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Orange S.A (0OQV) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Orange S.A €49.45, price €13.94, upside +254.7%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Communication Services · GB · Home France · ISIN FR0000133308

OS Broad data Sep 29, 2026

Orange S.A

0OQV · LSE

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value €49.45 · Strongly undervalued (+254.7%)
!Quality 58/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y +1.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.3% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt
·5.4% dividend yield · Safety not assessed
!Narrow moat 41/100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€18.23 €6.69 Fair Value €49.45 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €6.69 – €18.23 · fair‑value band €37.09 – €61.81 · the €13.94 price screens below the €49.45 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Orange S.A. operates as a telecommunications operator in France and internationally. The company offers mobile services, such as voice, SMS, and data; and fixed broadband and narrowband services, as well as B2B fixed solutions and network services, including voice and data services.

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Orange S.A. operates as a telecommunications operator in France and internationally. The company offers mobile services, such as voice, SMS, and data; and fixed broadband and narrowband services, as well as B2B fixed solutions and network services, including voice and data services. It also sells handsets, broadband equipment, connected devices, and accessories. In addition, it provides IT and integration services comprising unified communication and collaboration services, such as LAN and telephony, consultancy, integration, and project management; hosting and infrastructure services, including cloud computing; customer relations management and other applications services; security services; and video conferencing, as well as sells related equipment. Further, the company offers national and international roaming services; online advertising services; and mobile virtual network operator, network sharing, and mobile financial services, as well as sells equipment to external distributors, brokers, and operators. It markets its products and services under the Orange brand name. The company has a strategic collaboration with Nokia and NVIDIA for the development and evaluation of AI-RAN technologies The company was formerly known as France Telecom and changed its name to Orange S.A. in July 2013. Orange S.A. was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Issy-les-Moulineaux, France.

Stock analysis

Orange S.A (0OQV) currently trades at €13.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €49.45, implying the stock looks roughly 71.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €46.11 per share, and 18 of the 23 models we run sit above the €13.94 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €10.29, and 5 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €37.09 (bear) to €61.81 (bull), the price of €13.94 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Orange S.A reported revenue of €42.3B in FY2020 versus €40.9B in FY2016, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was €4.8B in FY2020, compounding +13.2%/yr from FY2016.

Key figures

Market cap €28.6B · P/S ratio 0.71 · Dividend yield 5.4% · Net margin 11.4% · Return on equity 3.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% · Operating margin 16.1% · Revenue (TTM) €40.4B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at 255%, 0OQV screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €37.09 Fair Value €49.45 Bull €61.81
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €41.94 €62.05 €100.73 75
Growth DCF €44.31 €63.91 €98.59 74
EPV €7.72 €11.01 €13.89 73
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €41.94 €62.05 €100.73 75
5Y Revenue Exit €22.49 €33.76 €50.39 69
5Y EBITDA Exit €41.55 €66.46 €100.00 71
5Y P/E Exit €29.15 €45.17 €64.78 67
10Y Revenue Exit €28.99 €38.84 €49.23 65
10Y EBITDA Exit €41.27 €59.64 €79.60 66
10Y P/E Exit €33.70 €46.11 €58.04 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €15.98 €22.37 €26.13 65
EPV €7.72 €11.01 €13.89 73
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €9.28 €10.29 €11.72 67
DDM Multi-Stage €9.28 €11.95 €15.49 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple €38.76 €51.69 €64.61 63
P/S Multiple €29.95 €39.94 €49.92 58
P/B Multiple €29.95 €39.94 €49.92 55
EV/EBIT €20.25 €31.01 €41.77 65
EV/EBITDA €50.10 €70.81 €91.53 67
EV/Revenue €12.45 €22.94 €33.43 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €8.38 €11.23 €16.76 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €44.31 €63.91 €98.59 74
Rev-Margin DCF €22.49 €35.00 €51.09 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income €16.39 €19.51 €24.97 73
ROIC Compounder €7.72 €11.01 €13.89 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €27.33 €39.04 €50.75 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 97
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.1% (2016) → 13.1% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 80941 HK$67.30 HK$114.85 +71%
Verizon Communications Inc VZ $45.87 $70.27 +53%
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $162.98 $272.88 +67%
AT&T Inc T $24.48 $51.11 +109%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,741 ₹1,883 +8%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.16 ¥8.36 +36%
Saudi Telecom Company 7010 43.22 SAR 41.80 SAR −3%
Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z74 4.28 SGD 2.16 SGD −50%
Swisscom AG SCMN CHF 639.00 CHF 505.18 −21%
Telstra Group TLS A$4.83 A$4.43 −8%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orange S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0OQV

Frequently asked questions

Is Orange S.A (0OQV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €49.45 versus a price of €13.94, about +255% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0OQV?
Our model-based fair value for Orange S.A is €49.45 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €13.94.
What is the quality score of 0OQV?
Orange S.A has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Orange S.A (0OQV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €49.45 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario €37.09, optimistic scenario €61.81. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Orange S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €49.45, about +255% upside versus a price of €13.94 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €37.09, optimistic scenario €61.81. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Orange S.A (0OQV)?
Orange S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €40.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Orange S.A pay a dividend?
Orange S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.38% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Orange S.A (0OQV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Orange S.A it is €49.45 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of €13.94. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Orange S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, 0OQV trades below its calculated fair value: price €13.94, fair value €49.45, a gap of about +255% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0OQV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€13.94); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€49.45). For Orange S.A the two are €35.51 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Orange S.A worth?
The market values Orange S.A at about €28.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is €13.94; our models calculate a fair value of €49.45 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0OQV?
Our models span a range for Orange S.A: cautious scenario €37.09, base €49.45, optimistic €61.81 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price €13.94). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0OQV from its 52-week high?
Orange S.A trades at €13.94, about 24% below its 52-week high of €18.23 and 11% above the low of €12.54 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €49.45 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Orange S.A?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, Verizon Communications Inc, T-Mobile US, Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Orange S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price €13.94, calculated fair value €49.45 (+255%), Quality Score 58/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0OQV calculated?
We run Orange S.A through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €49.45, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Orange S.A currently trades 72 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Orange S.A (0OQV)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €13.94. Our model-based fair value is €49.45, about +255% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Orange S.A right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€37.09). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Orange S.A

How large is the market capitalisation of Orange S.A (0OQV)?
The market capitalisation of Orange S.A is €28.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Orange S.A (0OQV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Orange S.A is 0.71 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Orange S.A (0OQV)?
The dividend yield of Orange S.A is 5.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Orange S.A (0OQV)?
The net margin of Orange S.A is 11.4% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Orange S.A (0OQV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Orange S.A is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Orange S.A (0OQV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Orange S.A is 4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Orange S.A (0OQV)?
The operating margin of Orange S.A is 16.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Orange S.A (0OQV)?
Revenue at Orange S.A is growing +0.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Orange S.A (0OQV)?
Earnings per share at Orange S.A are growing −1.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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