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Extendicare Inc (0S9E) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Extendicare Inc C$18.57, price C$28.37, upside -34.5%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Extendicare Inc
0S9E · LSEOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
!Fair value C$18.57 · Overvalued (−34.5%)
✓Quality 61/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +8.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.0% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
✓1.8% dividend yield · Sustainable
!Moderate moat 60/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$4.63 – C$38.54 · fair‑value band C$13.00 – C$27.76 · the C$28.37 price screens above the C$18.57 fair value. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Extendicare Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides care and services for seniors in Canada. It operates through the Long-term Care, Home Health Care, and Managed Services segments.
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Extendicare Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides care and services for seniors in Canada. It operates through the Long-term Care, Home Health Care, and Managed Services segments. The company offers long-term care services, such as accommodation and meals, and assistance with activities of daily living and continuing care to residents; and home health care services, such as nursing care, occupational, physical and speech therapy, and assistance with daily activities, as well as management, consulting, and other services to third parties and joint ventures. It provides its services under the Extendicare, ParaMed, Extendicare Assist, and SGP Purchasing Network brands. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is based in Markham, Canada.
Stock analysis
Extendicare Inc (0S9E) currently trades at C$28.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$18.57, 34.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of C$24.06 per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the C$28.37 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$2.83, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: C$13.00 (bear) to C$27.76 (bull), the price of C$28.37 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Extendicare Inc reported revenue of C$1.7B in FY2025 versus C$1.2B in FY2021, a compound +9.2%/yr. Reported net income was C$96.7M in FY2025, compounding +70.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap C$3.0B (≈ $2.1B) · P/E ratio 4.5 · P/S ratio 0.26 · EPS (TTM) C$0.0800 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 5.8% · Return on equity 47.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at −35%, 0S9E screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$13.00
Fair Value C$18.57
Bull C$27.76
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
C$12.63
C$15.80
C$20.48
80
Growth DCF
C$12.90
C$15.90
C$20.12
77
Owner Earnings
C$9.15
C$11.04
C$13.84
75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
C$12.63
C$15.80
C$20.48
80
Owner Earnings
C$9.15
C$11.04
C$13.84
75
5Y Revenue Exit
C$15.45
C$21.67
C$29.71
70
5Y EBITDA Exit
C$18.44
C$26.86
C$36.69
73
5Y P/E Exit
C$16.93
C$24.24
C$31.85
69
10Y Revenue Exit
C$13.88
C$19.09
C$25.35
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
C$16.07
C$22.48
C$30.11
66
10Y P/E Exit
C$15.16
C$20.77
C$26.81
62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
C$7.44
C$14.65
C$18.36
66
EPV
C$14.74
C$16.45
C$17.92
70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
C$4.14
C$5.76
C$7.37
69
DDM Multi-Stage
C$4.14
C$5.71
C$7.47
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
C$18.05
C$24.06
C$30.08
63
P/S Multiple
C$13.95
C$18.59
C$23.24
58
P/B Multiple
C$13.95
C$18.59
C$23.24
55
EV/EBIT
C$23.91
C$30.57
C$37.22
63
EV/EBITDA
C$24.82
C$31.77
C$38.73
64
EV/Revenue
C$18.20
C$24.31
C$30.41
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
C$2.11
C$2.83
C$4.22
51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
C$12.90
C$15.90
C$20.12
77
Rev-Margin DCF
C$15.45
C$21.77
C$28.68
71
Economic Profit
Residual Income
C$6.11
C$7.30
C$10.71
75
ROIC Compounder
C$14.77
C$16.51
C$18.04
70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
C$13.00
C$18.57
C$24.14
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
61/100
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Profitability
63
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
41
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
25
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
85
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
96
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.8% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.9%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+55.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+53.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.28.2% vs 15.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 8%
2025 sits 87% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+12.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +19.2% a year for the price and +10.4% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+34.9%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+9.1%
Projected 2028 (sales)+8.2%
Projected 2029 (sales)+7.3%
Projected 2030 (sales)+6.4%
0S9E screens overvalued: fair value 35% below the price. Compare with HCA Healthcare, Inc →
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: UK Stocks
- Valuation of the UK market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA | $431.63 | $597.97 | +39% |
| Fresenius SE FRE | €43.64 | €34.49 | −21% |
| Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 | 225.00 SAR | 109.45 SAR | −51% |
| Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC | $257.93 | $274.35 | +6% |
| IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, 5225 | 8.03 MYR | 4.87 MYR | −39% |
| Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP | ₹8,889 | ₹2,908 | −67% |
| Encompass Health Corporation EHC | $123.47 | $94.47 | −23% |
| Fresenius Medical Care AG FMS | $22.27 | $45.84 | +106% |
| DaVita Inc DVA | $178.07 | $215.81 | +21% |
| Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 | ¥7.91 | ¥10.86 | +37% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Extendicare Inc (0S9E) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$18.57 versus a price of C$28.37, about −35% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0S9E?
