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NIBEC Co (138610) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · KR · Market cap 158B KRW

NC NIBEC Co 138610 · KQ
Price17,100 KRW
Fair Value11,964 KRW
Upside-30.0%
Quality62/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 22.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/9)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: High Range 6,353 KRW – 15,068 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from 13,454 KRW to 11,964 KRW (−11.1%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price +6.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 30% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (15,068 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (6,353 KRW to 15,068 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

55,200 KRW 11,970 KRW Fair Value 11,964 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 11,970 KRW – 55,200 KRW · fair‑value band 6,353 KRW – 15,068 KRW · the 17,100 KRW price screens above the 11,964 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

NIBEC Co (138610) currently trades at 17,100 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11,964 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 30.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, NIBEC Co generated revenue of 32.3B KRW at a net margin of 22.6%. Revenue declined 6.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.8%. Net debt stands at 135M KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 6,353 KRW (bear case) to 15,068 KRW (bull case); at 17,100 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -30%, 138610 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 2,618 KRW 3,368 KRW 4,597 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 5,599 KRW 9,671 KRW 17,819 KRW 74
ROIC Compounder 7,072 KRW 9,917 KRW 11,869 KRW 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 2,666 KRW 3,131 KRW 4,610 KRW 38
Owner Earnings 5,713 KRW 10,633 KRW 20,961 KRW 31
5Y Revenue Exit 5,334 KRW 8,701 KRW 15,817 KRW 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 7,972 KRW 14,036 KRW 25,979 KRW 41
5Y P/E Exit 7,167 KRW 15,237 KRW 26,494 KRW 38
10Y Revenue Exit 4,445 KRW 9,452 KRW 13,235 KRW 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 6,553 KRW 15,133 KRW 30,998 KRW 37
10Y P/E Exit 5,965 KRW 13,399 KRW 26,222 KRW 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 2,777 KRW 19,365 KRW 27,175 KRW 54
Lynch FV 8,701 KRW 12,430 KRW 16,159 KRW 50
PEG = 1.0 8,701 KRW 12,430 KRW 16,159 KRW 46
EPV 5,646 KRW 6,278 KRW 6,830 KRW 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 6,738 KRW 8,984 KRW 11,230 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 5,206 KRW 6,942 KRW 8,677 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 5,206 KRW 6,942 KRW 8,677 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 7,493 KRW 9,372 KRW 11,251 KRW 53
EV/EBITDA 9,661 KRW 12,262 KRW 14,863 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 5,880 KRW 7,604 KRW 9,328 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2,015 KRW 2,701 KRW 4,031 KRW 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 2,618 KRW 3,368 KRW 4,597 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 5,599 KRW 9,671 KRW 17,819 KRW 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 3,555 KRW 3,965 KRW 6,748 KRW 61
ROIC Compounder 7,072 KRW 9,917 KRW 11,869 KRW 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 11,878 KRW 16,968 KRW 22,059 KRW 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (16,968 KRW) versus Asset-Based (2,701 KRW). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 32.3B KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.7%
Net margin 22.6%
Return on equity 18.8%
Free cash flow 547M KRW FY2025
Operating margin 2.6%
More key figures
Net debt 135M KRW FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 3
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NIBEC Co., Ltd., a healthcare company, engages in the manufacture and sale of dental bone grafts and tissue regenerative collagen products in South Korea and internationally. It offers dental ointment, peptide containing dental bone graft materials, regenerative biomaterials, tooth whitening, tooth desensitizer, herbal toothpaste, and cosmetic products.

Full company description

NIBEC Co., Ltd., a healthcare company, engages in the manufacture and sale of dental bone grafts and tissue regenerative collagen products in South Korea and internationally. It offers dental ointment, peptide containing dental bone graft materials, regenerative biomaterials, tooth whitening, tooth desensitizer, herbal toothpaste, and cosmetic products. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Jincheon-eup, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NIBEC Co reported revenue of 32.7B KRW in FY2025 versus 13.6B KRW in FY2021, a compound +24.5%/yr. Reported net income was 4.6B KRW in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
32.7B KRW
Latest YoY
+33.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+38.8%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.1%
Revenue +24.5%/yr
FY21 13.6B KRW
FY22 21.7B KRW
FY23 15.7B KRW
FY24 24.6B KRW
FY25 32.7B KRW
Net income
FY21 −5.7B KRW
FY22 −3.8B KRW
FY23 −6.3B KRW
FY24 −9.3B KRW
FY25 4.6B KRW

138610 screens 30% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NIBEC Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/138610

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 601 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −30% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Revenue growth -7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 75 · sector 0
HEALTH 99 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NIBEC Co (138610) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 11,964 KRW versus a price of 17,100 KRW, about −30% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 138610?
Our model-based fair value for NIBEC Co is 11,964 KRW (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 17,100 KRW.
What is the quality score of 138610?
NIBEC Co has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NIBEC Co (138610)?
NIBEC Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 32.3B KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 138610?
The net profit margin of NIBEC Co is about 22.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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