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Shanshan Brand Management Co Ltd (1749) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$61.4M

SB Shanshan Brand Management Co Ltd 1749 · HK
PriceHK$0.4250
Fair ValueHK$1.01
Upside+137.7%
Quality42/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.7500 – HK$1.26 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −15.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 138% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.7500). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$1.20 HK$0.2696 Fair Value HK$1.01 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2696 – HK$1.20 · fair‑value band HK$0.7500 – HK$1.26 · the HK$0.4250 price screens below the HK$1.01 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanshan Brand Management Co Ltd (1749) currently trades at HK$0.4250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.01, implying the stock looks roughly 137.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanshan Brand Management Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$863M at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue declined 17.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.9%. Net debt stands at HK$132M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.7500 (bear case) to HK$1.26 (bull case); at HK$0.4250, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 27% fair-value upside, at 138%, 1749 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$1.35 HK$1.29 HK$0.9600 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.9200 HK$0.9800 HK$1.02 72
Gordon GGM HK$0.5400 HK$0.5800 HK$0.6400 70
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.4000 HK$0.4900 HK$0.5500 54
EPV HK$0.9200 HK$0.9800 HK$1.02 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.5400 HK$0.5800 HK$0.6400 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.5400 HK$0.6300 HK$0.7300 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.9800 HK$1.30 HK$1.63 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.7500 HK$1.01 HK$1.26 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.7500 HK$1.01 HK$1.26 55
EV/EBIT HK$1.73 HK$2.16 HK$2.59 53
EV/EBITDA HK$4.07 HK$5.28 HK$6.49 54
EV/Revenue HK$1.31 HK$1.69 HK$2.06 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.03 HK$1.37 HK$2.05 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.35 HK$1.29 HK$0.9600 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.9200 HK$0.9800 HK$1.02 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.6900 HK$0.9800 HK$1.28 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$1.37) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.4900). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$863M
Revenue growth (YoY) -17.6%
Net margin 0.9%
Return on equity 2.9%
Free cash flow −HK$47.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 6.6 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin -0.8%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0900
EPS growth (YoY) -8.6%
Net debt HK$132M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 14
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 5
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanshan Brand Management Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, designs, markets, and sells formal and casual business menswear in the People's Republic of China. The company offers its products under the FIRS and SHANSHAN brand names.

Full company description

Shanshan Brand Management Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, designs, markets, and sells formal and casual business menswear in the People's Republic of China. The company offers its products under the FIRS and SHANSHAN brand names. It is also involved in the sub-licensing of trademark; and distribution of casual and formal business menswear through retail and e-commerce platforms. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Ningbo, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanshan Brand Management Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$863M in FY2025 versus HK$993M in FY2021, a compound −3.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$7.9M in FY2025, compounding −10.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 17/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$863M
Latest YoY
−14.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Revenue −3.5%/yr
FY21 HK$993M
FY22 HK$881M
FY23 HK$1.1B
FY24 HK$1.0B
FY25 HK$863M
Net income −10.6%/yr
FY21 HK$12.4M
FY22 HK$16.0M
FY23 HK$31.6M
FY24 HK$33.2M
FY25 HK$7.9M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2025) −6.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.8 pp

of which total revenue +6.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin −12.3 pp
Tax rate −0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanshan Brand Management Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1749

Peer Group

Apparel Manufacturing · 214 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +138% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Below median
Revenue growth -18% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 16.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.19× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.22× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 30
FUTURE 0 · sector 5
PAST 11 · sector 21
HEALTH 90 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB HMB kr 174.25 kr 165.47 -5%
LPP SA LPP 22,220 PLN 17,754 PLN -20%
Bosideng International Holdings 3998 HK$4.65 HK$5.92 +27%
Youngor Fashion Co 600177 ¥7.78 ¥5.59 -28%
Page Industries Limited PAGEIND ₹38,295 ₹12,395 -68%
Hla Group 600398 ¥6.07 ¥9.92 +63%
Youngone Corporation 111770 85,200 KRW 188,736 KRW +122%
F&F Co 383220 68,800 KRW 179,500 KRW +161%
Youngone Holdings 009970 188,300 KRW 697,038 KRW +270%
Wiselink Co 8932 105.00 TWD 37.95 TWD -64%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanshan Brand Management Co Ltd (1749) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.01 versus a price of HK$0.4250, about +138% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1749?
Our model-based fair value for Shanshan Brand Management Co Ltd is HK$1.01 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.4250.
What is the quality score of 1749?
Shanshan Brand Management Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanshan Brand Management Co Ltd (1749)?
Shanshan Brand Management Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$863M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1749?
The net profit margin of Shanshan Brand Management Co Ltd is about 0.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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