1412 (1412) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · Market cap HK$559M

1 1412 1412 · HK

PriceHK$1.05

Fair ValueHK$1.45

Upside+38.1%

Quality52/100

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Evidence: Medium Range HK$1.29 – HK$1.88

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +6.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$0.9890 – HK$1.65 · fair‑value band HK$1.29 – HK$1.88 · the HK$1.05 price screens below the HK$1.45 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1412 (1412) currently trades at HK$1.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.45 — implying the stock looks roughly 38.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 1412 generated revenue of HK$1.1B at a net margin of 5.3%. Revenue declined 11.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$46.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.1B

Revenue growth (YoY) -11.8%

Net margin 5.3%

Return on equity 6.5%

Free cash flow −HK$66.7M FY2025

P/E ratio 9.5

More key figures

Operating margin 5.2%

EPS (TTM) HK$0.0700

Dividend yield 6.7%

EPS growth (YoY) -72.4%

Net cash HK$46.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1412 reported revenue of HK$1.1B in FY2025 versus HK$1.4B in FY2021, a compound −5.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$59.4M in FY2025, compounding −16.0%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −5.1%/yr

FY21 HK$1.4B

FY22 HK$1.3B

FY23 HK$1.0B

FY24 HK$1.2B

FY25 HK$1.1B

Net income −16.0%/yr

FY21 HK$119M

FY22 HK$127M

FY23 HK$80.1M

FY24 HK$129M

FY25 HK$59.4M

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Similar stocks

6 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Klabin S.A KLBN11	R$16.86	R$2.95	-83%
UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPMKF	$29.33	$17.60	-40%
Suzano S.A SUZ	$8.04	$24.29	+202%
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB	kr 101.90	kr 49.40	-52%
Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078	¥12.75	¥17.29	+36%
Holmen AB HLMMF	$35.72	$43.51	+22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1412 (1412) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.45 versus a price of HK$1.05 — about +38% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 1412?

Our model-based fair value for 1412 is HK$1.45 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$1.05.

What is the quality score of 1412?

1412 has a Quality Score of 52/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 1412 (1412)?

1412 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 1412?

The net profit margin of 1412 is about 5.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does 1412 pay a dividend?

1412 currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.67% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.