Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Chuan Holdings Ltd HK$0.27, price HK$0.26, upside +3.9%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Chuan Holdings Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0510 – HK$0.3100 · fair‑value band HK$0.1700 – HK$0.3700 · the HK$0.2600 price screens below the HK$0.2700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
Follow Chuan Holdings in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Chuan Holdings is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Chuan Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides general building and construction services in Singapore. It operates through Earthworks and Ancillary Services; General Construction Works; and Property Investment segments.
Show more
Chuan Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides general building and construction services in Singapore. It operates through Earthworks and Ancillary Services; General Construction Works; and Property Investment segments. The company offers land clearing, demolition, rock breaking, mass excavation, deep basement excavation, foundation excavation, earth disposal, and earth filling and shore protection; and civil engineering works, such as road diversions, road reinstatements, overhead bridge, sewerage, drainage, pipe laying, and cable trench works. It also provides alteration and addition works comprising structural works, additions of lifts and reinforcement works, and construction of new buildings; and property leasing and management operations. In addition, the company acts as a general contractor and builder; and engages in the rental of construction and civil engineering machinery and equipment. Chuan Holdings Limited was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Stock analysis
Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420) currently trades at HK$0.2600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2700, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 3.7%).
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.2900 per share, and 11 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$0.2600 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0600, and 13 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.1700 (bear) to HK$0.3700 (bull), the price of HK$0.2600 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Chuan Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$168M in FY2025 versus HK$85.4M in FY2021, a compound +18.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$18.7M in FY2025, compounding +87.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$349M (≈ $44.5M) · P/E ratio 2.2 · P/S ratio 0.24 · Net margin 11.2% · Return on equity 16.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.5% · Operating margin 14.7% · Revenue (TTM) HK$170M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 4%, 1420 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.1700Fair Value HK$0.2700Bull HK$0.3700
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.4% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+94.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+94.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.64.7% vs 1.9%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−14% → 15%
2025 sits 388% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.9% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 798 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+3.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)16.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets7.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)11.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)14.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth43.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.26× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2700 versus a price of HK$0.2600, about +4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 1420?
Our model-based fair value for Chuan Holdings Ltd is HK$0.2700 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2600.
What is the quality score of 1420?
Chuan Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2700 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1700, optimistic scenario HK$0.3700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chuan Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2700, about +4% upside versus a price of HK$0.2600 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1700, optimistic scenario HK$0.3700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420)?
Chuan Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$170M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Chuan Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +13.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.3 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1420 use?
Our models discount Chuan Holdings Ltd at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.31, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Chuan Holdings Ltd that is +13.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Chuan Holdings Ltd grew +18.3 % a year. The price currently implies +13.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Chuan Holdings Ltd (+13.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.78 %: that much free cash flow Chuan Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chuan Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.2700 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2600. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chuan Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1420 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2600, fair value HK$0.2700, a gap of about +4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1420?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2600); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2700). For Chuan Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chuan Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Chuan Holdings Ltd at about HK$349M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2600; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1420?
Our models span a range for Chuan Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1700, base HK$0.2700, optimistic HK$0.3700 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.2600). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1420?
Chuan Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 2.2 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.2700 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 1.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chuan Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 16.8%, debt of 0.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1420 from its 52-week high?
Chuan Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.2600, about 16% below its 52-week high of HK$0.3100 and 58% above the low of HK$0.1650 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chuan Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chuan Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.2600, calculated fair value HK$0.2700 (+4%), Quality Score 60/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1420 calculated?
We run Chuan Holdings Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.2700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Chuan Holdings Ltd currently trades 4 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.2600. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2700, about +4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chuan Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1700 to HK$0.3700) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420) come from?
Earnings per share at Chuan Holdings Ltd grew −4.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.1 %, EBIT margin −3.3 %, tax rate −0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Chuan Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420)?
The market capitalisation of Chuan Holdings Ltd is HK$349M (≈ $44.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chuan Holdings Ltd is 0.24 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420)?
The net margin of Chuan Holdings Ltd is 11.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chuan Holdings Ltd is 16.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chuan Holdings Ltd is 3.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420)?
The operating margin of Chuan Holdings Ltd is 14.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420)?
Revenue at Chuan Holdings Ltd is growing +43.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420)?
Earnings per share at Chuan Holdings Ltd are growing +121% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Chuan Holdings Ltd (1420) carry?
The net debt of Chuan Holdings Ltd is HK$14.0M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Chuan Holdings Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Chuan Holdings Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
