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China Animation Characters Co (1566) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · HK · Market cap HK$6.0M (≈ $769K) · ISIN KYG211751071

CA China Animation Characters Co 1566 · HK
PriceHK$3.05
Fair ValueHK$2.85
Upside-6.4%
Quality54/100
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Strengths

Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -28.7% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
!Narrow moat 10/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.3 %/yr)
Loss-making · -28.7% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$2.11 – HK$3.59 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 27, 2026, revised from HK$0.0463 to HK$2.85 (+6,064.4%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +498.0% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from HK$2.11 (bear) to HK$3.59 (bull), base HK$2.85. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 54/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$33.90 HK$0.2100 Fair Value HK$2.85 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2100 – HK$33.90 · fair‑value band HK$2.11 – HK$3.59 · the HK$3.05 price screens above the HK$2.85 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

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Analysis

China Animation Characters Co (1566) currently trades at HK$3.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.85, implying the stock looks roughly 6.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, China Animation Characters Co generated revenue of HK$339M at a net margin of -28.7%. Revenue declined 14.4% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$1.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$2.11 (bear case) to HK$3.59 (bull case); at HK$3.05, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside, at -6%, 1566 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$2.30 HK$2.88 HK$3.74 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.55 HK$2.10 HK$2.80 74
ROIC Compounder HK$1.23 HK$1.39 HK$1.52 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$2.24 HK$2.85 HK$3.85 38
Owner Earnings HK$0.7091 HK$0.9307 HK$1.29 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.55 HK$2.03 HK$2.72 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$2.85 HK$4.29 HK$6.18 41
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.84 HK$2.19 HK$2.54 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$2.54 HK$3.39 HK$4.27 37
Earnings-Based
EPV HK$1.23 HK$1.39 HK$1.52 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT HK$2.73 HK$3.69 HK$4.64 53
EV/EBITDA HK$4.00 HK$5.38 HK$6.77 54
EV/Revenue HK$1.01 HK$1.51 HK$2.01 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$2.30 HK$2.88 HK$3.74 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.55 HK$2.10 HK$2.80 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder HK$1.23 HK$1.39 HK$1.52 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$3.69) versus Earnings-Based (HK$1.39). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Net margin -9.0% FY2025
Return on equity -208% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) -24.7% avg 5y
Operating margin -8.4% TTM
Revenue (TTM) HK$339M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -14.4% 3y avg -6.8%
More key figures
Growth
EPS growth (YoY) -27.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$87.8M FY2024
Net debt HK$1.0B FY2024 · ≈ 11.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 94
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 78
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 58
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

CA Cultural Technology Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the establishment and operation of indoor theme parks in the People's Republic of China, Japan, and Hong Kong.

Full company description

CA Cultural Technology Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the establishment and operation of indoor theme parks in the People's Republic of China, Japan, and Hong Kong. The company is also involved in the manufacture and sale of animation derivative products and indoor theme park machineries, and multimedia animation entertainment business. In addition, it provides theme park design and consultancy services; promotes and develops indoor theme park; operates indoor children playground; and engages in multimedia animation entertainment business, as well as inspects animation derivatives products. The company was formerly known as China Animation Characters Company Limited and changed its name to CA Cultural Technology Group Limited in January 2020. CA Cultural Technology Group Limited was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Animation Characters Co reported revenue of HK$367M in FY2025 versus HK$478M in FY2021, a compound −6.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$33.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 31/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$367M
Latest YoY
+0.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.8%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −6.4%/yr
FY21 HK$478M
FY22 HK$453M
FY23 HK$360M
FY24 HK$364M
FY25 HK$367M
Net income
FY21 HK$83.1M
FY22 −HK$1.1B
FY23 −HK$1.0B
FY24 −HK$171M
FY25 −HK$33.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Animation Characters Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1566

Peer Group

Entertainment · 270 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −7% · Above median
Return on assets -1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -29% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -8% · Below median
Revenue growth -14% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE25 · sector 11
FUTURE0 · sector 8
PAST0 · sector 0
HEALTH100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 43

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX $81.46 $49.35 -39%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $103.50 $80.62 -22%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $27.65 $9.03 -67%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $182.02 $59.97 -67%
Universal Music Group UMG €14.73 €14.78 +0%
TKO Group TKO $195.14 $47.75 -76%
Formula One Group FWONK $102.02 $35.21 -65%
Fox Corporation FOXA $69.60 $206.81 +197%
News Corporation NWS A$46.55 A$20.41 -56%
Warner Music Group WMG $24.79 $12.10 -51%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Animation Characters Co (1566) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.85 versus a price of HK$3.05, about −6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 1566?
Our model-based fair value for China Animation Characters Co is HK$2.85 (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$3.05.
What is the quality score of 1566?
China Animation Characters Co has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China Animation Characters Co (1566)?
China Animation Characters Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$339M (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1566?
The net profit margin of China Animation Characters Co is about -28.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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