Our model-based fair value for Extendicare Inc is C$18.57 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$28.37.
What is the quality score of 0S9E?
Extendicare Inc has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Extendicare Inc (0S9E)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$18.57 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$13.00, optimistic scenario C$27.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Extendicare Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$18.57, about −35% upside versus a price of C$28.37 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$13.00, optimistic scenario C$27.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Extendicare Inc (0S9E)?
Extendicare Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$1.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Extendicare Inc pay a dividend?
Extendicare Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.78% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Extendicare Inc (0S9E)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Extendicare Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +21.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0S9E use?
Our models discount Extendicare Inc at 10.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.16, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Extendicare Inc that is +21.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Extendicare Inc (0S9E) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Extendicare Inc grew +8.5 % a year. The price currently implies +21.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Extendicare Inc (0S9E) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Extendicare Inc (+21.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Extendicare Inc (0S9E)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.57 %: that much free cash flow Extendicare Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Extendicare Inc (0S9E)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Extendicare Inc it is C$18.57 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of C$28.37. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Extendicare Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0S9E trades above its calculated fair value: price C$28.37, fair value C$18.57, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0S9E?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$28.37); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$18.57). For Extendicare Inc the two are C$9.80 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Extendicare Inc worth?
The market values Extendicare Inc at about C$3.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is C$28.37; our models calculate a fair value of C$18.57 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0S9E?
Our models span a range for Extendicare Inc: cautious scenario C$13.00, base C$18.57, optimistic C$27.76 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price C$28.37). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
Which stocks are comparable to Extendicare Inc?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value HCA Healthcare, Inc, Fresenius SE, Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group, Tenet Healthcare Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Extendicare Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price C$28.37, calculated fair value C$18.57 (−35%), Quality Score 61/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0S9E calculated?
We run Extendicare Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$18.57, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Extendicare Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Extendicare Inc (0S9E)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was C$28.37. Our model-based fair value is C$18.57, about −35% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Extendicare Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$27.76). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (C$13.00 to C$27.76) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Extendicare Inc (0S9E) come from?
Earnings per share at Extendicare Inc grew +11.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.0 %, EBIT margin +3.3 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Extendicare Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Extendicare Inc (0S9E)?
The market capitalisation of Extendicare Inc is C$3.0B (≈ $2.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Extendicare Inc (0S9E)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Extendicare Inc is 4.5 (as of Aug 5, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Extendicare Inc (0S9E)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Extendicare Inc is 0.26 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Extendicare Inc (0S9E)?
Earnings per share at Extendicare Inc are C$0.0800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Extendicare Inc (0S9E)?
The dividend yield of Extendicare Inc is 1.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Extendicare Inc (0S9E)?
The net margin of Extendicare Inc is 5.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Extendicare Inc (0S9E)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Extendicare Inc is 47.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Extendicare Inc (0S9E)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Extendicare Inc is 10.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Extendicare Inc (0S9E)?
The operating margin of Extendicare Inc is 9.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Extendicare Inc (0S9E)?
Revenue at Extendicare Inc is growing +24.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Extendicare Inc (0S9E)?
Earnings per share at Extendicare Inc are growing +140% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Extendicare Inc (0S9E) hold?
Extendicare Inc holds more cash than debt, C$6.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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