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Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co (101530) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · KR · Market cap 146B KRW

HC Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co 101530 · KO
Price5,710 KRW
Fair Value13,882 KRW
Upside+143.1%
Quality55/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.54% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Moderate moat 52/100
Evidence: High Range 9,924 KRW – 19,995 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +0.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 143% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (9,924 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (9,924 KRW to 19,995 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

9,211 KRW 4,484 KRW Fair Value 13,882 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 4,484 KRW – 9,211 KRW · fair‑value band 9,924 KRW – 19,995 KRW · the 5,710 KRW price screens below the 13,882 KRW fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co (101530) currently trades at 5,710 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13,882 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 143.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co generated revenue of 640B KRW at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue declined 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.5%. Net debt stands at 197B KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 9,924 KRW (bear case) to 19,995 KRW (bull case); at 5,710 KRW, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 143%, 101530 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 4,299 KRW 7,061 KRW 11,785 KRW 80
Residual Income 9,577 KRW 10,181 KRW 11,225 KRW 76
Rev-Margin DCF 7,617 KRW 13,912 KRW 21,515 KRW 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 3,961 KRW 6,807 KRW 12,077 KRW 38
Owner Earnings 4,637 KRW 7,748 KRW 13,510 KRW 31
5Y Revenue Exit 7,617 KRW 13,742 KRW 22,666 KRW 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 13,724 KRW 24,315 KRW 38,341 KRW 41
5Y P/E Exit 6,784 KRW 12,299 KRW 18,877 KRW 38
10Y Revenue Exit 5,745 KRW 10,185 KRW 15,051 KRW 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 9,831 KRW 16,723 KRW 24,254 KRW 37
10Y P/E Exit 5,618 KRW 9,293 KRW 12,827 KRW 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 5,973 KRW 7,301 KRW 8,213 KRW 54
EPV 9,590 KRW 11,736 KRW 13,614 KRW 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 13,836 KRW 18,447 KRW 23,059 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 11,200 KRW 14,934 KRW 18,667 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 11,200 KRW 14,934 KRW 18,667 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 16,878 KRW 23,600 KRW 30,321 KRW 53
EV/EBITDA 23,743 KRW 32,752 KRW 41,762 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 11,106 KRW 17,274 KRW 23,442 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 5,819 KRW 7,798 KRW 11,639 KRW 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 4,299 KRW 7,061 KRW 11,785 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 7,617 KRW 13,912 KRW 21,515 KRW 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 9,577 KRW 10,181 KRW 11,225 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 9,590 KRW 11,751 KRW 14,248 KRW 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 9,770 KRW 13,957 KRW 18,144 KRW 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (17,274 KRW) versus Growth DCF (7,061 KRW). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 640B KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.8%
Net margin 3.5%
Return on equity 7.5%
Free cash flow 19.8B KRW FY2025
Operating margin 6.8%
More key figures
Dividend yield 4.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -10.9%
Net debt 197B KRW FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co.,ltd. produces and sells snack food products in Northeast Asia. Its products include dry confectioneries, ice creams, frozen food, chocolate, biscuits, candies, gums, and breads. The company was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea. Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co.,ltd.

Full company description

Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co.,ltd. produces and sells snack food products in Northeast Asia. Its products include dry confectioneries, ice creams, frozen food, chocolate, biscuits, candies, gums, and breads. The company was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea. Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co.,ltd. is a subsidiary of CROWNHAITAI Holdings CO.,LTD.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co reported revenue of 641B KRW in FY2025 versus 568B KRW in FY2021, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was 23.3B KRW in FY2025.

Growth Quality 49/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
641B KRW
Latest YoY
+1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.2%
Revenue +3.1%/yr
FY21 568B KRW
FY22 590B KRW
FY23 625B KRW
FY24 629B KRW
FY25 641B KRW
Net income
FY21 −390M KRW
FY22 −2.3B KRW
FY23 21.6B KRW
FY24 31.7B KRW
FY25 23.3B KRW

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/101530

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 649 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +143% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.5% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.32× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 28
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 30 · sector 27
HEALTH 84 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 91 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co (101530) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 13,882 KRW versus a price of 5,710 KRW, about +143% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 101530?
Our model-based fair value for Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co is 13,882 KRW (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 5,710 KRW.
What is the quality score of 101530?
Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co (101530)?
Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 640B KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 101530?
The net profit margin of Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co is about 3.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co pay a dividend?
Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.27% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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