81
Growth DCF
$107.37
$147.03
$199.24
79
Owner Earnings
$107.50
$151.88
$213.13
77
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$104.97
$148.26
$208.01
81
Owner Earnings
$107.50
$151.88
$213.13
77
5Y Revenue Exit
$91.85
$134.66
$187.24
73
5Y EBITDA Exit
$135.95
$213.67
$301.12
75
5Y P/E Exit
$147.92
$235.11
$322.80
71
10Y Revenue Exit
$93.62
$132.36
$180.23
67
10Y EBITDA Exit
$123.00
$184.77
$261.88
68
10Y P/E Exit
$130.33
$198.99
$277.42
64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$79.56
$195.62
$253.27
65
PEG = 1.0
$35.22
$50.31
$65.40
57
EPV
$124.29
$143.22
$159.55
74
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$193.04
$257.39
$321.74
63
P/S Multiple
$90.79
$121.05
$151.32
58
P/B Multiple
$105.97
$141.30
$176.62
55
EV/EBIT
$222.14
$294.72
$367.29
66
EV/EBITDA
$175.64
$232.71
$289.78
67
EV/Revenue
$89.15
$125.47
$161.79
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$17.66
$23.67
$35.32
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$107.37
$147.03
$199.24
79
Rev-Margin DCF
$91.85
$135.83
$183.69
73
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$62.85
$76.31
$121.71
74
ROIC Compounder
$128.35
$152.81
$177.29
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$147.53
$210.76
$273.99
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
77/100
Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Profitability
81
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
98/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.9% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+22.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+21.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.18.3% vs 9.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → 16%
2026 sits 55% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +17.9% a year for the price and +2.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)+6.3%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+4.9%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.2%
Projected 2031 (sales)+3.8%
0KTS screens overvalued: fair value 55% below the price. Compare with Moncler S.p.A →
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: UK Stocks
- Valuation of the UK market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moncler S.p.A MONC | €43.70 | €50.69 | +16% |
| LPP SA LPP | 24,900 PLN | 20,032 PLN | −20% |
| Levi Strauss & Co LEVI | $19.73 | $16.26 | −18% |
| Gildan Activewear Inc GIL | $41.92 | $46.11 | +10% |
| Bosideng International Holdings 3998 | HK$3.97 | HK$7.44 | +87% |
| Youngor Fashion Co 600177 | ¥8.29 | ¥5.59 | −33% |
| V.F. Corporation VFC | $14.42 | $8.68 | −40% |
| Page Industries Limited PAGEIND | ₹37,695 | ₹28,533 | −24% |
| Hla Group 600398 | ¥5.66 | ¥11.97 | +111% |
| Kontoor Brands, Inc KTB | $65.37 | $86.73 | +33% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $164.06 versus a price of $360.63, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0KTS?
Our model-based fair value for Ralph Lauren Corporation is $164.06 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $360.63.
What is the quality score of 0KTS?
Ralph Lauren Corporation has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $164.06 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $110.81, optimistic scenario $230.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ralph Lauren Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $164.06, about −55% upside versus a price of $360.63 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $110.81, optimistic scenario $230.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS)?
Ralph Lauren Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $8.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Ralph Lauren Corporation pay a dividend?
Ralph Lauren Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.01% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ralph Lauren Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +20.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0KTS use?
Our models discount Ralph Lauren Corporation at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (unknown), damped by beta 1.35, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ralph Lauren Corporation that is +20.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ralph Lauren Corporation grew +13.0 % a year. The price currently implies +20.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ralph Lauren Corporation (+20.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.32 %: that much free cash flow Ralph Lauren Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ralph Lauren Corporation it is $164.06 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $360.63. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ralph Lauren Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0KTS trades above its calculated fair value: price $360.63, fair value $164.06, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0KTS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($360.63); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($164.06). For Ralph Lauren Corporation the two are $196.57 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ralph Lauren Corporation worth?
The market values Ralph Lauren Corporation at about $22.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $360.63; our models calculate a fair value of $164.06 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0KTS?
Our models span a range for Ralph Lauren Corporation: cautious scenario $110.81, base $164.06, optimistic $230.34 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $360.63). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0KTS from its 52-week high?
Ralph Lauren Corporation trades at $360.63, about 14% below its 52-week high of $417.20 and 17% above the low of $308.15 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $164.06 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ralph Lauren Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Moncler S.p.A, LPP SA, Levi Strauss & Co, Gildan Activewear Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ralph Lauren Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $360.63, calculated fair value $164.06 (−55%), Quality Score 77/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0KTS calculated?
We run Ralph Lauren Corporation through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $164.06, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Ralph Lauren Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $360.63. Our model-based fair value is $164.06, about −55% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ralph Lauren Corporation right now?
A high-quality business (quality 77/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($230.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in. A fairly wide model range ($110.81 to $230.34) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS) come from?
Earnings per share at Ralph Lauren Corporation grew +7.1 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.0 %, EBIT margin +2.6 %, tax rate +1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Ralph Lauren Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS)?
The market capitalisation of Ralph Lauren Corporation is $22.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Ralph Lauren Corporation is 0.5 (as of Jul 25, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ralph Lauren Corporation is 0.05 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS)?
Earnings per share at Ralph Lauren Corporation are $8.07 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS)?
The dividend yield of Ralph Lauren Corporation is 1.0% (payout 45.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS)?
The net margin of Ralph Lauren Corporation is 11.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ralph Lauren Corporation is 34.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ralph Lauren Corporation is 12.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS)?
The operating margin of Ralph Lauren Corporation is 13.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS)?
Revenue at Ralph Lauren Corporation is growing +16.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS)?
Earnings per share at Ralph Lauren Corporation are growing +20.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ralph Lauren Corporation (0KTS) carry?
The net debt of Ralph Lauren Corporation is $1.0B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 1.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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