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Swiss Re AG (0QL6) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Swiss Re AG £199, price £139, upside +43.2%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · GB · Home Switzerland · ISIN CH0126881561

SR Some data Sep 29, 2026

Swiss Re AG

0QL6 · LSE

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

✓Fair value £198.83 · Undervalued (+43.2%)
✓Quality 64/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +6.5 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 11.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Moderate moat 61/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

£155.46 £69.28 Fair Value £198.83 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £69.28 – £155.46 · fair‑value band £126.66 – £252.72 · the £138.83 price screens below the £198.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Swiss Re AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides reinsurance, insurance, other insurance-based forms of risk transfer, and other insurance-related services worldwide. The company operates through Property & Casualty Reinsurance, Life & Health Reinsurance, and Corporate Solutions segments.

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Swiss Re AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides reinsurance, insurance, other insurance-based forms of risk transfer, and other insurance-related services worldwide. The company operates through Property & Casualty Reinsurance, Life & Health Reinsurance, and Corporate Solutions segments. The Property & Casualty Reinsurance segment underwrites property reinsurance, including property, credit, surety and political, engineering and project, aviation, marine, agriculture, renewable energy, retakaful, and facultative reinsurance solutions; and casualty reinsurance, such as liability, motor, worker's compensation, personal accident, management and professional liability, cyber, and facultative reinsurance solutions. Its Life & Health Reinsurance segment underwrites life and health insurance products. The Corporate Solutions segment offers standard risk transfer covers and multi-line programs to customized solutions. It serves stock and mutual insurance companies, public sector and governmental entities, mid-sized and large corporations, and individuals. The company was founded in 1863 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.

Stock analysis

Swiss Re AG (0QL6) currently trades at £138.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £198.83, implying the stock looks roughly 30.2% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of £201.60 per share, and 17 of the 25 models we run sit above the £138.83 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £35.25, and 8 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: £126.66 (bear) to £252.72 (bull), the price of £138.83 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Swiss Re AG reported revenue of £49.8B in FY2023 versus £49.3B in FY2019, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was £3.2B in FY2023, compounding +45.0%/yr from FY2019.

Key figures

Market cap £40.2B · P/E ratio 0.3 · P/S ratio 0.02 · EPS (TTM) £2.81 · Net margin 6.5% · Return on equity 19.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.0% · Operating margin 20.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at 43%, 0QL6 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear £126.66 Fair Value £198.83 Bull £252.72
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF £133.95 £212.54 £327.81 79
Growth DCF £137.86 £209.42 £309.08 78
Residual Income £64.74 £80.45 £121.94 75
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £133.95 £212.54 £327.81 79
5Y Revenue Exit £120.96 £200.39 £299.27 72
5Y EBITDA Exit £122.26 £202.74 £293.62 74
5Y P/E Exit £124.11 £206.11 £289.18 70
10Y Revenue Exit £119.89 £192.49 £284.87 66
10Y EBITDA Exit £125.08 £194.10 £280.67 68
10Y P/E Exit £126.25 £196.39 £277.37 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £71.21 £189.43 £247.67 65
Lynch FV £36.65 £52.36 £68.07 61
PEG = 1.0 £36.65 £52.36 £68.07 57
EPV £91.44 £111.13 £128.36 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £55.35 £115.08 £182.56 66
DDM Multi-Stage £55.35 £85.76 £118.25 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple £164.94 £219.92 £274.89 63
P/S Multiple £133.52 £178.03 £222.53 58
P/B Multiple £133.52 £178.03 £222.53 55
EV/EBIT £181.73 £251.20 £320.68 66
EV/EBITDA £134.98 £188.87 £242.76 67
EV/Revenue £122.06 £185.82 £249.57 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £26.30 £35.25 £52.61 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £137.86 £209.42 £309.08 78
Rev-Margin DCF £120.96 £201.60 £290.76 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income £64.74 £80.45 £121.94 75
ROIC Compounder £97.15 £127.97 £163.58 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £129.53 £185.04 £240.56 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 74/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+47.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+47.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.50.7% vs −1.5%, picking up
Profit margin 2005 to 2020 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → −1%
2023 sits 237% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−2.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−2.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −5.0% a year for the price and −4.8% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2024 (sales)−5.0%
Forecast 2025 (sales)−5.0%
Forecast 2026 (sales)−5.0%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+1.1%
Projected 2028 (sales)+1.2%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Machinery” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5266 stocks

