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Digital Bros S.p.A (0N8R) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Digital Bros S.p.A €8.47, price €12.00, upside -29.4%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Digital Bros S.p.A
0N8R · LSEOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
!Fair value €8.47 · Overvalued (−29.4%)
✓Quality 64/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +8.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -9.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 34/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €4.60 – €44.34 · fair‑value band €6.01 – €10.93 · the €12.00 price screens above the €8.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Digital Bros S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, publishing, distribution, and marketing of video games in Europe, the Americas, and internationally. It operates through Premium Games, Free to Play, Italian Distribution, and Other Activities segments.
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Digital Bros S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, publishing, distribution, and marketing of video games in Europe, the Americas, and internationally. It operates through Premium Games, Free to Play, Italian Distribution, and Other Activities segments. The Premium Games segment acquires and distributes video games through an international retail sales network and digital marketplaces, such as Steam, Sony PlayStation Network, Microsoft Xbox Live, and Epic Game Store, and others.; and publishes video games under the 505 Games and Hook brands. The Free to Play segment develops and publishes video games and/or applications that are available for free on digital marketplaces under the 505 Mobile and 505Go! Brands. The Italian Distribution segment purchases and distributes video games and collectible cards. Digital Bros S.p.A. is based in Milan, Italy.
Stock analysis
Digital Bros S.p.A (0N8R) currently trades at €12.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €8.47, 29.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €15.50 per share, and 8 of the 14 models we run sit above the €12.00 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €2.33, and 6 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €6.01 (bear) to €10.93 (bull), the price of €12.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Digital Bros S.p.A reported revenue of €93.6M in FY2025 versus €149M in FY2021, a compound −11.0%/yr. Reported net income was −€10.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €170M · P/E ratio 0.1 · P/S ratio 1.27 · EPS (TTM) €1.90 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin −11.7% · Return on equity −9.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −29%, 0N8R screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €6.01
Fair Value €8.47
Bull €10.93
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (€1.90 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
€17.22
€21.72
€28.95
82
Growth DCF
€17.66
€21.88
€28.16
80
Owner Earnings
€8.61
€10.87
€14.50
78
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
€17.22
€21.72
€28.95
82
Owner Earnings
€8.61
€10.87
€14.50
78
5Y Revenue Exit
€10.68
€13.07
€16.50
74
5Y EBITDA Exit
€18.91
€27.29
€38.39
75
10Y Revenue Exit
€13.63
€15.50
€17.28
68
10Y EBITDA Exit
€18.01
€23.00
€28.23
70
Earnings-Based
EPV
€2.07
€2.33
€2.54
74
Multiples
EV/EBIT
€7.29
€9.75
€12.21
66
EV/EBITDA
€23.84
€31.82
€39.79
67
EV/Revenue
€5.18
€7.44
€9.69
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
€4.00
€5.35
€7.99
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
€17.66
€21.88
€28.16
80
Rev-Margin DCF
€10.68
€13.56
€17.35
74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder
€2.07
€2.33
€2.54
72
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
64/100
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Profitability
11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
88
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.9%
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
’14
’15
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’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
16.2% (2020) → 8.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−10.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −12.7% a year for the price.
0N8R screens overvalued: fair value 29% below the price. Compare with CHEMTECH →
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Machinery” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5328 stocks
Beats the sector median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its sector peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrials median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: UK Stocks
- Valuation of the UK market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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Frequently asked questions
Is Digital Bros S.p.A (0N8R) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €8.47 versus a price of €12.00, about −29% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0N8R?
Our model-based fair value for Digital Bros S.p.A is €8.47 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €12.00.
What is the quality score of 0N8R?
Digital Bros S.p.A has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Digital Bros S.p.A (0N8R)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €8.47 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario €6.01, optimistic scenario €10.93. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Digital Bros S.p.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €8.47, about −29% upside versus a price of €12.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €6.01, optimistic scenario €10.93. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Digital Bros S.p.A (0N8R)?
Digital Bros S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €116M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Digital Bros S.p.A pay a dividend?
Digital Bros S.p.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.73% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Digital Bros S.p.A (0N8R)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Digital Bros S.p.A would have to grow free cash flow by -10.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -6.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0N8R use?
Our models discount Digital Bros S.p.A at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.59, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Digital Bros S.p.A that is -10.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Digital Bros S.p.A (0N8R) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Digital Bros S.p.A grew -6.8 % a year. The price currently implies -10.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Digital Bros S.p.A (0N8R) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Digital Bros S.p.A (-10.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Digital Bros S.p.A (0N8R)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 19.10 %: that much free cash flow Digital Bros S.p.A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Digital Bros S.p.A (0N8R)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Digital Bros S.p.A it is €8.47 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €12.00. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Digital Bros S.p.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0N8R trades above its calculated fair value: price €12.00, fair value €8.47, a gap of about −29% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0N8R?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€12.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€8.47). For Digital Bros S.p.A the two are €3.53 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Digital Bros S.p.A worth?
The market values Digital Bros S.p.A at about €170M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €12.00; our models calculate a fair value of €8.47 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0N8R?
Our models span a range for Digital Bros S.p.A: cautious scenario €6.01, base €8.47, optimistic €10.93 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €12.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0N8R?
Digital Bros S.p.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €8.47 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 3.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Digital Bros S.p.A (0N8R)?
Balance-sheet figures for Digital Bros S.p.A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −9.5%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0N8R from its 52-week high?
Digital Bros S.p.A trades at €12.00, about 15% below its 52-week high of €14.06 and 28% above the low of €9.36 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €8.47 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Digital Bros S.p.A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value CHEMTECH, INLCM, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Digital Bros S.p.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €12.00, calculated fair value €8.47 (−29%), Quality Score 64/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0N8R calculated?
We run Digital Bros S.p.A through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €8.47, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Digital Bros S.p.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Digital Bros S.p.A (0N8R)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €12.00. Our model-based fair value is €8.47, about −29% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Digital Bros S.p.A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€10.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (€6.01 to €10.93) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Digital Bros S.p.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Digital Bros S.p.A (0N8R)?
The market capitalisation of Digital Bros S.p.A is €170M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Digital Bros S.p.A (0N8R)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Digital Bros S.p.A is 1.27 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Digital Bros S.p.A (0N8R)?
Earnings per share at Digital Bros S.p.A are €1.90 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Digital Bros S.p.A (0N8R)?
The dividend yield of Digital Bros S.p.A is 1.7% (payout 10.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Digital Bros S.p.A (0N8R)?
The net margin of Digital Bros S.p.A is −11.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Digital Bros S.p.A (0N8R)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Digital Bros S.p.A is −9.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Digital Bros S.p.A (0N8R)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Digital Bros S.p.A is 9.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Digital Bros S.p.A (0N8R)?
The operating margin of Digital Bros S.p.A is 19.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Digital Bros S.p.A (0N8R)?
Revenue at Digital Bros S.p.A is growing −13.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Digital Bros S.p.A (0N8R)?
Earnings per share at Digital Bros S.p.A are growing −79.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Digital Bros S.p.A (0N8R) carry?
The net debt of Digital Bros S.p.A is €19.4M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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