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Meitu Inc (1357) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Meitu Inc HK$5.65, price HK$3.82, upside +48.1%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? Yes
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Communication Services · HK · ISIN KYG5966D1051

MI Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Meitu Inc

1357 · HK

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

✓Fair value HK$5.65 · Undervalued (+48.1%)

✓Quality 66/100

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +26.4 %/yr)

✓Solidly profitable · 15.1% net margin (TTM)

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

✓5.5% dividend yield · Sustainable

✓Ranks above peers (10/14)

!Moderate moat 46/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

26 models, one by oneBear HK$3.85 to bull HK$7.34 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 66/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.6164 – HK$11.90 · fair‑value band HK$3.85 – HK$7.34 · the HK$3.82 price screens below the HK$5.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Meitu, Inc., an investment holding company, engages in the development and provision of products that streamline the production of photo, video, and design with other AI-powered products in Mainland China and internationally. Its product portfolio includes Meitu app, Wink, DesignKit, BeautyCam, Kaipai, WHEE, and MOKI; ecosystem products, such as ZCOOL, RoboNeo, and MiracleVision. In addition, it is involved in the provision of online advertising and other IVAS by offering a portfolio of photo and community apps, as well as information technology services; smart hardware business; and solutions for beauty industry. Meitu, Inc. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Xiamen, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Meitu Inc (1357) currently trades at HK$3.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$5.65, implying the stock looks roughly 32.5% undervalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$6.17 per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$3.82 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.9800, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$3.85 (bear) to HK$7.34 (bull), the price of HK$3.82 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Meitu Inc reported revenue of 3.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound +23.4%/yr. Reported net income was 583M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$17.5B (≈ $2.2B) · P/E ratio 28.4 · P/S ratio 4.28 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0800 · Dividend yield 5.5% · Net margin 15.1% · Return on equity 13.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 48%, 1357 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$3.85 Fair Value HK$5.65 Bull HK$7.34

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF HK$5.86 HK$8.55 HK$16.94 77

Growth DCF HK$5.56 HK$9.29 HK$16.60 76

Residual Income HK$1.28 HK$1.42 HK$1.81 76

All 24 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF HK$5.86 HK$8.55 HK$16.94 77

Owner Earnings HK$3.26 HK$6.17 HK$12.04 72

5Y Revenue Exit HK$2.92 HK$3.80 HK$5.59 73

5Y EBITDA Exit HK$3.37 HK$4.71 HK$7.33 74

5Y P/E Exit HK$4.64 HK$8.83 HK$14.46 68

10Y Revenue Exit HK$3.80 HK$5.89 HK$6.78 68

10Y EBITDA Exit HK$4.16 HK$6.84 HK$11.09 67

10Y P/E Exit HK$5.06 HK$9.51 HK$16.63 61

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$1.03 HK$7.15 HK$10.03 63

Lynch FV HK$2.77 HK$3.95 HK$5.14 61

PEG = 1.0 HK$2.77 HK$3.95 HK$5.14 57

EPV HK$1.26 HK$1.33 HK$1.38 74

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$3.17 HK$4.22 HK$5.28 63

P/S Multiple HK$1.92 HK$2.56 HK$3.20 58

P/B Multiple HK$1.92 HK$2.56 HK$3.20 55

EV/EBIT HK$2.41 HK$2.93 HK$3.44 66

EV/EBITDA HK$2.32 HK$2.81 HK$3.29 67

EV/Revenue HK$1.65 HK$1.99 HK$2.32 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$0.7300 HK$0.9800 HK$1.47 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF HK$5.56 HK$9.29 HK$16.60 76

Rev-Margin DCF HK$2.94 HK$4.23 HK$6.65 72

Economic Profit

Residual Income HK$1.28 HK$1.42 HK$1.81 76

ROIC Compounder HK$1.26 HK$1.33 HK$1.38 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$3.96 HK$5.66 HK$7.35 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14

Profitability 47

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 38

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 100

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 96

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 42

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 16

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 20

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 2

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 73

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100

Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Revenue growth 1 year

+15.5%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+22.8%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+26.4%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +17.9% a year

Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+37.3%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.

≈ +32.2%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+26.7%

Dividend (yield on the price)5.5%

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−9% → 9%

⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 50% above its own trend.

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price

The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

−0.5%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.

+21.6%

Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.

After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.2% a year for the price and +19.6% for the forecasts.

