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China 21st Century Education Group (1598) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$129M

C2 China 21st Century Education Group 1598 · HK
PriceHK$0.1110
Fair ValueHK$0.5800
Upside+422.5%
Quality49/100
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Evidence: Low Range HK$0.4400 – HK$0.7300

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$0.1110 HK$0.1110 Fair Value HK$0.5800 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$0.1110 – HK$0.1110 · fair‑value band HK$0.4400 – HK$0.7300 · the HK$0.1110 price screens below the HK$0.5800 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

China 21st Century Education Group (1598) currently trades at HK$0.1110, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.5800 — implying the stock looks roughly 422.5% undervalued today. We read business quality at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, China 21st Century Education Group generated revenue of HK$469M at a net margin of 8.0%. Revenue grew 25.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.7%. Net debt stands at HK$682M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.4400 (bear case) to HK$0.7300 (bull case); at HK$0.1110, the current price sits below that range. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside — at 423%, 1598 screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$469M
Revenue growth (YoY) +25.6%
Net margin 8.0%
Return on equity 4.7%
Free cash flow −HK$87.3M FY2023
P/E ratio 2.8
More key figures
Operating margin 24.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -7.8%
Net debt HK$682M FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

China 21st Century Education Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides education and college management services in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Vocational Education and Non-Vocational Education segments. The company offers kindergarten education and management; after-school tutoring; online education; university education and related management; technical and management consultancy; educational counselling; after-school childcare services; and senior high school education services, as well as real estate services. The company operates schools, including private college under the Shijiazhuang Institute of Technology name, ordinary high schools, New Gaokao business institutions, and Saintach Kindergartens. China 21st Century Education Group Limited was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2019 – FY2023 · reported fiscal years

China 21st Century Education Group reported revenue of HK$420M in FY2023 versus HK$234M in FY2019, a compound +15.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$39.9M in FY2023, compounding −16.6%/yr from FY2019.

Revenue +15.7%/yr
FY19 HK$234M
FY20 HK$254M
FY21 HK$309M
FY22 HK$312M
FY23 HK$420M
Net income −16.6%/yr
FY19 HK$82.6M
FY20 HK$77.2M
FY21 HK$29.2M
FY22 HK$27.3M
FY23 HK$39.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China 21st Century Education Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1598.HK

Similar stocks

10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN 966.48 MXN 905.77 MXN -6%
TAL Education Group T1AL34 R$4.86 R$0.9200 -81%
Graham Holdings GHC $1,147 $1,170 +2%
Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $37.19 $41.45 +11%
Covista Inc CVSA $119.28 $137.46 +15%
Stride, Inc LRN $82.32 $140.28 +70%
Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹130.16 ₹14.81 -89%
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $150.70 $152.01 +1%
Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI $39.75 $20.63 -48%
McGraw Hill, Inc MH $9.48 $10.70 +13%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China 21st Century Education Group (1598) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.5800 versus a price of HK$0.1110 — about +423% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 1598?
Our model-based fair value for China 21st Century Education Group is HK$0.5800 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1110.
What is the quality score of 1598?
China 21st Century Education Group has a Quality Score of 49/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of China 21st Century Education Group (1598)?
China 21st Century Education Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$469M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1598?
The net profit margin of China 21st Century Education Group is about 8.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.