Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (101530) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 16, 2026: fair value of Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd KRW 11,917, price KRW 5,530, upside +115.5%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co.,ltd. produces and sells snack food products in Northeast Asia. Its products include dry confectioneries, ice creams, frozen food, chocolate, biscuits, candies, gums, and breads. The company was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea. Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co.,ltd.
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Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co.,ltd. produces and sells snack food products in Northeast Asia. Its products include dry confectioneries, ice creams, frozen food, chocolate, biscuits, candies, gums, and breads. The company was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea. Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co.,ltd. is a subsidiary of CROWNHAITAI Holdings CO.,LTD.
Stock analysis
Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (101530) currently trades at 5,530 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11,917 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 53.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 17,274 KRW per share, and 22 of the 22 models we run sit above the 5,530 KRW price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 6,577 KRW, and 0 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 7,003 KRW (bear) to 17,845 KRW (bull), the price of 5,530 KRW sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd reported revenue of 641B KRW in FY2025 versus 568B KRW in FY2021, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was 23.3B KRW in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 147B KRW (≈ $103M) · P/S ratio 0.23 · Dividend yield 4.5% · Net margin 3.6% · Return on equity 7.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.3% · Operating margin 6.8% · Revenue (TTM) 640B KRW.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 60 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at 116%, 101530 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 7,003 KRWFair Value 11,917 KRWBull 17,845 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.49/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.2% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in KRW ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+1.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.5%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 7%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.3%/yr over ~6Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+11.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (South Korea: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.2% a year for the price.
Compare Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 667 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside+116% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.32× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/101530
Frequently asked questions
Is Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (101530) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 11,917 KRW versus the last price from Sep 16, 2026 of 5,530 KRW, about +116% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 101530?
Our model-based fair value for Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd is 11,917 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 16, 2026): 5,530 KRW.
What is the quality score of 101530?
Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (101530)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 11,917 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 7,003 KRW, optimistic scenario 17,845 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 11,917 KRW, about +116% upside versus the last price from Sep 16, 2026 of 5,530 KRW (undervalued). Cautious scenario 7,003 KRW, optimistic scenario 17,845 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (101530)?
Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 640B KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.52% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (101530)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +11.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 101530 use?
Our models discount Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.41, country premium for South Korea. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd that is +11.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (101530) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd grew +2.6 % a year. The price currently implies +11.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (101530) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (+11.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (101530)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.49 %: that much free cash flow Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (101530)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd it is 11,917 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 5,530 KRW. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 101530 trades below its calculated fair value: price 5,530 KRW, fair value 11,917 KRW, a gap of about +116% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 101530?
No. The price is what the market pays today (5,530 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (11,917 KRW). For Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd the two are 6,387 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd worth?
The market values Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd at about 147B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 5,530 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 11,917 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 101530?
Our models span a range for Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd: cautious scenario 7,003 KRW, base 11,917 KRW, optimistic 17,845 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 5,530 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (101530)?
Balance-sheet figures for Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.5%, debt of 0.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 101530 from its 52-week high?
Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd trades at 5,530 KRW, about 24% below its 52-week high of 7,230 KRW and 2% above the low of 5,420 KRW (as of Sep 16, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 11,917 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 5,530 KRW, calculated fair value 11,917 KRW (+116%), Quality Score 55/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 101530 calculated?
We run Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 11,917 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd currently trades 116 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (101530)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 16, 2026 and stands at 5,530 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 11,917 KRW, about +116% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (7,003 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (7,003 KRW to 17,845 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (101530)?
The market capitalisation of Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd is 147B KRW (≈ $103M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (101530)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd is 0.23 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (101530)?
The dividend yield of Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd is 4.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (101530)?
The net margin of Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd is 3.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (101530)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (101530)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd is 5.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (101530)?
The operating margin of Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd is 6.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (101530)?
Revenue at Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd is growing −0.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (101530)?
Earnings per share at Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd are growing −10.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd (101530) carry?
The net debt of Haitai Confectionery and Foods Co Ltd is 197B KRW (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 10.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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