McGraw Hill, Inc (MH) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $1.9B
McGraw Hill, Inc
MH · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $10.70 to $4.06 (−62.1%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price +17.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 65% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
12‑month range $9.10 – $17.99 · fair‑value band $3.05 – $5.08 · the $11.60 price screens above the $4.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
McGraw Hill, Inc (MH) currently trades at $11.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.06, implying the stock looks roughly 65.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, McGraw Hill, Inc generated revenue of $2.1B at a net margin of -3.4%. Revenue grew 4.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -11.8%. Net debt stands at $2.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.05 (bear case) to $5.08 (bull case); at $11.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at -65%, MH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($15.90) versus Earnings-Based ($1.45). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
McGraw Hill, Inc., doing business as McGraw Hill, provides education solutions for K-12, higher education, and professional learning in the United States and internationally. It operates through K-12, Higher Education, Global Professional, and International segments.
Full company description
McGraw Hill, Inc., doing business as McGraw Hill, provides education solutions for K-12, higher education, and professional learning in the United States and internationally. It operates through K-12, Higher Education, Global Professional, and International segments. The K-12 segment provides core, supplemental, and intervention curricula to support the needs of the K-12 schools. This segment also sells blended digital and print learning solutions directly to school districts across the United States. The Higher Education segment offers students, instructors, and institutions with adaptive digital learning solutions and content, and instructional materials. Its solutions are used by students enrolled in non-profit colleges and universities, as well as for-profit institutions. This segment sells its higher education solutions to online retailers and distribution partners, as well as directly to student through its proprietary e-commerce platform. The Global Professional segment provides students, institutions, and professionals with comprehensive medical and engineering learning solutions. This segment sells digital learning solutions and print materials accessible through a range of mediums. The International segment offers digital and print solutions in approximately 100 countries and 80 languages outside of the United States. The company was formerly known as Mav Holding Corporation and changed its name to McGraw Hill, Inc. in October 2022. The company was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Columbus, Ohio. McGraw Hill, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Pe Mav Holdings, Llc.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
McGraw Hill, Inc reported revenue of $2.1B in FY2026 versus $1.8B in FY2022, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was $35.3M in FY2026.
MH screens 65% overvalued. Compare with New Oriental Education & Technology Group →
Peer Group
Education & Training Services · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN | 966.48 MXN | 897.37 MXN | -7% |
| TAL Education Group TAL | $10.24 | $15.60 | +52% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $36.45 | $41.45 | +14% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹131.59 | ₹14.81 | -89% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $149.00 | $152.01 | +2% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $116.22 | $135.45 | +17% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $83.39 | $139.45 | +67% |
| Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI | $40.33 | $21.35 | -47% |
| Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO | $31.66 | $41.45 | +31% |
| Strategic Education, Inc STRA | $84.18 | $105.48 | +25% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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