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PT Panca Budi Idaman Tbk, (PBID) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 3.6T IDR

PP PT Panca Budi Idaman Tbk, PBID · JK
Price535.00 IDR
Fair Value885.39 IDR
Upside+65.5%
Quality58/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 8.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: High Range 549.42 IDR – 1,135 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +11.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 65% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (549.42 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (549.42 IDR to 1,135 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

535.00 IDR 236.50 IDR Fair Value 885.39 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 236.50 IDR – 535.00 IDR · fair‑value band 549.42 IDR – 1,135 IDR · the 535.00 IDR price screens below the 885.39 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Panca Budi Idaman Tbk, (PBID) currently trades at 535.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 885.39 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 65.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Panca Budi Idaman Tbk, generated revenue of 5.2T IDR at a net margin of 8.2%. Revenue grew 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 62.2B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 549.42 IDR (bear case) to 1,135 IDR (bull case); at 535.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 65%, PBID screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 552.21 IDR 829.84 IDR 1,251 IDR 80
Residual Income 385.00 IDR 466.23 IDR 860.37 IDR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 589.91 IDR 952.30 IDR 1,371 IDR 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 542.27 IDR 855.36 IDR 1,361 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 682.99 IDR 1,082 IDR 1,727 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 589.91 IDR 955.10 IDR 1,425 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 544.07 IDR 868.74 IDR 1,248 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 606.91 IDR 987.13 IDR 1,388 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 549.42 IDR 885.39 IDR 1,344 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 539.02 IDR 823.82 IDR 1,205 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 580.11 IDR 908.23 IDR 1,315 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 363.20 IDR 1,168 IDR 1,558 IDR 54
Lynch FV 259.10 IDR 370.14 IDR 481.18 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 259.10 IDR 370.14 IDR 481.18 IDR 46
EPV 550.58 IDR 642.36 IDR 723.94 IDR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 529.05 IDR 1,155 IDR 1,943 IDR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 529.05 IDR 905.28 IDR 1,204 IDR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 681.00 IDR 907.99 IDR 1,135 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 681.00 IDR 907.99 IDR 1,135 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 681.00 IDR 907.99 IDR 1,135 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 733.19 IDR 967.42 IDR 1,202 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 606.15 IDR 798.03 IDR 989.91 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 639.50 IDR 900.50 IDR 1,161 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 195.85 IDR 262.44 IDR 391.70 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 552.21 IDR 829.84 IDR 1,251 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 589.91 IDR 952.30 IDR 1,371 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 385.00 IDR 466.23 IDR 860.37 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 586.27 IDR 753.45 IDR 963.79 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 584.31 IDR 834.73 IDR 1,085 IDR 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (907.99 IDR) versus Asset-Based (262.44 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.2T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.5%
Net margin 8.2%
Return on equity 13.9%
Free cash flow 318B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 8.5
More key figures
Operating margin 12.7%
EPS (TTM) 56.88 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) +23.9%
Net cash 62.2B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 62
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 99
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Panca Budi Idaman Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, produces and distributes plastic bag finished products in Indonesia and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Plastic Resin, Plastic Packaging, and Other.

Full company description

PT Panca Budi Idaman Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, produces and distributes plastic bag finished products in Indonesia and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Plastic Resin, Plastic Packaging, and Other. It offers polyethylene, polypropylene, and high density polyethylene plastic bags, as well as heavy-duty sacks and packaging products, including food wrapping papers, cake boxes, plastic ropes, rubber bands, and straws. The company sells its products under the Pluit, Tomat, Bangkuang, Jeruk, Cabe, 222, Wayang, Gapura, Sparta, Liberty, Dayana, PB, and other brand names through retailers, semi-wholesalers, and wholesalers. It exports its products to the United Kingdom, Germany, the Netherlands, Spain, the United Arab Emirates, Nigeria, the United States, Taiwan, and other countries. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Tangerang, Indonesia. PT Panca Budi Idaman Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Alphen Internasional Corporindo.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Panca Budi Idaman Tbk, reported revenue of 5.2T IDR in FY2025 versus 4.4T IDR in FY2021, a compound +4.0%/yr. Reported net income was 401B IDR in FY2025, compounding −0.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 65/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.2T IDR
Latest YoY
−1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.0%
Revenue +4.0%/yr
FY21 4.4T IDR
FY22 5.0T IDR
FY23 4.7T IDR
FY24 5.2T IDR
FY25 5.2T IDR
Net income −0.8%/yr
FY21 414B IDR
FY22 353B IDR
FY23 374B IDR
FY24 485B IDR
FY25 401B IDR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +6.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share −9.9 pp

of which total revenue +7.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −17.0 pp

EBIT margin +11.3 pp
Tax rate +1.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +3.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Panca Budi Idaman Tbk, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PBID

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +66% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.23× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.69× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 9
FUTURE 8 · sector 0
PAST 56 · sector 21
HEALTH 100 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

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PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,194 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 132.50 TWD 127.06 TWD -4%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹206.82 ₹161.42 -22%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹222.25 ₹111.65 -50%
Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 15.15 TWD 23.17 TWD +53%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 19,330 KRW 31,473 KRW +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Panca Budi Idaman Tbk, (PBID) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 885.39 IDR versus a price of 535.00 IDR, about +65% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PBID?
Our model-based fair value for PT Panca Budi Idaman Tbk, is 885.39 IDR (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 535.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of PBID?
PT Panca Budi Idaman Tbk, has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Panca Budi Idaman Tbk, (PBID)?
PT Panca Budi Idaman Tbk, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.2T IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PBID?
The net profit margin of PT Panca Budi Idaman Tbk, is about 8.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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