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1239 (1239) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$156M

1 1239 1239 · HK
PriceHK$0.3600
Fair ValueHK$0.4500
Upside+25.0%
Quality36/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.4300 – HK$0.4900

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated today

Share price −27.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$0.6500 HK$0.1290 Fair Value HK$0.4500 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range HK$0.1290 – HK$0.6500 · fair‑value band HK$0.4300 – HK$0.4900 · the HK$0.3600 price screens below the HK$0.4500 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1239 (1239) currently trades at HK$0.3600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4500 — implying the stock looks roughly 25.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 1239 generated revenue of HK$76.2M at a net margin of -42.7%. Revenue declined 82.3% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$433M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$76.2M
Revenue growth (YoY) -82.3%
Net margin -42.7%
Free cash flow −HK$12.1M FY2025
Operating margin -75.6%
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0500
More key figures
Net debt HK$433M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1239 reported revenue of HK$76.2M in FY2025 versus HK$377M in FY2021, a compound −33.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$32.6M in FY2025.

Revenue −33.0%/yr
FY21 HK$377M
FY22 HK$385M
FY23 HK$341M
FY24 HK$253M
FY25 HK$76.2M
Net income
FY21 −HK$43.4M
FY22 −HK$49.6M
FY23 −HK$68.3M
FY24 −HK$106M
FY25 −HK$32.6M

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Similar stocks

6 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Smurfit Kappa Group SMFTF $44.20 $27.40 -38%
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $38.95 $62.16 +60%
Packaging Corporation PKG $234.03 $123.93 -47%
International Paper Company IP $31.85 $48.43 +52%
Amcor plc AMCR $40.43 $18.79 -54%
Ball Corporation B1LL34 R$141.68 R$105.09 -26%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1239 (1239) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4500 versus a price of HK$0.3600 — about +25% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 1239?
Our model-based fair value for 1239 is HK$0.4500 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.3600.
What is the quality score of 1239?
1239 has a Quality Score of 36/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 1239 (1239)?
1239 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$76.2M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1239?
The net profit margin of 1239 is about -42.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.