Beats the sector median on 8/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +38.4% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 19.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3.2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 11.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.72× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Industrials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.3× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 7.1× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Swiss Re AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0QL6

Frequently asked questions

Is Swiss Re AG (0QL6) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £198.83 versus a price of £138.83, about +43% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0QL6?
Our model-based fair value for Swiss Re AG is £198.83 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £138.83.
What is the quality score of 0QL6?
Swiss Re AG has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Swiss Re AG (0QL6)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £198.83 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario £126.66, optimistic scenario £252.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Swiss Re AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £198.83, about +43% upside versus a price of £138.83 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £126.66, optimistic scenario £252.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Swiss Re AG (0QL6)?
Swiss Re AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £42.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Swiss Re AG (0QL6)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Swiss Re AG would have to grow free cash flow by -2.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.5 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0QL6 use?
Our models discount Swiss Re AG at 8.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.34, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Swiss Re AG that is -2.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Swiss Re AG (0QL6) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Swiss Re AG grew +6.5 % a year. The price currently implies -2.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Swiss Re AG (0QL6) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Swiss Re AG (-2.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Swiss Re AG (0QL6)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.15 %: that much free cash flow Swiss Re AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Swiss Re AG (0QL6)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Swiss Re AG it is £198.83 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of £138.83. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Swiss Re AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, 0QL6 trades below its calculated fair value: price £138.83, fair value £198.83, a gap of about +43% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0QL6?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£138.83); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£198.83). For Swiss Re AG the two are £60.01 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Swiss Re AG worth?
The market values Swiss Re AG at about £40.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is £138.83; our models calculate a fair value of £198.83 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0QL6?
Our models span a range for Swiss Re AG: cautious scenario £126.66, base £198.83, optimistic £252.72 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price £138.83). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0QL6?
Swiss Re AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.3 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £198.83 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Swiss Re AG (0QL6)?
Balance-sheet figures for Swiss Re AG (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 19.5%, debt of 0.72 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0QL6 from its 52-week high?
Swiss Re AG trades at £138.83, about 10% below its 52-week high of £153.45 and 21% above the low of £114.45 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £198.83 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Swiss Re AG?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value CHEMTECH, INLCM, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Swiss Re AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price £138.83, calculated fair value £198.83 (+43%), Quality Score 64/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0QL6 calculated?
We run Swiss Re AG through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £198.83, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Swiss Re AG currently trades 30 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Swiss Re AG (0QL6)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was £138.83. Our model-based fair value is £198.83, about +43% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Swiss Re AG right now?
Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (£126.66 to £252.72) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Swiss Re AG (0QL6) come from?
Earnings per share at Swiss Re AG grew −8.3 % a year from 2012 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.9 %, EBIT margin −10.0 %, tax rate −1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Swiss Re AG

How large is the market capitalisation of Swiss Re AG (0QL6)?
The market capitalisation of Swiss Re AG is £40.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Swiss Re AG (0QL6)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Swiss Re AG is 0.02 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Swiss Re AG (0QL6)?
Earnings per share at Swiss Re AG are £2.81 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Swiss Re AG (0QL6)?
The net margin of Swiss Re AG is 6.5% (fiscal year 2023). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Swiss Re AG (0QL6)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Swiss Re AG is 19.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Swiss Re AG (0QL6)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Swiss Re AG is 1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Swiss Re AG (0QL6)?
The operating margin of Swiss Re AG is 20.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Swiss Re AG (0QL6)?
Revenue at Swiss Re AG is growing −2.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Swiss Re AG (0QL6)?
Earnings per share at Swiss Re AG are growing +18.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Swiss Re AG (0QL6) carry?
The net debt of Swiss Re AG is £5.1B (fiscal year 2023, ≈ 1.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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