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Shinkong Textile Co (1419) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 20.0B TWD

ST Shinkong Textile Co 1419 · TW
Price64.00 TWD
Fair Value52.62 TWD
Upside-17.8%
Quality59/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 76.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.72% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: High Range 34.97 TWD – 59.19 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price −3.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 18% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (59.19 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

81.70 TWD 35.07 TWD Fair Value 52.62 TWD Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 35.07 TWD – 81.70 TWD · fair‑value band 34.97 TWD – 59.19 TWD · the 64.00 TWD price screens above the 52.62 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Shinkong Textile Co (1419) currently trades at 64.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 52.62 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 17.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shinkong Textile Co generated revenue of 5.1B TWD at a net margin of 76.9%. Revenue grew 36.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.0%. Net debt stands at 3.9B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 34.97 TWD (bear case) to 59.19 TWD (bull case); at 64.00 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -18%, 1419 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 46.78 TWD 83.30 TWD 145.70 TWD 80
Residual Income 47.55 TWD 50.09 TWD 53.69 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 23.42 TWD 36.25 TWD 53.06 TWD 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 47.23 TWD 87.32 TWD 157.86 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 53.64 TWD 99.08 TWD 179.04 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 23.42 TWD 36.01 TWD 52.16 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 26.11 TWD 41.61 TWD 60.37 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 57.28 TWD 106.41 TWD 163.19 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 30.54 TWD 45.27 TWD 66.28 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 32.79 TWD 49.39 TWD 73.20 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 53.53 TWD 97.10 TWD 159.98 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 27.95 TWD 133.43 TWD 183.62 TWD 54
Lynch FV 35.53 TWD 50.76 TWD 65.99 TWD 50
PEG = 1.0 35.53 TWD 50.76 TWD 65.99 TWD 46
EPV 10.17 TWD 12.00 TWD 13.60 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 13.77 TWD 28.64 TWD 45.43 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 13.77 TWD 24.15 TWD 30.05 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 67.82 TWD 90.43 TWD 113.04 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 14.24 TWD 18.98 TWD 23.73 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 52.41 TWD 69.88 TWD 87.35 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 18.81 TWD 25.34 TWD 31.88 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 17.63 TWD 23.77 TWD 29.91 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 12.42 TWD 18.08 TWD 23.75 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 29.28 TWD 39.23 TWD 58.55 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 46.78 TWD 83.30 TWD 145.70 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 23.42 TWD 36.25 TWD 53.06 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 47.55 TWD 50.09 TWD 53.69 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 10.17 TWD 12.00 TWD 13.60 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 57.16 TWD 81.66 TWD 106.15 TWD 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (81.66 TWD) versus Economic Profit (12.00 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.1B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +36.6%
Net margin 76.9%
Return on equity 22.0%
Free cash flow 1.1B TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 16.3
More key figures
Operating margin 10.5%
EPS (TTM) 4.10 TWD
Dividend yield 2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +2,735%
Net debt 3.9B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 77
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 49
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shinkong Textile Co., Ltd. engages in the production and sale of various synthetic fibers, grey fabrics, and finished fabrics in Taiwan and internationally. The company operates through Business Department, Retail Department, and Real Estate Division segments. It offers athleisure, business active, urban lifestyle, sports, outdoor, medical, and work wears.

Full company description

Shinkong Textile Co., Ltd. engages in the production and sale of various synthetic fibers, grey fabrics, and finished fabrics in Taiwan and internationally. The company operates through Business Department, Retail Department, and Real Estate Division segments. It offers athleisure, business active, urban lifestyle, sports, outdoor, medical, and work wears. It is also involved in the residential and building development, rental, and sales; industrial plant development; rental and sales; industrial zones development and investment in public construction; general investment; textile finishing, textile printing, and textiles; departmental stores; clothing, leather goods, bags, daily necessities, and handicrafts; gifts and packaging materials; wholesale of automobiles; retail of auto/motorcycle parts and accessories; car repair, rental, and other services; locomotive and parts manufacturing; and projects for the development of business and specialized professional zones, as well as land development and real estate leasing/sales. Shinkong Textile Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1955 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shinkong Textile Co reported revenue of 4.7B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.7B TWD in FY2021, a compound +14.6%/yr. Reported net income was 1.2B TWD in FY2025, compounding +28.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.7B TWD
Latest YoY
+12.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+12.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+17.1%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y)
+10.2%
Revenue +14.6%/yr
FY21 2.7B TWD
FY22 3.3B TWD
FY23 3.4B TWD
FY24 4.2B TWD
FY25 4.7B TWD
Net income +28.5%/yr
FY21 451M TWD
FY22 2.1B TWD
FY23 649M TWD
FY24 869M TWD
FY25 1.2B TWD

1419 screens 18% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shinkong Textile Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1419

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 309 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −18% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 77% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 37% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.14× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.91× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 34.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 10 · sector 11
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 88 · sector 14
HEALTH 95 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 54 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$44.40 HK$75.65 +70%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥23.56 ¥14.53 -38%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.04 ¥14.35 +19%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥91.75 ¥12.85 -86%
Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 27.55 TWD 28.72 TWD +4%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,083 ₹467.49 -57%
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥5.18 ¥2.21 -57%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹602.20 ₹437.53 -27%
Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO 174.20 TRY 323.84 TRY +86%
Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 ¥16.75 ¥6.42 -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shinkong Textile Co (1419) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 52.62 TWD versus a price of 64.00 TWD, about −18% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1419?
Our model-based fair value for Shinkong Textile Co is 52.62 TWD (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 64.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1419?
Shinkong Textile Co has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shinkong Textile Co (1419)?
Shinkong Textile Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.1B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1419?
The net profit margin of Shinkong Textile Co is about 76.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 76.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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