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Yuzhou Properties Co Ltd (1628) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$178M

YP Yuzhou Properties Co Ltd 1628 · HK
PriceHK$0.1200
Fair ValueHK$0.1615
Upside+34.6%
Quality26/100
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Weak Growth
High debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (3/7)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.1216 – HK$0.2027 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −0.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 35% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (26/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$18.61 HK$0.1000 Fair Value HK$0.1615 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1000 – HK$18.61 · fair‑value band HK$0.1216 – HK$0.2027 · the HK$0.1200 price screens below the HK$0.1615 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Yuzhou Properties Co Ltd (1628) currently trades at HK$0.1200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1615, implying the stock looks roughly 34.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$6.8B. Revenue grew 30.4% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$30.7B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 0.0 (as of Jul 2, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1216 (bear case) to HK$0.2027 (bull case); at HK$0.1200, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at 35%, 1628 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$48.85 HK$109.67 HK$3,911 76
Gordon GGM HK$0.6800 HK$1.13 HK$1.47 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.6800 HK$0.9600 HK$1.20 61
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.6800 HK$1.13 HK$1.47 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.6800 HK$0.9600 HK$1.20 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple HK$22.13 HK$29.51 HK$36.89 58
P/B Multiple HK$13.59 HK$18.12 HK$22.65 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$4.53 HK$6.07 HK$9.06 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$48.85 HK$109.67 HK$3,911 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (HK$109.67) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.9600). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$6.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +30.4%
Net margin 369%
Return on equity 540,465%
Free cash flow −HK$1.4B FY2025
P/E ratio 0.0 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin -83.0%
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.8800
EPS growth (YoY) -99.1%
Net debt HK$30.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yuzhou Group Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development and investment business in China and Hong Kong. The company operates through Property Development, Property Investment, Property Management, Hotel Operation, and Other segments.

Full company description

Yuzhou Group Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development and investment business in China and Hong Kong. The company operates through Property Development, Property Investment, Property Management, Hotel Operation, and Other segments. It develops, sells, invests in, and manages properties, as well as operates hotels. The company was formerly known as Yuzhou Properties Company Limited and changed its name to Yuzhou Group Holdings Company Limited in June 2020. Yuzhou Group Holdings Company Limited was founded in 1994 and is based in Central, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yuzhou Properties Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$6.8B in FY2025 versus HK$27.1B in FY2021, a compound −29.3%/yr. Reported net income was HK$24.9B in FY2025, compounding +131.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$6.8B
Latest YoY
−30.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−36.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.3%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.0%
Revenue −29.3%/yr
FY21 HK$27.1B
FY22 HK$26.7B
FY23 HK$21.5B
FY24 HK$9.7B
FY25 HK$6.8B
Net income +131.9%/yr
FY21 HK$862M
FY22 −HK$12.0B
FY23 −HK$10.5B
FY24 −HK$12.0B
FY25 HK$24.9B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yuzhou Properties Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1628

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 591 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +35% · Above median
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -83% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 30% · Above median
Debt / equity 2.23× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 79 · sector 47
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 10
HEALTH 0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 58

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹661.75 ₹146.13 -78%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,209 ₹583.43 -52%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,150 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 595.00 IDR 1,488 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 73.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +15%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 610.00 IDR 1,525 IDR +150%
Khang Dien House Trading and Investment Joint Stock Company KDH 18,150 VND 20,338 VND +12%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,300 IDR 6,239 IDR +45%
PT Puradelta Lestari Tbk DMAS 147.00 IDR 164.33 IDR +12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yuzhou Properties Co Ltd (1628) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1615 versus a price of HK$0.1200, about +35% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1628?
Our model-based fair value for Yuzhou Properties Co Ltd is HK$0.1615 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1200.
What is the quality score of 1628?
Yuzhou Properties Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yuzhou Properties Co Ltd (1628)?
Yuzhou Properties Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$6.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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