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1656 (1656) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Market cap HK$1.9B

1 1656 1656 · HK
PriceHK$4.20
Fair ValueHK$1.90
Upside-54.8%
Quality67/100
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Evidence: Medium Range HK$1.42 – HK$2.37

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −2.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$4.70 HK$1.71 Fair Value HK$1.90 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$1.71 – HK$4.70 · fair‑value band HK$1.42 – HK$2.37 · the HK$4.20 price screens above the HK$1.90 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1656 (1656) currently trades at HK$4.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.90 — implying the stock looks roughly 54.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, 1656 generated revenue of HK$462M at a net margin of 2.2%. Revenue grew 24.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.4%. Net debt stands at HK$15.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$462M
Revenue growth (YoY) +24.2%
Net margin 2.2%
Return on equity 5.4%
Free cash flow HK$14.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 46.7
More key figures
Operating margin 6.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +468%
Net debt HK$15.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1656 reported revenue of HK$440M in FY2025 versus HK$440M in FY2021, a compound −0.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$6.8M in FY2025, compounding −28.3%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −0.0%/yr
FY21 HK$440M
FY22 HK$371M
FY23 HK$342M
FY24 HK$372M
FY25 HK$440M
Net income −28.3%/yr
FY21 HK$25.5M
FY22 HK$14.6M
FY23 HK$5.0M
FY24 HK$8.5M
FY25 HK$6.8M

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Similar stocks

6 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LTOD $42.70 $34.33 -20%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 460,500 KRW 206,212 KRW -55%
China State Construction Engineering Corporation 601668 ¥4.72 ¥16.90 +258%
TopBuild Corp BLD 7,547 MXN 4,541 MXN -40%
000720 000720 127,800 KRW 55,602 KRW -56%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,260 TWD 1,431 TWD +14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1656 (1656) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.90 versus a price of HK$4.20 — about −55% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 1656?
Our model-based fair value for 1656 is HK$1.90 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$4.20.
What is the quality score of 1656?
1656 has a Quality Score of 67/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 1656 (1656)?
1656 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$462M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1656?
The net profit margin of 1656 is about 2.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.