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Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited (1250) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited HK$3.63, price HK$1.02, upside +255.9%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? No
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Utilities · HK · ISIN KYG1146W1050

SH Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited

1250 · HK

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value HK$3.63 · Strongly undervalued (+255.9%)

!Quality 45/100

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −2.4 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 5.2% net margin (TTM)

✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

✓Ranks above peers (9/13)

!Narrow moat 43/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on past: 8 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear HK$2.54 to bull HK$4.72 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 45/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.9600 – HK$5.85 · fair‑value band HK$2.54 – HK$4.72 · the HK$1.02 price screens below the HK$3.63 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited engages in investment, development, construction, operation, and management of photovoltaic power, wind power, and clean heat supply service businesses in the People's Republic of China. The company provides engineering, procurement, construction, and technical consultancy services for photovoltaic and wind power-related projects, and clean heat supply services, which include the production of heat through natural gas, electricity, geothermal energy, biomass energy, photovoltaic power, industrial waste heat energy, clean coal- fired, river water source, and other clean energy sources. It also engages in the infrastructure development and operation of wind power plants and clean energy projects, as well as in the property investment business; and trading of equipment related to photovoltaic power business. The company was formerly known as Beijing Enterprises Clean Energy Group Limited and changed its name to Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited in July 2022. Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited (1250) currently trades at HK$1.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.63, implying the stock looks roughly 71.9% undervalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$13.07 per share, and 21 of the 23 models we run sit above the HK$1.02 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$0.9400, and 2 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$2.54 (bear) to HK$4.72 (bull), the price of HK$1.02 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited reported revenue of 4.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 6.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound −5.0%/yr. Reported net income was 255M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$2.5B (≈ $318M) · P/E ratio 9.3 · P/S ratio 0.48 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.1300 · Net margin 5.2% · Return on equity 2.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3% · Operating margin 26.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at 256%, 1250 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$2.54 Fair Value HK$3.63 Bull HK$4.72

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0983 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF HK$14.98 HK$25.67 HK$56.10 75

Growth DCF HK$13.71 HK$27.77 HK$52.95 74

Residual Income HK$5.10 HK$4.69 HK$4.52 71

All 24 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF HK$14.98 HK$25.67 HK$56.10 75

Owner Earnings HK$2.85 HK$13.07 HK$32.02 67

5Y Revenue Exit HK$3.43 HK$8.36 HK$17.78 67

5Y EBITDA Exit HK$10.30 HK$22.86 HK$46.18 70

5Y P/E Exit HK$1.45 HK$5.35 HK$9.69 66

10Y Revenue Exit HK$7.01 HK$15.59 HK$22.08 65

10Y EBITDA Exit HK$11.64 HK$28.01 HK$57.59 63

10Y P/E Exit HK$5.87 HK$12.01 HK$20.93 61

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$0.9000 HK$6.28 HK$8.81 63

Lynch FV HK$2.03 HK$2.90 HK$3.76 61

PEG = 1.0 HK$2.03 HK$2.90 HK$3.76 57

EPV HK$0.0200 HK$0.9400 HK$1.70 64

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$1.79 HK$2.38 HK$2.98 63

P/S Multiple HK$1.69 HK$2.25 HK$2.81 58

P/B Multiple HK$1.69 HK$2.25 HK$2.81 55

EV/EBIT HK$4.05 HK$7.63 HK$11.20 63

EV/EBITDA HK$8.51 HK$13.57 HK$18.63 66

EV/Revenue n/a n/a HK$1.63 50

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$3.90 HK$5.22 HK$7.79 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF HK$13.71 HK$27.77 HK$52.95 74

Rev-Margin DCF HK$3.19 HK$9.24 HK$17.93 67

Economic Profit

Residual Income HK$5.10 HK$4.69 HK$4.52 71

ROIC Compounder HK$0.0200 HK$0.9400 HK$1.70 64

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$2.54 HK$3.63 HK$4.72 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 16

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 46

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 83

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 17

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 63

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 57

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 13

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 3

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 49

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100

Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Revenue growth 1 year

+10.9%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−2.5%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−2.4%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +32.7% a year

Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+24.4%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

−18.0%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−18.0%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−18.0% vs 10.9%, slowing

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.40% → 37%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 196 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures

Overall it ranks above its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 45 · Above median

Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 2.1% · Below median

Return on assets 2.0% · Above median

Net margin (TTM) 5.2% · Below median

Operating margin (TTM) 26.4% · Above median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth −0.5% · Below median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 1.21× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.3× · Cheapest 25%

P/B 0.14× · Cheapest 25%

P/S (TTM) 0.48× · Cheapest 25%

P/FCF 1.0× · Cheapest 25%

EV/EBITDA 4.7× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 14

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 9

PAST (return on equity)8 · sector 14

HEALTH (low debt)40 · sector 67

DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 45

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Fortum Oyj FORTUM	€23.42	€14.06	−40%
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EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR	€12.99	€3.53	−73%
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Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited · Fair Value
HK$3.63 +72%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1250

Frequently asked questions

Is Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited (1250) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.63 versus a price of HK$1.02, about +256% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of 1250?

Our model-based fair value for Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited is HK$3.63 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.02.

What is the quality score of 1250?

Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited (1250)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$3.63 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$2.54, optimistic scenario HK$4.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$3.63, about +256% upside versus a price of HK$1.02 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$2.54, optimistic scenario HK$4.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited (1250)?

Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited (1250)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited it is HK$3.63 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$1.02. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 24, 2026, 1250 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$1.02, fair value HK$3.63, a gap of about +256% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 1250?

No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.02); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$3.63). For Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited the two are HK$2.61 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited worth?

The market values Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited at about HK$2.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.02; our models calculate a fair value of HK$3.63 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1250?

Our models span a range for Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited: cautious scenario HK$2.54, base HK$3.63, optimistic HK$4.72 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$1.02). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of 1250?

Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$3.63 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 4.7.

How solid is the balance sheet of Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited (1250)?

Balance-sheet figures for Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.1%, debt of 1.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 1250 from its 52-week high?

Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited trades at HK$1.02, about 53% below its 52-week high of HK$2.18 and 6% above the low of HK$0.9600 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$3.63 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited?

From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Fortum Oyj, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$1.02, calculated fair value HK$3.63 (+256%), Quality Score 45/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 1250 calculated?

We run Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$3.63, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited currently trades 72 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited (1250)?

The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$1.02. Our model-based fair value is HK$3.63, about +256% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited right now?

The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$2.54). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (HK$2.54 to HK$4.72) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Where does the earnings growth of Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited (1250) come from?

Earnings per share at Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited grew +31.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +46.7 %, EBIT margin +7.1 %, tax rate −2.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −13.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited (1250)?

The market capitalisation of Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited is HK$2.5B (≈ $318M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited (1250)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited is 0.48 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited (1250)?

Earnings per share at Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited are HK$0.1300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited (1250)?

The net margin of Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited is 5.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited (1250)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited is 2.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited (1250)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited (1250)?

The operating margin of Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited is 26.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited (1250)?

Revenue at Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited is growing −0.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited (1250)?

Earnings per share at Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited are growing +4.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited (1250) generate?

The free cash flow of Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited is 2.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited (1250) carry?

The net debt of Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited is 24.4B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 11.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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