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NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of NP3 Fastigheter AB SEK 414, price SEK 221, upside +87.5%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
NP3 Fastigheter AB
0R43 · LSECheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.
✓Fair value kr 414.30 · Strongly undervalued (+87.5%)
!Quality 49/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +15.9 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 64.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓2.9% dividend yield · Well covered
✓Wide moat 72/100
!The models disagree: range kr 173.36 to kr 797.55
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 118.60 – kr 336.84 · fair‑value band kr 173.36 – kr 797.55 · the kr 221.00 price screens below the kr 414.30 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
NP3 Fastigheter AB (publ), a real estate company, engages in commercial investment property business in Sweden. The company is involved in property management and letting; acquiring and divesting properties; and development of property portfolio.
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NP3 Fastigheter AB (publ), a real estate company, engages in commercial investment property business in Sweden. The company is involved in property management and letting; acquiring and divesting properties; and development of property portfolio. Its real estate portfolio consists of commercial, industrial, retail, offices, and logistics, as well as hotels, sports facilities, land, and properties for public use, such as schools. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Sundsvall, Sweden.
Stock analysis
NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43) currently trades at kr 221.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 414.30, implying the stock looks roughly 46.7% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of kr 613.50 per share, and 14 of the 25 models we run sit above the kr 221.00 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at kr 82.82, and 11 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: kr 173.36 (bear) to kr 797.55 (bull), the price of kr 221.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
NP3 Fastigheter AB reported revenue of 2.3B SEK in FY2025 versus 1.2B SEK in FY2021, a compound +16.4%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3B SEK in FY2025, compounding −10.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 13.6B SEK (≈ $1.4B) · P/E ratio 0.1 · P/S ratio 0.04 · EPS (TTM) kr 36.45 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 56.1% · Return on equity 14.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at 87%, 0R43 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 173.36
Fair Value kr 414.30
Bull kr 797.55
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 22.73 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
kr 170.70
kr 191.76
kr 247.38
76
FCF DCF
kr 208.72
kr 414.52
kr 927.93
74
EPV
kr 61.23
kr 87.43
kr 109.26
73
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
kr 208.72
kr 414.52
kr 927.93
74
Owner Earnings
kr 32.71
kr 196.75
kr 492.37
66
5Y Revenue Exit
kr 18.82
kr 88.88
kr 197.07
65
5Y EBITDA Exit
kr 169.21
kr 420.69
kr 818.77
70
5Y P/E Exit
kr 216.68
kr 555.59
kr 980.68
67
10Y Revenue Exit
kr 81.12
kr 186.33
kr 303.70
64
10Y EBITDA Exit
kr 178.72
kr 436.36
kr 878.93
63
10Y P/E Exit
kr 208.98
kr 515.28
kr 1,018
59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
kr 159.55
kr 1,054
kr 1,476
63
Lynch FV
kr 307.47
kr 439.24
kr 571.02
61
PEG = 1.0
kr 307.47
kr 439.24
kr 571.02
57
EPV
kr 61.23
kr 87.43
kr 109.26
73
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
kr 52.90
kr 95.33
kr 131.23
68
DDM Multi-Stage
kr 52.90
kr 87.08
kr 101.83
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
kr 369.56
kr 492.74
kr 615.93
63
P/S Multiple
kr 62.77
kr 83.70
kr 104.62
58
P/B Multiple
kr 299.16
kr 398.89
kr 498.61
55
EV/EBIT
kr 252.73
kr 380.61
kr 508.49
65
EV/EBITDA
kr 163.54
kr 261.69
kr 359.84
66
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
kr 98.19
kr 131.57
kr 196.38
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
kr 193.42
kr 449.99
kr 874.74
73
Rev-Margin DCF
kr 13.23
kr 82.82
kr 176.72
65
Economic Profit
Residual Income
kr 170.70
kr 191.76
kr 247.38
76
ROIC Compounder
kr 61.23
kr 87.43
kr 109.26
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
kr 429.45
kr 613.50
kr 797.55
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
49/100
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Profitability
40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
28
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
65
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +18.7% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.2%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+10.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.7.6% vs 17.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.70% → 72%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.2% a year for the price and +4.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+10.9%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+6.0%
Projected 2028 (sales)+5.5%
Projected 2029 (sales)+5.0%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.5%
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: UK Stocks
- Valuation of the UK market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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Frequently asked questions
Is NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 414.30 versus a price of kr 221.00, about +87% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0R43?
Our model-based fair value for NP3 Fastigheter AB is kr 414.30 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 221.00.
What is the quality score of 0R43?
NP3 Fastigheter AB has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 414.30 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 173.36, optimistic scenario kr 797.55. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NP3 Fastigheter AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 414.30, about +87% upside versus a price of kr 221.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario kr 173.36, optimistic scenario kr 797.55. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43)?
NP3 Fastigheter AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.4B SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does NP3 Fastigheter AB pay a dividend?
NP3 Fastigheter AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.90% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, NP3 Fastigheter AB would have to grow free cash flow by +18.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0R43 use?
Our models discount NP3 Fastigheter AB at 13.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.62, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For NP3 Fastigheter AB that is +18.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at NP3 Fastigheter AB grew +15.9 % a year. The price currently implies +18.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into NP3 Fastigheter AB (+18.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.55 %: that much free cash flow NP3 Fastigheter AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NP3 Fastigheter AB it is kr 414.30 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 221.00. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is NP3 Fastigheter AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0R43 trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 221.00, fair value kr 414.30, a gap of about +87% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0R43?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 221.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 414.30). For NP3 Fastigheter AB the two are kr 193.30 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NP3 Fastigheter AB worth?
The market values NP3 Fastigheter AB at about 13.6B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 221.00; our models calculate a fair value of kr 414.30 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0R43?
Our models span a range for NP3 Fastigheter AB: cautious scenario kr 173.36, base kr 414.30, optimistic kr 797.55 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 221.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0R43 from its 52-week high?
NP3 Fastigheter AB trades at kr 221.00, about 22% below its 52-week high of kr 283.27 and at the low of kr 221.00 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 414.30 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NP3 Fastigheter AB?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value CHEMTECH, INLCM, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NP3 Fastigheter AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 221.00, calculated fair value kr 414.30 (+87%), Quality Score 49/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0R43 calculated?
We run NP3 Fastigheter AB through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 414.30, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. NP3 Fastigheter AB currently trades 47 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 221.00. Our model-based fair value is kr 414.30, about +87% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NP3 Fastigheter AB right now?
The model range is unusually wide (kr 173.36 to kr 797.55). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43) come from?
Earnings per share at NP3 Fastigheter AB grew +12.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +15.6 %, EBIT margin +7.2 %, tax rate +2.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −11.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of NP3 Fastigheter AB
How large is the market capitalisation of NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43)?
The market capitalisation of NP3 Fastigheter AB is 13.6B SEK (≈ $1.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of NP3 Fastigheter AB is 0.1 (as of Aug 5, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NP3 Fastigheter AB is 0.04 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43)?
Earnings per share at NP3 Fastigheter AB are kr 36.45 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43)?
The dividend yield of NP3 Fastigheter AB is 2.9% (payout 17.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43)?
The net margin of NP3 Fastigheter AB is 56.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NP3 Fastigheter AB is 14.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NP3 Fastigheter AB is 6.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43)?
The operating margin of NP3 Fastigheter AB is 74.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43)?
Revenue at NP3 Fastigheter AB is growing +10.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43)?
Earnings per share at NP3 Fastigheter AB are growing +81.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does NP3 Fastigheter AB (0R43) carry?
The net debt of NP3 Fastigheter AB is 14.1B SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 13.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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