1407 (1407) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · Market cap HK$251M

1 1407 1407 · HK

PriceHK$0.5600

Fair ValueHK$1.11

Upside+98.2%

Quality54/100

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Evidence: High Range HK$0.9000 – HK$1.37

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated today

Share price +9.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$0.3827 – HK$0.7000 · fair‑value band HK$0.9000 – HK$1.37 · the HK$0.5600 price screens below the HK$1.11 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1407 (1407) currently trades at HK$0.5600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.11 — implying the stock looks roughly 98.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 1407 generated revenue of HK$335M at a net margin of 8.5%. Revenue declined 12.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$151M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$335M

Revenue growth (YoY) -12.7%

Net margin 8.5%

Return on equity 9.0%

Free cash flow HK$4.4M FY2025

P/E ratio 8.1

More key figures

Operating margin 16.9%

EPS (TTM) HK$0.0300

Dividend yield 1.8%

EPS growth (YoY) +3.5%

Net cash HK$151M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1407 reported revenue of HK$326M in FY2025 versus HK$441M in FY2021, a compound −7.3%/yr. Reported net income was HK$27.7M in FY2025, compounding −20.0%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −7.3%/yr

FY21 HK$441M

FY22 HK$476M

FY23 HK$403M

FY24 HK$370M

FY25 HK$326M

Net income −20.0%/yr

FY21 HK$67.5M

FY22 HK$50.8M

FY23 HK$24.5M

FY24 HK$30.0M

FY25 HK$27.7M

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Similar stocks

6 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Naturgy Energy Group GASNY	$6.51	$6.59	+1%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO	$167.96	$87.63	-48%
Snam S.p.A SRG	€6.25	€4.39	-30%
Uniper SE UN0	€49.10	€14.80	-70%
NiSource Inc NI	$46.63	$34.64	-26%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company HOKCY	$0.8100	$0.6500	-20%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1407 (1407) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.11 versus a price of HK$0.5600 — about +98% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 1407?

Our model-based fair value for 1407 is HK$1.11 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.5600.

What is the quality score of 1407?

1407 has a Quality Score of 54/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 1407 (1407)?

1407 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$335M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 1407?

The net profit margin of 1407 is about 8.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does 1407 pay a dividend?

1407 currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.79% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.