Alibaba Pictures Group Ltd (1060) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · HK · Market cap HK$13.9B (≈ $1.8B) · ISIN BMG0171W1055

What is Alibaba Pictures Group Ltd really worth?

AP Alibaba Pictures Group Ltd 1060 · HK

PriceHK$0.5000

Fair ValueHK$0.3800

Upside−24.0%

Quality43/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 32% above our fair value of HK$0.3800.

As of Aug 26, 2026, the fair value of Alibaba Pictures Group Ltd is HK$0.3800 per share against a price of HK$0.5000, so the fair value sits 24% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

✓Ranks above peers (9/14)

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +22.0 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 8.8% net margin

!Low debt · negative free cash flow

!Narrow moat 34/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on valuation: 1 out of 100

!Weak on past: 17 out of 100

Evidence: Low Range HK$0.3000 – HK$0.4500

Fair value as of: Aug 26, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Share price −2.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.4500). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2850 – HK$1.35 · fair‑value band HK$0.3000 – HK$0.4500 · the HK$0.5000 price screens above the HK$0.3800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Alibaba Pictures Group Ltd (1060) currently trades at HK$0.5000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3800, implying the stock looks roughly 31.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.8600 per share, and 6 of the 17 models we run sit above the HK$0.5000 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$0.2200, and 11 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Alibaba Pictures Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$8.0B at a net margin of 8.8%. Revenue grew 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$3.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3000 (bear case) to HK$0.4500 (bull case); at HK$0.5000, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at −24%, 1060 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$0.0087 per share, which is 2.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence

Highest evidence

Residual Income best evidence HK$0.4200 HK$0.4100 HK$0.3700 76

EPV HK$0.2000 HK$0.2200 HK$0.2300 74

Owner Earnings HK$0.4500 HK$0.8600 HK$1.73 72

All 17 models by family

DCF Models

Owner Earnings HK$0.4500 HK$0.8600 HK$1.73 72

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$0.1600 HK$1.09 HK$1.53 63

Lynch FV HK$0.4400 HK$0.6300 HK$0.8200 61

PEG = 1.0 HK$0.4400 HK$0.6300 HK$0.8200 57

EPV HK$0.2000 HK$0.2200 HK$0.2300 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM HK$0.0100 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 69

DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 HK$0.0200 65

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$0.3800 HK$0.5100 HK$0.6300 63

P/S Multiple HK$0.2900 HK$0.3900 HK$0.4900 58

P/B Multiple HK$0.2900 HK$0.3900 HK$0.4900 55

EV/EBIT HK$0.3200 HK$0.3900 HK$0.4600 66

EV/EBITDA HK$0.3100 HK$0.3700 HK$0.4300 67

EV/Revenue HK$0.2800 HK$0.3400 HK$0.4100 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2800 HK$0.3800 HK$0.5700 54

Economic Profit

Residual Income best evidence HK$0.4200 HK$0.4100 HK$0.3700 76

ROIC Compounder HK$0.2000 HK$0.2200 HK$0.2300 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.5600 HK$0.8100 HK$1.05 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.8600) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0100). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 15.7 as of Jul 2, 2026

