Sinmag Equipment (1580) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Sinmag Equipment TWD 189, price TWD 97.00, upside +95.2%, quality 76 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 78.54 TWD – 162.00 TWD · fair‑value band 136.23 TWD – 247.11 TWD · the 97.00 TWD price screens below the 189.32 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Sinmag Equipment Corporation engages in the manufacturing, research and development, sale, and after services in the bakery and kitchen equipment field in Taiwan, China, and the United States.
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Sinmag Equipment Corporation engages in the manufacturing, research and development, sale, and after services in the bakery and kitchen equipment field in Taiwan, China, and the United States. The company offers bakery equipment, such as working table, deck oven and proofer, refrigerator, in-store equipment, planetary and spiral mixer, slicer, divider rounder, molder, sheeter, as well as convection, rack, deck, and tunnel oven; and toast, burger, pizza, and croissant line. It also provides food service equipment, including pizza and meat processing equipment, and rotisserie equipment. The company was incorporated in 1983 and is based in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Sinmag Equipment (1580) currently trades at 97.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 189.32 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 48.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 214.48 TWD per share, and 20 of the 25 models we run sit above the 97.00 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 43.63 TWD, and 5 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 136.23 TWD (bear) to 247.11 TWD (bull), the price of 97.00 TWD sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Sinmag Equipment reported revenue of 4.9B TWD in FY2025 versus 4.3B TWD in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was 622M TWD in FY2025, compounding +5.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 5.6B TWD (≈ $177M) · P/E ratio 7.8 · P/S ratio 0.99 · EPS (TTM) 12.51 TWD · Dividend yield 8.8% · Net margin 12.8% · Return on equity 21.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 20.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at 95%, 1580 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 136.23 TWDFair Value 189.32 TWDBull 247.11 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.94 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.86/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+13.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)8.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 19%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−5.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −7.1% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 827 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score76 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+95% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Return on assets12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)19% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)8.8% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sinmag Equipment Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1580
Frequently asked questions
Is Sinmag Equipment (1580) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 189.32 TWD versus a price of 97.00 TWD, about +95% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1580?
Our model-based fair value for Sinmag Equipment is 189.32 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 97.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1580?
Sinmag Equipment has a Quality Score of 76/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sinmag Equipment (1580)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 189.32 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario 136.23 TWD, optimistic scenario 247.11 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sinmag Equipment stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 189.32 TWD, about +95% upside versus a price of 97.00 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 136.23 TWD, optimistic scenario 247.11 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sinmag Equipment (1580)?
Sinmag Equipment reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.9B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Sinmag Equipment pay a dividend?
Sinmag Equipment currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.76% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sinmag Equipment (1580)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sinmag Equipment would have to grow free cash flow by -5.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1580 use?
Our models discount Sinmag Equipment at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.10, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sinmag Equipment that is -5.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sinmag Equipment (1580) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sinmag Equipment grew +8.1 % a year. The price currently implies -5.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sinmag Equipment (1580) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sinmag Equipment (-5.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sinmag Equipment (1580)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.07 %: that much free cash flow Sinmag Equipment produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sinmag Equipment (1580)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sinmag Equipment it is 189.32 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 97.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sinmag Equipment stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 1580 trades below its calculated fair value: price 97.00 TWD, fair value 189.32 TWD, a gap of about +95% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1580?
No. The price is what the market pays today (97.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (189.32 TWD). For Sinmag Equipment the two are 92.32 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sinmag Equipment worth?
The market values Sinmag Equipment at about 5.6B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 97.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 189.32 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1580?
Our models span a range for Sinmag Equipment: cautious scenario 136.23 TWD, base 189.32 TWD, optimistic 247.11 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 97.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1580?
Sinmag Equipment trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 189.32 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.8, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 4.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sinmag Equipment (1580)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sinmag Equipment (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 21.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 76/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1580 from its 52-week high?
Sinmag Equipment trades at 97.00 TWD, about 30% below its 52-week high of 139.50 TWD and 1% above the low of 96.00 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 189.32 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sinmag Equipment?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sinmag Equipment stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 97.00 TWD, calculated fair value 189.32 TWD (+95%), Quality Score 76/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1580 calculated?
We run Sinmag Equipment through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 189.32 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Sinmag Equipment currently trades 95 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sinmag Equipment (1580)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 97.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 189.32 TWD, about +95% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sinmag Equipment right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (76/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (136.23 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (136.23 TWD to 247.11 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Sinmag Equipment
How large is the market capitalisation of Sinmag Equipment (1580)?
The market capitalisation of Sinmag Equipment is 5.6B TWD (≈ $177M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sinmag Equipment (1580)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sinmag Equipment is 0.99 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sinmag Equipment (1580)?
Earnings per share at Sinmag Equipment are 12.51 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sinmag Equipment (1580)?
The dividend yield of Sinmag Equipment is 8.8% (payout 67.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sinmag Equipment (1580)?
The net margin of Sinmag Equipment is 12.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sinmag Equipment (1580)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sinmag Equipment is 21.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sinmag Equipment (1580)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sinmag Equipment is 20.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sinmag Equipment (1580)?
The operating margin of Sinmag Equipment is 19.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sinmag Equipment (1580)?
Revenue at Sinmag Equipment is growing +0.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sinmag Equipment (1580)?
Earnings per share at Sinmag Equipment are growing +1.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Sinmag Equipment (1580) hold?
Sinmag Equipment holds more cash than debt, 941M TWD net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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