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Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$262M

CH Chuan Holdings Ltd 1420 · HK
PriceHK$0.2100
Fair ValueHK$0.2400
Upside+14.3%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/13)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.1300 – HK$0.3700 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +10.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 14% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.1300 to HK$0.3700). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Our model range runs from HK$0.1300 (bear) to HK$0.3700 (bull), base HK$0.2400. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 60/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.3100 HK$0.0510 Fair Value HK$0.2400 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0510 – HK$0.3100 · fair‑value band HK$0.1300 – HK$0.3700 · the HK$0.2100 price screens below the HK$0.2400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420) currently trades at HK$0.2100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2400, implying the stock looks roughly 14.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Chuan Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$170M at a net margin of 11.2%. Revenue grew 43.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.8%. Net debt stands at HK$14.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1300 (bear case) to HK$0.3700 (bull case); at HK$0.2100, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 14%, 1420 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.0900 HK$0.1400 HK$0.2000 80
Residual Income HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1800 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.1200 HK$0.2300 HK$0.3600 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.0900 HK$0.1500 HK$0.2300 38
Owner Earnings HK$0.1500 HK$0.2400 HK$0.3800 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1200 HK$0.2300 HK$0.3700 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.1700 HK$0.3300 HK$0.5300 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.1500 HK$0.2900 HK$0.4400 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1000 HK$0.1900 HK$0.3200 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.1400 HK$0.2500 HK$0.4300 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.1200 HK$0.2200 HK$0.3700 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.0900 HK$0.4500 HK$0.6200 54
Lynch FV HK$0.1200 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2200 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.1200 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2200 46
EPV HK$0.1000 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1200 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.2200 HK$0.2900 HK$0.3700 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.1800 HK$0.2400 HK$0.3000 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.1800 HK$0.2400 HK$0.3000 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.2300 HK$0.3100 HK$0.3900 53
EV/EBITDA HK$0.2500 HK$0.3400 HK$0.4300 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.1500 HK$0.2200 HK$0.2900 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0500 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0900 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.0900 HK$0.1400 HK$0.2000 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.1200 HK$0.2300 HK$0.3600 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1800 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1600 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.1900 HK$0.2700 HK$0.3500 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$0.2700) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$170M
Revenue growth (YoY) +43.5%
Net margin 11.2%
Return on equity 16.8%
Free cash flow HK$13.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 2.2 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 14.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +121%
Net debt HK$14.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 86
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 43
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 51
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chuan Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides general building and construction services in Singapore. It operates through Earthworks and Ancillary Services; General Construction Works; and Property Investment segments.

Full company description

Chuan Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides general building and construction services in Singapore. It operates through Earthworks and Ancillary Services; General Construction Works; and Property Investment segments. The company offers land clearing, demolition, rock breaking, mass excavation, deep basement excavation, foundation excavation, earth disposal, and earth filling and shore protection; and civil engineering works, such as road diversions, road reinstatements, overhead bridge, sewerage, drainage, pipe laying, and cable trench works. It also provides alteration and addition works comprising structural works, additions of lifts and reinforcement works, and construction of new buildings; and property leasing and management operations. In addition, the company acts as a general contractor and builder; and engages in the rental of construction and civil engineering machinery and equipment. Chuan Holdings Limited was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chuan Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$168M in FY2025 versus HK$85.4M in FY2021, a compound +18.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$18.7M in FY2025, compounding +87.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$168M
Latest YoY
+16.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.3%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.7%
Revenue +18.4%/yr
FY21 HK$85.4M
FY22 HK$88.6M
FY23 HK$121M
FY24 HK$144M
FY25 HK$168M
Net income +87.9%/yr
FY21 HK$1.5M
FY22 HK$1.7M
FY23 HK$3.2M
FY24 HK$8.1M
FY25 HK$18.7M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −4.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.1 pp

of which total revenue +4.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.0 pp

EBIT margin −3.3 pp
Tax rate −0.8 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.9 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chuan Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1420

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +14% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 44% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.26× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 2.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.27× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.20× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 1.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 52 · sector 14
FUTURE 100 · sector 15
PAST 67 · sector 26
HEALTH 87 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 43

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,020 ₹1,994 -50%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 357,500 KRW 261,411 KRW -27%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 113,700 KRW 61,453 KRW -46%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 49,300 KRW 43,624 KRW -12%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹230.00 ₹48.92 -79%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 18,400 KRW 6,507 KRW -65%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 99,800 KRW 19,346 KRW -81%
GS Engineering & Construction Corporation 006360 35,200 KRW 23,135 KRW -34%
DL E&C Co 375500 73,500 KRW 148,433 KRW +102%
KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering Co 051600 46,350 KRW 43,924 KRW -5%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2400 versus a price of HK$0.2100, about +14% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1420?
Our model-based fair value for Chuan Holdings Ltd is HK$0.2400 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.2100.
What is the quality score of 1420?
Chuan Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420)?
Chuan Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$170M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1420?
The net profit margin of Chuan Holdings Ltd is about 11.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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