Forecast 2026 (sales)+27.8%

Forecast 2027 (sales)+24.3%

Projected 2028 (sales)+21.5%

Projected 2029 (sales)+18.7%

Projected 2030 (sales)+16.0%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Internet Content & Information · 141 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures

Overall it ranks above its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 66 · Above median

Fair Value upside +48.1% · Above median

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 13.1% · Above median

Return on assets 2.4% · Above median

Net margin (TTM) 15.1% · Above median

Operating margin (TTM) 8.3% · Above median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 12.3% · Above median

Dividend yield (TTM) 5.5% · Top 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.4× · Pricier than median

P/B 2.63× · Pricier than median

P/S (TTM) 3.86× · Priciest 25%

P/FCF 12.3× · Cheaper than median

EV/EBITDA 31.7× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)97 · sector 47

FUTURE (revenue growth)62 · sector 31

PAST (return on equity)52 · sector 18

HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 99

DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 39

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Meitu Inc · Fair Value
HK$5.65 +32%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1357" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Meitu Inc · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">HK$5.65</b> <span style="color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;font-size:14px">+32%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Meitu Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1357

Frequently asked questions

Is Meitu Inc (1357) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$5.65 versus a price of HK$3.82, about +48% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of 1357?

Our model-based fair value for Meitu Inc is HK$5.65 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$3.82.

What is the quality score of 1357?

Meitu Inc has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Meitu Inc (1357)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$5.65 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$3.85, optimistic scenario HK$7.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Meitu Inc stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$5.65, about +48% upside versus a price of HK$3.82 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$3.85, optimistic scenario HK$7.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Meitu Inc (1357)?

Meitu Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).

Does Meitu Inc pay a dividend?

Meitu Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.48% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).

What growth is priced into Meitu Inc (1357)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Meitu Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -0.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +26.4 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1357 use?

Our models discount Meitu Inc at 11.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.39, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Meitu Inc that is -0.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has Meitu Inc (1357) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at Meitu Inc grew +26.4 % a year. The price currently implies -0.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of Meitu Inc (1357) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Meitu Inc (-0.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of Meitu Inc (1357)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.10 %: that much free cash flow Meitu Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of Meitu Inc (1357)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Meitu Inc it is HK$5.65 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$3.82. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Meitu Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 27, 2026, 1357 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$3.82, fair value HK$5.65, a gap of about +48% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 1357?

No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$3.82); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$5.65). For Meitu Inc the two are HK$1.84 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Meitu Inc worth?

The market values Meitu Inc at about HK$17.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$3.82; our models calculate a fair value of HK$5.65 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1357?

Our models span a range for Meitu Inc: cautious scenario HK$3.85, base HK$5.65, optimistic HK$7.34 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$3.82). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of 1357?

Meitu Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.4 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$5.65 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.6, P/S 3.9, EV/EBITDA 31.7.

How solid is the balance sheet of Meitu Inc (1357)?

Balance-sheet figures for Meitu Inc (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 13.1%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 1357 from its 52-week high?

Meitu Inc trades at HK$3.82, about 59% below its 52-week high of HK$9.23 and 6% above the low of HK$3.61 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$5.65 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Meitu Inc?

From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Alphabet Inc, Meta Platforms, Inc, Tencent Holdings, Spotify Technology S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Meitu Inc stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$3.82, calculated fair value HK$5.65 (+48%), Quality Score 66/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 1357 calculated?

We run Meitu Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$5.65, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Meitu Inc currently trades 32 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Meitu Inc (1357)?

The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$3.82. Our model-based fair value is HK$5.65, about +48% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Meitu Inc right now?

The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (HK$3.85 to HK$7.34) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Meitu Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Meitu Inc (1357)?

The market capitalisation of Meitu Inc is HK$17.5B (≈ $2.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Meitu Inc (1357)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Meitu Inc is 4.28 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Meitu Inc (1357)?

Earnings per share at Meitu Inc are HK$0.0800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Meitu Inc (1357)?

The dividend yield of Meitu Inc is 5.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Meitu Inc (1357)?

The net margin of Meitu Inc is 15.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Meitu Inc (1357)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Meitu Inc is 13.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Meitu Inc (1357)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Meitu Inc is 2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Meitu Inc (1357)?

The operating margin of Meitu Inc is 8.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Meitu Inc (1357)?

Revenue at Meitu Inc is growing +12.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +22.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Meitu Inc (1357)?

Earnings per share at Meitu Inc are growing +29.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net cash does Meitu Inc (1357) hold?

Meitu Inc holds more cash than debt, 2.1B CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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