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Cirtek Holdings Ltd (1433) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$161M

CH Cirtek Holdings Ltd 1433 · HK
PriceHK$0.0810
Fair ValueHK$0.0567
Upside-30.0%
Quality84/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/13)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.0400 – HK$0.0714 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

A strong business, but screening 30% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 84/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0714). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.1210 HK$0.0246 Fair Value HK$0.0567 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0246 – HK$0.1210 · fair‑value band HK$0.0400 – HK$0.0714 · the HK$0.0810 price screens above the HK$0.0567 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Cirtek Holdings Ltd (1433) currently trades at HK$0.0810, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0567, implying the stock looks roughly 30.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 84/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Cirtek Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$545M at a net margin of 10.1%. Revenue declined 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.9%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 2.7 (as of Jul 2, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0400 (bear case) to HK$0.0714 (bull case); at HK$0.0810, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 27% fair-value upside, at -30%, 1433 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.3200 HK$0.4700 HK$0.6900 80
Residual Income HK$0.1600 HK$0.2200 HK$0.8100 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.2900 HK$0.4600 HK$0.6800 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.3200 HK$0.5100 HK$0.7900 38
Owner Earnings HK$0.3900 HK$0.6200 HK$0.9700 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2900 HK$0.4600 HK$0.7000 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.4100 HK$0.7200 HK$1.12 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.4300 HK$0.7700 HK$1.16 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2900 HK$0.4500 HK$0.6900 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.3700 HK$0.6100 HK$1.00 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.3800 HK$0.6400 HK$1.02 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.2100 HK$1.07 HK$1.48 54
Lynch FV HK$0.2900 HK$0.4100 HK$0.5400 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.2900 HK$0.4100 HK$0.5400 46
EPV HK$0.2500 HK$0.2700 HK$0.2900 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.5100 HK$0.6800 HK$0.8600 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.2500 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4200 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.3700 HK$0.4900 HK$0.6200 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.5200 HK$0.6800 HK$0.8500 53
EV/EBITDA HK$0.5100 HK$0.6700 HK$0.8300 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.2700 HK$0.3700 HK$0.4700 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1200 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.3200 HK$0.4700 HK$0.6900 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.2900 HK$0.4600 HK$0.6800 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.1600 HK$0.2200 HK$0.8100 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.2700 HK$0.3200 HK$0.3800 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.4500 HK$0.6400 HK$0.8400 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$0.6400) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$545M
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.4%
Net margin 10.1%
Return on equity 23.9%
Free cash flow HK$59.6M FY2024
P/E ratio 2.7 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 10.9%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) -21.8%
Net cash HK$847K FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 84/100

Of which business quality 81 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 82
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cirtek Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells printing products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Bangladesh, India, Vietnam, and internationally. The company offers apparel labels and trim products, such as hang tags, woven and printed labels, and heat transfer products.

Full company description

Cirtek Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells printing products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Bangladesh, India, Vietnam, and internationally. The company offers apparel labels and trim products, such as hang tags, woven and printed labels, and heat transfer products. It also provides customer services; and engages in product sourcing activities. The company was founded in 1991 and is based in Lai Chi Kok, Hong Kong. Cirtek Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Charming International Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Cirtek Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$551M in FY2024 versus HK$259M in FY2020, a compound +20.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$61.9M in FY2024, compounding +147.6%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
HK$551M
Latest YoY
+48.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.3%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.9%
Revenue +20.7%/yr
FY20 HK$259M
FY21 HK$363M
FY22 HK$409M
FY23 HK$372M
FY24 HK$551M
Net income +147.6%/yr
FY20 HK$1.6M
FY21 HK$15.0M
FY22 HK$12.6M
FY23 −HK$25.7M
FY24 HK$61.9M

1433 screens 30% overvalued. Compare with H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB →

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Cirtek Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.0567 −30%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cirtek Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1433

Peer Group

Apparel Manufacturing · 214 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 84 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −26% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth -2% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 2.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.66× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.30× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 30
FUTURE 0 · sector 5
PAST 96 · sector 21
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB HMB kr 174.25 kr 165.47 -5%
LPP SA LPP 22,220 PLN 17,754 PLN -20%
Bosideng International Holdings 3998 HK$4.65 HK$5.92 +27%
Youngor Fashion Co 600177 ¥7.78 ¥5.59 -28%
Page Industries Limited PAGEIND ₹38,295 ₹12,395 -68%
Hla Group 600398 ¥6.07 ¥9.92 +63%
Youngone Corporation 111770 85,200 KRW 188,736 KRW +122%
F&F Co 383220 68,800 KRW 179,500 KRW +161%
Youngone Holdings 009970 188,300 KRW 697,038 KRW +270%
Wiselink Co 8932 105.00 TWD 37.95 TWD -64%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cirtek Holdings Ltd (1433) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0567 versus a price of HK$0.0810, about −30% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1433?
Our model-based fair value for Cirtek Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0567 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0810.
What is the quality score of 1433?
Cirtek Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 84/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cirtek Holdings Ltd (1433)?
Cirtek Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$545M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1433?
The net profit margin of Cirtek Holdings Ltd is about 10.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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