P/S ratio 1.38 P/E × margin

EPS (TTM) HK$0.0200 price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.7

Dividend yield 0.2% payout 4.4%

Net margin 8.8% FY2026

Return on equity 4.1% TTM

More key figures

Profitability

Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2% avg 5y

Operating margin 4.5% TTM

Growth

Revenue (TTM) HK$8.0B TTM

Revenue growth (YoY) +8.9% 3y avg +30.0%

EPS growth (YoY) +574%

Balance sheet & cash flow

Free cash flow −HK$1.2B FY2025

Net cash HK$3.3B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 27

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 57

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 0

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 73

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 59

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 46

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 10

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 3

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 57

Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Full company description

Damai Entertainment Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates in the content, technology, and IP merchandising and commercialization businesses in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. The company invests, produces, promotes, markets, and distributes entertainment contents comprising film, online drama series, and broadcasting and television programs, as well as short dramas for children; and operates film ticketing and technology platforms under Tao Piao Piao and Yunzhi names, as well as Beacon AI, a data product which provide intelligent promotion and distribution services for the entertainment industry. It also engages in the provision of digital collectibles issuance and factoring services; establishment of platforms; and engages in the life cycle of live performances, such as performances ticketing, on-site event services, ticketing issuance systems, and venue operations to the organization, as well as investment, production, and promotion of the performance contents. In addition, the company provides investment management and consultation services; invests in production and distribution of film and television copyrights; technological consultation, and technology transfer and services; technical promotion services; exchanging and planning services for screen-based, cultural, and art events; performance brokerage; and engages in the design, production, agency sale, and release of advertisements. Further, it offers advertising and sale of entertainment related merchandise and derivative products; computer system services; supplies cinema ticketing and connecting software systems; and provides talent agency, software design and development, IP related products; and sells pop toys and action figures. The company was formerly known as Alibaba Pictures Group Limited. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Beijing, China. Damai Entertainment Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Ali CV Investment Holding Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Alibaba Pictures Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$7.7B in FY2026 versus HK$3.7B in FY2022, a compound +20.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$680M in FY2026, compounding +41.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 58/100

The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Latest Revenue (FY 2026)

HK$7.7B

Latest YoY

+15.5%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+30.0%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+22.0%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (26Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+15.6%

Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.

≈ +15.6% (approximate, leans on 2026) · in HKD

Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.

Earnings growth per share+15.4%

Dividend yield0.2%

Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 29.0% vs 10Y 1.3%, picking up

Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−16.4% (2020) → 6.5% (2026) · rising

Worst earnings drop3,616% (2010) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in HKD

⚠ Final year 2026 sits 102% above its own trend (e.g. a one-off disposal gain), so this rate uses the operating basis instead of reported profit

Revenue +20.7%/yr

FY22 HK$3.7B

FY23 HK$3.5B

FY24 HK$5.0B

FY25 HK$6.7B

FY26 HK$7.7B

Net income +41.5%/yr

FY22 HK$170M

FY23 −HK$279M

FY24 HK$285M

FY25 HK$364M

FY26 HK$680M

1060 screens 32% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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HK$0.3800 −32%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alibaba Pictures Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1060.HK

Peer Group

Entertainment · 251 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Below median

Fair Value upside −24% · Below median

Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Above median

Return on assets 2% · Above median

Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%

Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median

Revenue growth 9% · Above median

Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.7× · Cheaper than median

P/B 0.83× · Cheaper than median

P/S (TTM) 1.73× · Pricier than median

EV/EBITDA 14.9× · Pricier than median

PEG 0.60× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE1 · sector 5

FUTURE45 · sector 15

PAST17 · sector 0

HEALTH100 · sector 98

DIVIDEND4 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 26, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX	$81.72	$49.35	−40%
The Walt Disney Company DIS	$103.50	$80.62	−22%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD	$27.65	$9.03	−67%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV	$182.02	$59.97	−67%
Universal Music Group UMG	€14.73	€14.78	+0%
TKO Group TKO	$189.42	$47.75	−75%
Formula One Group FWONK	$102.02	$35.21	−65%
Fox Corporation FOXA	$68.42	$206.81	+202%
News Corporation NWS	A$46.55	A$20.41	−56%
Warner Music Group WMG	$24.79	$12.10	−51%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Alibaba Pictures Group Ltd (1060) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Aug 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3800 versus a price of HK$0.5000, about −24% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 1060?

Our model-based fair value for Alibaba Pictures Group Ltd is HK$0.3800 (as of Aug 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.5000.

What is the quality score of 1060?

Alibaba Pictures Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Alibaba Pictures Group Ltd (1060)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3800 (as of Aug 26, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.3000, optimistic scenario HK$0.4500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Alibaba Pictures Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$0.3800, about −24% upside versus a price of HK$0.5000 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.3000, optimistic scenario HK$0.4500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Alibaba Pictures Group Ltd (1060)?

Alibaba Pictures Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$8.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 26, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 1060?

The net profit margin of Alibaba Pictures Group Ltd is about 8.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does Alibaba Pictures Group Ltd pay a dividend?

Alibaba Pictures Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.18% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 26, 2026).

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