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1610 (1610) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · Market cap HK$4.7B

1 1610 1610 · HK
PriceHK$0.9700
Fair ValueHK$0.3100
Upside-68.0%
Quality32/100
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Evidence: Low Range HK$0.1500 – HK$0.4600

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated today

Share price −11.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$1.85 HK$0.8954 Fair Value HK$0.3100 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$0.8954 – HK$1.85 · fair‑value band HK$0.1500 – HK$0.4600 · the HK$0.9700 price screens above the HK$0.3100 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1610 (1610) currently trades at HK$0.9700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3100 — implying the stock looks roughly 68.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, 1610 generated revenue of HK$18.6B at a net margin of -4.0%. Revenue grew 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.1%. Net debt stands at HK$9.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$18.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.7%
Net margin -4.0%
Return on equity -8.1%
Free cash flow −HK$1.9B FY2025
Operating margin -5.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0700
EPS growth (YoY) +0.2%
Net debt HK$9.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1610 reported revenue of HK$18.6B in FY2025 versus HK$13.2B in FY2021, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$746M in FY2025.

Revenue +8.9%/yr
FY21 HK$13.2B
FY22 HK$12.9B
FY23 HK$11.6B
FY24 HK$16.3B
FY25 HK$18.6B
Net income
FY21 −HK$460M
FY22 HK$357M
FY23 −HK$136M
FY24 HK$538M
FY25 −HK$746M

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Similar stocks

6 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 79.00 CHF 57.28 -27%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥33.04 ¥25.65 -22%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,438 ₹362.37 -75%
3288 3288 HK$30.26 HK$27.44 -9%
Grupo Bimbo, S.A. BIMBOA 57.10 MXN 72.19 MXN +26%
Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 75.10 TWD 72.54 TWD -3%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1610 (1610) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3100 versus a price of HK$0.9700 — about −68% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 1610?
Our model-based fair value for 1610 is HK$0.3100 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.9700.
What is the quality score of 1610?
1610 has a Quality Score of 32/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 1610 (1610)?
1610 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$18.6B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1610?
The net profit margin of 1610 is about -4.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.