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Yonyu Plastics Co Ltd (1323) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 1.8B TWD (≈ $57.3M) · ISIN TW0001323004

What is Yonyu Plastics Co Ltd really worth?

YP Yonyu Plastics Co Ltd 1323 · TW
Price21.25 TWD
Fair Value4.39 TWD
Upside−79.3%
Quality53/100

A solid business, but trading 384% above our fair value of 4.39 TWD.

As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Yonyu Plastics Co Ltd is 4.39 TWD per share against a price of 21.25 TWD, so the fair value sits 79% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −10.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.5% net margin
!Trails peers (4/14)
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 5 out of 100
!Weak on past: 8 out of 100

For context

·4.24% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range 3.29 TWD – 5.49 TWD

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 19 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +7.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.49 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

34.53 TWD 18.15 TWD Fair Value 4.39 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 18.15 TWD – 34.53 TWD · fair‑value band 3.29 TWD – 5.49 TWD · the 21.25 TWD price screens above the 4.39 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Yonyu Plastics Co Ltd (1323) currently trades at 21.25 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.39 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 384.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 18.82 TWD per share, and 0 of the 19 models we run sit above the 21.25 TWD price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 2.15 TWD, and 19 of the 19 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Yonyu Plastics Co Ltd generated revenue of 2.0B TWD at a net margin of 2.5%. Revenue grew 0.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.0%. Net debt stands at 671M TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 3.29 TWD (bear case) to 5.49 TWD (bull case); at 21.25 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −79%, 1323 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 11.20 TWD 15.90 TWD 23.80 TWD 80
Growth DCF 11.70 TWD 16.16 TWD 23.07 TWD 79
Owner Earnings 6.99 TWD 10.42 TWD 16.17 TWD 76
All 19 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 11.20 TWD 15.90 TWD 23.80 TWD 80
Owner Earnings 6.99 TWD 10.42 TWD 16.17 TWD 76
5Y Revenue Exit 11.45 TWD 18.44 TWD 28.59 TWD 71
5Y EBITDA Exit 8.58 TWD 13.47 TWD 19.95 TWD 74
5Y P/E Exit 4.08 TWD 5.69 TWD 7.68 TWD 71
10Y Revenue Exit 10.86 TWD 15.69 TWD 20.83 TWD 67
10Y EBITDA Exit 9.64 TWD 12.88 TWD 16.21 TWD 70
10Y P/E Exit 7.15 TWD 8.49 TWD 9.63 TWD 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.76 TWD 2.15 TWD 2.42 TWD 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 3.29 TWD 4.39 TWD 5.49 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 3.29 TWD 4.39 TWD 5.49 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 3.29 TWD 4.39 TWD 5.49 TWD 55
EV/EBITDA 8.34 TWD 12.55 TWD 16.77 TWD 66
EV/Revenue 13.08 TWD 20.53 TWD 27.98 TWD 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 14.04 TWD 18.82 TWD 28.09 TWD 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 11.70 TWD 16.16 TWD 23.07 TWD 79
Rev-Margin DCF 11.45 TWD 18.85 TWD 27.94 TWD 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income 17.97 TWD 16.23 TWD 10.77 TWD 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 2.35 TWD 3.35 TWD 4.36 TWD 67

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (18.82 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (2.15 TWD). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 81.7
P/S ratio 0.96 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 0.2600 TWD price ÷ EPS = P/E 81.7
Dividend yield 4.2%
Net margin 1.2% FY2025
Return on equity 2.0% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 4.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 2.0B TWD TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.9% 3y avg −18.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +612%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 174M TWD FY2025
Net debt 671M TWD FY2025 · ≈ 3.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 6
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 63
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Yonyu Plastics Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacturing, wholesale, retail, and sale of various plastic products in Taiwan, Mainland China, Asia, Europe, the United States, and internationally.

Full company description

Yonyu Plastics Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacturing, wholesale, retail, and sale of various plastic products in Taiwan, Mainland China, Asia, Europe, the United States, and internationally. It offers home and personal cleaning, pharmaceutical and green packaging products, as well as cosmetic package materials; and other products comprising cable accessories and other injection/extrusion products. The company also provides color matching and master batch compounding, mold design and fabrication, plastic molding, cosmetic ingredient developing and filling services; mascara/powder boxes and other cosmetic packaging automatic assembly and detection services; and various decoration services. It also provides printing services; import and export carbon materials; commission agency services. Yonyu Plastics Co., Ltd. was founded in 1964 and is based in Tainan City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yonyu Plastics Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.8B TWD in FY2021, a compound −14.7%/yr. Reported net income was 23.6M TWD in FY2025, compounding −45.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.0B TWD
Latest YoY
−23.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−18.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.3%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in TWD) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−35.1% · in TWD
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−39.3%
Dividend yield4.2%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −39.3% vs 10Y −21.7%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13.6% (2020) → −0.2% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop87% (2025) · in TWD
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.2%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) Structural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Revenue −14.7%/yr
FY21 3.8B TWD
FY22 3.8B TWD
FY23 3.3B TWD
FY24 2.6B TWD
FY25 2.0B TWD
Net income −45.9%/yr
FY21 276M TWD
FY22 187M TWD
FY23 84.1M TWD
FY24 235M TWD
FY25 23.6M TWD
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −5.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share −1.0 %

of which total revenue −1.0 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin −11.6 %
Tax rate +2.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +5.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

1323 screens 384% overvalued. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yonyu Plastics Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1323.TW

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 271 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.52× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 81.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.71× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.90× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 13.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 13
FUTURE5 · sector 2
PAST8 · sector 21
HEALTH74 · sector 93
DIVIDEND85 · sector 43

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $49.25 $22.66 −54%
Packaging Corporation PKG $233.94 $122.63 −48%
International Paper Company IP $36.46 $21.44 −41%
Amcor plc AMCR $45.15 $18.79 −58%
Ball Corporation BALL $61.67 $36.57 −41%
Crown Holdings CCK $119.08 $118.59 +0%
Avery Dennison Corporation AVY $173.07 $113.05 −35%
CCL Industries Inc CCLA C$93.99 C$77.64 −17%
Stora Enso Oyj STEAV €9.74 €11.42 +17%
SIG Group SIGN CHF 13.66 CHF 8.32 −39%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yonyu Plastics Co Ltd (1323) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4.39 TWD versus a price of 21.25 TWD, about −79% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1323?
Our model-based fair value for Yonyu Plastics Co Ltd is 4.39 TWD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 21.25 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1323?
Yonyu Plastics Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yonyu Plastics Co Ltd (1323)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 4.39 TWD (as of Aug 13, 2026) from 19 valuation models. Cautious scenario 3.29 TWD, optimistic scenario 5.49 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yonyu Plastics Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 4.39 TWD, about −79% upside versus a price of 21.25 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 3.29 TWD, optimistic scenario 5.49 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yonyu Plastics Co Ltd (1323)?
Yonyu Plastics Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.0B TWD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1323?
The net profit margin of Yonyu Plastics Co Ltd is about 2.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Yonyu Plastics Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Yonyu Plastics Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.24% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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