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Dell Technologies Inc (12DA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Dell Technologies Inc €186, price €496, upside -62.5%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · DE · ISIN US24703L2025

DT Broad data Sep 28, 2026

Dell Technologies Inc

12DA · XETRA

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value €186.01 · Strongly overvalued (−62.5%)
✓Quality 67/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +5.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
✓0.4% dividend yield · Well covered
!Narrow moat 44/100

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€510.90 €31.53 Fair Value €186.01 Apr 2020 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €31.53 – €510.90 · fair‑value band €120.03 – €266.72 · the €496.20 price screens above the €186.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.

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Company profile

Dell Technologies Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and supports various comprehensive and integrated solutions, products, and services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and internationally. The company operates through Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) and Client Solutions Group (CSG) segments.

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Dell Technologies Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and supports various comprehensive and integrated solutions, products, and services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and internationally. The company operates through Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) and Client Solutions Group (CSG) segments. The ISG segment provides modern and traditional storage solutions, including all-flash, purpose-built, hyper-converged infrastructure, software-defined storage, and general-purpose and AI-optimized servers. This segment also offers networking products and services comprising wide area network infrastructure, data center and edge networking switches, and cables and optics that help its business customers to transform and modernize their infrastructure and complementing its server and storage solutions; and software, peripherals, and services, including consulting and support, and deployment. The CSG segment provides notebooks, desktops, and workstations and branded peripherals that include displays, docking stations, keyboards, mice, webcam and audio devices, and third-party software and peripherals; and configuration, and extended warranties services. The company is involved in originating, collecting, and servicing customer financing arrangements and offers payment and consumption solutions and services, such utility, subscription, as-a-service, leases, and loans, as well as fixed-term leases and loans. It serves enterprises, governmental agencies and other public institutions, educational institutions, healthcare organizations, small and medium-sized businesses, and consumers. The company was formerly known as Denali Holding Inc. and changed its name to Dell Technologies Inc. in March 2013. Dell Technologies Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Round Rock, Texas.

Stock analysis

Dell Technologies Inc (12DA) currently trades at €496.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €186.01, 62.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €216.10 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the €496.20 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €31.25, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €120.03 (bear) to €266.72 (bull), the price of €496.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Dell Technologies Inc reported revenue of $114B in FY2026 versus $101B in FY2022, a compound +2.9%/yr. Reported net income was $5.9B in FY2026, compounding +1.7%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap €339B · P/E ratio 32.1 · P/S ratio 1.68 · EPS (TTM) €11.00 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 5.2% · Return on equity 124,635% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 45 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 422% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at −63%, 12DA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €120.03 Fair Value €186.01 Bull €266.72
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (€5.90 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €130.57 €220.10 €364.89 77
Growth DCF €133.39 €212.76 €333.15 76
Owner Earnings €95.64 €163.76 €273.94 73
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €130.57 €220.10 €364.89 77
Owner Earnings €95.64 €163.76 €273.94 73
5Y Revenue Exit €96.85 €159.36 €238.59 71
5Y EBITDA Exit €153.09 €265.35 €397.00 73
5Y P/E Exit €129.73 €221.33 €317.79 69
10Y Revenue Exit €104.05 €165.04 €246.32 65
10Y EBITDA Exit €144.03 €240.63 €370.90 66
10Y P/E Exit €128.76 €209.24 €308.61 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €52.48 €169.04 €225.57 62
Lynch FV €37.55 €53.64 €69.73 58
PEG = 1.0 €37.55 €53.64 €69.73 55
EPV €76.90 €93.22 €107.72 72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €18.25 €39.84 €67.03 63
DDM Multi-Stage €18.25 €31.25 €41.52 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple €162.08 €216.10 €270.13 61
P/S Multiple €98.40 €131.20 €164.01 56
EV/EBIT €181.92 €247.75 €313.57 64
EV/EBITDA €185.67 €252.74 €319.81 66
EV/Revenue €84.28 €127.07 €169.85 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €133.39 €212.76 €333.15 76
Rev-Margin DCF €96.85 €160.02 €233.59 71
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder €80.37 €101.45 €123.16 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €131.87 €188.39 €244.91 66

