Namchow Holdings (1702) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · TW · Market cap 8.4B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +2.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 52% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (20.16 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 30.80 TWD – 66.40 TWD · fair‑value band 12.10 TWD – 20.16 TWD · the 33.35 TWD price screens above the 16.12 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Namchow Holdings (1702) currently trades at 33.35 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.12 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 51.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Namchow Holdings generated revenue of 23.1B TWD at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue declined 0.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.1%. Net debt stands at 6.8B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 12.10 TWD (bear case) to 20.16 TWD (bull case); at 33.35 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -52%, 1702 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (43.71 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (6.62 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Namchow Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, processes, and sells edible and non-edible oil, frozen prepared food, and dish and laundry liquid detergent products in Taiwan, China, and Thailand.
Full company description
Namchow Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, processes, and sells edible and non-edible oil, frozen prepared food, and dish and laundry liquid detergent products in Taiwan, China, and Thailand. The company operates through Edible and Non-Edible Oil Products; Detergent Products; Frozen Dough; Ice Cream Products; Foods; Catering; and Management, Rental Revenue and Others segments. It offers various ice cream, instant noodles, and rice crackers; and imports and retails liquor products; operates restaurants; and provides business management and investment consulting services. The company was formerly known as Namchow Chemical Industrial Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Namchow Holdings Co., Ltd. in August 2017. Namchow Holdings Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1952 and is headquartered in Taipei City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Namchow Holdings reported revenue of 23.2B TWD in FY2025 versus 19.9B TWD in FY2021, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was 277M TWD in FY2025, compounding −28.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +4.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
1702 screens 52% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 649 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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