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NHN BUGS Corporation (104200) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · KR · Market cap 35.6B KRW

NB NHN BUGS Corporation 104200 · KQ
Price2,775 KRW
Fair Value3,352 KRW
Upside+20.8%
Quality64/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -8.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Narrow moat 15/100
Evidence: Medium Range 2,836 KRW – 3,868 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price −3.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 21% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (2,836 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

22,700 KRW 2,295 KRW Fair Value 3,352 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2,295 KRW – 22,700 KRW · fair‑value band 2,836 KRW – 3,868 KRW · the 2,775 KRW price screens below the 3,352 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

NHN BUGS Corporation (104200) currently trades at 2,775 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3,352 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 20.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, NHN BUGS Corporation generated revenue of 67.0B KRW at a net margin of -8.0%. Revenue grew 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.4%. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2,836 KRW (bear case) to 3,868 KRW (bull case); at 2,775 KRW, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at 21%, 104200 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 4,703 KRW 5,946 KRW 8,073 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 4,267 KRW 5,690 KRW 7,437 KRW 74
EV/EBITDA 2,836 KRW 3,352 KRW 3,868 KRW 54
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 4,551 KRW 5,832 KRW 8,205 KRW 38
5Y Revenue Exit 4,267 KRW 5,613 KRW 7,569 KRW 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 3,359 KRW 4,041 KRW 4,946 KRW 41
10Y Revenue Exit 4,273 KRW 5,287 KRW 6,372 KRW 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 3,802 KRW 4,315 KRW 4,832 KRW 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 2,836 KRW 3,352 KRW 3,868 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 4,344 KRW 5,653 KRW 6,963 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1,874 KRW 2,512 KRW 3,749 KRW 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 4,703 KRW 5,946 KRW 8,073 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 4,267 KRW 5,690 KRW 7,437 KRW 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (5,690 KRW) versus Asset-Based (2,512 KRW). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 67.0B KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.8%
Net margin -8.0%
Return on equity -9.4%
Free cash flow 4.5B KRW FY2025
Operating margin -0.3%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -93.9%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 4
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NHN BUGS Corporation provides digital music service and music distribution through Bucks and SNS music portals in South Korea, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through B2C and B2B Business divisions.

Full company description

NHN BUGS Corporation provides digital music service and music distribution through Bucks and SNS music portals in South Korea, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through B2C and B2B Business divisions. It provides Bugs that music in the form of download or streaming through internet sites and mobile devices, such as mobile phones and tablet PCs; and Say Club and Say cast, a social network service business that secures users through community services, including internet music broadcasting and chatting. The company was formerly known as Bugs Corporation and changed its name to NHN Bugs Corp. in March 2017. NHN BUGS Corporation was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NHN BUGS Corporation reported revenue of 44.9B KRW in FY2025 versus 65.0B KRW in FY2021, a compound −8.8%/yr. Reported net income was −6.2B KRW in FY2025.

Growth Quality 15/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
44.9B KRW
Latest YoY
−13.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−12.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.4%
Revenue −8.8%/yr
FY21 65.0B KRW
FY22 65.8B KRW
FY23 56.8B KRW
FY24 52.1B KRW
FY25 44.9B KRW
Net income
FY21 −1.5B KRW
FY22 2.5B KRW
FY23 −5.1B KRW
FY24 −12.7B KRW
FY25 −6.2B KRW

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NHN BUGS Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/104200

Peer Group

Internet Content & Information · 151 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Above median
Fair Value upside +21% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -0% · Below median
Revenue growth 1% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 61 · sector 0
FUTURE 4 · sector 31
PAST 0 · sector 10
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 43

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Alphabet Inc GOOGL $354.46 $145.14 -59%
Meta Platforms, Inc META $669.21 $534.91 -20%
Tencent Holdings 0700 HK$460.20 HK$467.50 +2%
Spotify Technology S.A SPOT $485.38 $209.56 -57%
Reddit, Inc RDDT $195.34 $39.59 -80%
Baidu, Inc BIDU $109.50 $66.96 -39%
Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 1024 HK$44.70 HK$101.03 +126%
NAVER Corporation 035420 191,300 KRW 231,585 KRW +21%
Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 HK$34.74 HK$65.78 +89%
REA Group REA A$149.14 A$88.53 -41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NHN BUGS Corporation (104200) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3,352 KRW versus a price of 2,775 KRW, about +21% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 104200?
Our model-based fair value for NHN BUGS Corporation is 3,352 KRW (as of Jul 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2,775 KRW.
What is the quality score of 104200?
NHN BUGS Corporation has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NHN BUGS Corporation (104200)?
NHN BUGS Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 67.0B KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 104200?
The net profit margin of NHN BUGS Corporation is about -8.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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