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 16
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 98
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 70/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.4% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+15.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 7%
2026 sits 99% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+24.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+16.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +21.6% a year for the price and +14.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)+50.7%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+11.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+10.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+9.0%
Projected 2031 (sales)+7.8%

12DA screens overvalued: fair value 63% below the price. Compare with Arista Networks, Inc →

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Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dell Technologies Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/12DA

Frequently asked questions

Is Dell Technologies Inc (12DA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €186.01 versus a price of €496.20, about −63% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 12DA?
Our model-based fair value for Dell Technologies Inc is €186.01 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €496.20.
What is the quality score of 12DA?
Dell Technologies Inc has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dell Technologies Inc (12DA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €186.01 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario €120.03, optimistic scenario €266.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dell Technologies Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €186.01, about −63% upside versus a price of €496.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €120.03, optimistic scenario €266.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dell Technologies Inc (12DA)?
Dell Technologies Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $134B (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
Does Dell Technologies Inc pay a dividend?
Dell Technologies Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.44% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Dell Technologies Inc (12DA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Dell Technologies Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +24.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.6 % per year. As of Sep 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 12DA use?
Our models discount Dell Technologies Inc at 9.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mega), damped by beta 1.38, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Dell Technologies Inc that is +24.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Dell Technologies Inc (12DA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Dell Technologies Inc grew +5.6 % a year. The price currently implies +24.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Dell Technologies Inc (12DA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +13.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Dell Technologies Inc (+24.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Dell Technologies Inc (12DA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.24 %: that much free cash flow Dell Technologies Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Dell Technologies Inc (12DA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dell Technologies Inc it is €186.01 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of €496.20. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dell Technologies Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, 12DA trades above its calculated fair value: price €496.20, fair value €186.01, a gap of about −63% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 12DA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€496.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€186.01). For Dell Technologies Inc the two are €310.19 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dell Technologies Inc worth?
The market values Dell Technologies Inc at about €339B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is €496.20; our models calculate a fair value of €186.01 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 12DA?
Our models span a range for Dell Technologies Inc: cautious scenario €120.03, base €186.01, optimistic €266.72 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price €496.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 12DA from its 52-week high?
Dell Technologies Inc trades at €496.20, about 3% below its 52-week high of €510.90 and 422% above the low of €95.03 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €186.01 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dell Technologies Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Arista Networks, Inc, Seagate Technology Holdings, Western Digital Corporation, Wiwynn Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dell Technologies Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price €496.20, calculated fair value €186.01 (−63%), Quality Score 67/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 12DA calculated?
We run Dell Technologies Inc through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €186.01, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Dell Technologies Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dell Technologies Inc (12DA)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €496.20. Our model-based fair value is €186.01, about −63% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dell Technologies Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€266.72). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (€120.03 to €266.72) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Dell Technologies Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Dell Technologies Inc (12DA)?
The market capitalisation of Dell Technologies Inc is €339B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Dell Technologies Inc (12DA)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Dell Technologies Inc is 32.1 (as of Jul 16, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Dell Technologies Inc (12DA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dell Technologies Inc is 1.68 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dell Technologies Inc (12DA)?
Earnings per share at Dell Technologies Inc are €11.00 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 32.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Dell Technologies Inc (12DA)?
The dividend yield of Dell Technologies Inc is 0.4% (payout 20.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Dell Technologies Inc (12DA)?
The net margin of Dell Technologies Inc is 5.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dell Technologies Inc (12DA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dell Technologies Inc is 124,635% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dell Technologies Inc (12DA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dell Technologies Inc is 6.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dell Technologies Inc (12DA)?
The operating margin of Dell Technologies Inc is 8.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dell Technologies Inc (12DA)?
Revenue at Dell Technologies Inc is growing +87.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dell Technologies Inc (12DA)?
Earnings per share at Dell Technologies Inc are growing +283% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Dell Technologies Inc (12DA) carry?
The net debt of Dell Technologies Inc is $20.0B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 2.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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