United Carton Industries Company (1323) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SA · Market cap 1.1B SAR
Fair value as of: Aug 4, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price +4.3% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 22% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Our model range runs from 25.22 SAR (bear) to 42.03 SAR (bull), base 33.63 SAR. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 55/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (14 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
14‑month range 22.60 SAR – 46.58 SAR · fair‑value band 25.22 SAR – 42.03 SAR · the 27.60 SAR price screens below the 33.63 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 4, 2026.
Analysis
United Carton Industries Company (1323) currently trades at 27.60 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 33.63 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 21.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, United Carton Industries Company generated revenue of 1.5B SAR at a net margin of 7.2%. Revenue grew 14.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.5%. Net debt stands at 31.6M SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 4, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 25.22 SAR (bear case) to 42.03 SAR (bull case); at 27.60 SAR, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 22%, 1323 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (89.21 SAR) versus Asset-Based (9.85 SAR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 4, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
United Carton Industries Company provides various paper-based packaging solutions in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and internationally.
Full company description
United Carton Industries Company provides various paper-based packaging solutions in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and internationally. The company's corrugated carton products include regular slotted containers, half slotted containers, die cut containers, wrap around cases, high graphic flexographic printing, stitched boxes, and digitally printed corrugated stands and boxes; folding carton products comprise crush lock bottom cases, flat supply products, and round cheese boxes; pulp products; and containerboard products comprising test liner and fluting. Its products are used in various industries, including food, beverages, pharmaceuticals, hardware, shipping, and storage and retail packaging. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Jeddah, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
United Carton Industries Company reported revenue of 1.4B SAR in FY2025 versus 341M SAR in FY2021, a compound +42.5%/yr. Reported net income was 79.1M SAR in FY2025, compounding +157.9%/yr from FY2021.
Watch 1323: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 278 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 4, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 101.90 | kr 126.39 | +24% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥25.56 | ¥20.88 | -18% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 29.00 THB | 16.12 THB | -44% |
| AblePrint Technology Co 7734 | 2,850 TWD | 661.69 TWD | -77% |
| PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW | 5,312 IDR | 1,194 IDR | -78% |
| Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO | ₹181.04 | ₹161.42 | -11% |
| EPL Limited 500135 | ₹222.25 | ₹111.65 | -50% |
| Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 | 15.15 TWD | 23.17 TWD | +53% |
| Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 | 19,330 KRW | 31,473 KRW | +63% |
| PT Panca Budi Idaman Tbk, PBID | 486.00 IDR | 885.39 IDR | +82% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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